UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons Preview & Odds — October 31, 2026
CONNOffense2026 regular season to dateAF
CONNDefenseAFCONNRecent formAFCONNHome and roadseason to dateAFCONNLast 10 gamesAFRest & travelrest and travel
CONNRest & travelAFAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
Matchup preview
UConn (3-3) visits Air Force (4-2) on Saturday, October 31 at 3:00 PM ET.
UConn has the 28th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 94th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Air Force has the 9th-ranked offense and the 118th-ranked defense. When UConn has the ball, a 28th-ranked offense (+0.186 EPA per play) meets a 118th-ranked defense (+0.181 allowed); when Air Force has it, a 9th-ranked offense (+0.269) meets a 94th-ranked defense (+0.139 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the UConn offense is at 47.2% (65th) and the Air Force offense at 55.9% (2nd). UConn scores 32.2 points per game (33rd) and allows 26.7 (76th); Air Force scores 27.5 (58th) and allows 24.3 (59th).
UConn is 4-3 and 5-2 against the spread; its last game was a 35-16 win over Massachusetts. Air Force is 5-2 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 28-14 loss to Wyoming.
Air Force is a 1.5-point favorite at home against UConn. The spread opened at Air Force -2.5. The total is 51.5, down from 55.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (UConn -105, Air Force -115) prices UConn at 49% and Air Force at 51%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
UConn +2.5 (-110)
UConn +1.5 (-114)
Air Force -146 57%
Air Force -115 51%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Oct 28
- UConn +1.5-108Novig
- Air Force -1.5+102Novig
- Over 51.5-108Novig
- Under 51.5+102Novig
- UConn+102Novig
- Air Force-106Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts182
- Completion %61.5%138th
- Passing yards1,59487th
- Yards per attempt8.836th
- TD–INT12–2
- Rushing yards56447th
- Season line80 carries, 564 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards265267th
- Season line14 catches, 265 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles47173rd
- Attempts6
- Completion %50.0%
- Passing yards36
- Yards per attempt6.0
- TD–INT0–0
- Rushing yards49067th
- Season line73 carries, 490 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards135563rd
- Season line8 catches, 135 yds
- Tackles728th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 28, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | UConn | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateUConn offense vs Air Force defense | 44.0%58th | 46.5%117th |
| Early-down success rateAir Force offense vs UConn defense | 43.4%73rd | 48.5%12th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUConn offense vs Air Force defense | 40.6%65th | 38.5%51st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateAir Force offense vs UConn defense | 38.4%50th | 55.3%5th |
| Explosive play rateUConn offense vs Air Force defense | 9.9%3rd | 7.2%85th |
| Explosive play rateAir Force offense vs UConn defense | 7.1%83rd | 5.6%111th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 47.7%95th-highest | 15.2%138th-highest |
On 3rd down UConn converts 40.6% (65th) against a Air Force defense allowing 38.5% (51st).
On 3rd down Air Force converts 55.3% (5th) against a UConn defense allowing 38.4% (50th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | UConn | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jason Candle | Troy Calhoun |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 20th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 4–3 | 144–99 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 85–47 | 144–99 |
| Offensive coordinator | Marquel Blackwell / Nunzio Campanile | Mike Thiessen |
| Defensive coordinator | Ryan Manalac | Steve Russ |
Staff list as of October 27, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: UConn won 1 and Air Force 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Air Force 16, UConn 26 UConn won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
UConn Huskies
- UConn Huskies team stats
- UMass Minutemen 16, UConn Huskies 35 (Oct 23)
- UConn Huskies 34, Temple Owls 20 (Oct 10)
- Syracuse Orange 42, UConn Huskies 41 (Oct 3)
Air Force Falcons
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