Colorado Buffaloes vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Final — October 24, 2026
COLOOffense2026 regular season to dateOKST
COLODefenseOKSTCOLORecent formOKSTCOLOHome and roadseason to dateOKSTCOLOLast 10 gamesOKSTRest & travelrest and travel
COLORest & travelOKSTAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Colorado (1-4) visited Oklahoma State (3-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 7:00 PM ET.
Colorado has the 131st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 36th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has the 56th-ranked offense and the 63rd-ranked defense. When Colorado has the ball, a 131st-ranked offense (−0.152 EPA per play) meets a 63rd-ranked defense (+0.053 allowed); when Oklahoma State has it, a 56th-ranked offense (+0.108) meets a 36th-ranked defense (−0.032 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Colorado offense is at 44.6% (91st) and the Oklahoma State offense at 50.5% (26th). Colorado scores 13.0 points per game (134th) and allows 26.6 (73rd); Oklahoma State scores 32.8 (31st) and allows 28.4 (86th).
Colorado is 2-4; its last game was a 27-24 loss to Utah. Oklahoma State is 4-2; its last game was a 35-32 loss to Houston.
Oklahoma State closed as a 13.5-point favorite at home against Colorado. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed 55.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Colorado +428, Oklahoma State -567) prices Colorado at 18% and Oklahoma State at 82%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Colorado Buffaloes 24, Oklahoma State Cowboys 57
Oklahoma State Cowboys won by 33.
- Against the closing spread (Oklahoma State Cowboys -13.5): Oklahoma State Cowboys covered.
- Combined score 81 vs the closing total of 55.5: Over.
- Oklahoma State Cowboys closed at -567 on the moneyline (a 82% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
The market barely moved from open to close.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Colorado Buffaloes 18%, Oklahoma State Cowboys 82%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 0:03 — Colorado Buffaloes ball, 3rd & 13 at OKST 15No Huddle-Shotgun #16 I.Wilson pass complete short middle to #3 D.Moore Jr. caught at OSU00, for 15 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:03, 1ST DOWN #46 E.Arn…Colorado Buffaloes 28% → 37% (+10 pts) · Drive 4 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 12:14 — Oklahoma State Cowboys ball, 2nd & 20 at COLO 45No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete short middle to #1 M.Coleman caught at COL32, for 16 yards to the COL29 (#44 G.Lampron)Colorado Buffaloes 29% → 38% (+9 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 9:45 — Oklahoma State Cowboys ball, 2nd & 3 at OKST 38No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Mestemaker pass complete deep left to #0 J.Bowick caught at COL16, for 52 yards to the COL10, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNOklahoma State Cowboys 71% → 78% (+7 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 4:04 — Colorado Buffaloes ball, 1st & 10 at COLO 25No Huddle-Shotgun #16 I.Wilson pass complete short right to #3 D.Moore Jr. caught at COL38, for 45 yards to the OSU30 (#7 Q.Hammonds), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. T…Colorado Buffaloes 29% → 36% (+8 pts) · Drive 10 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 14:58 — Colorado Buffaloes ball, 1st & 10 at COLO 25No Huddle-Shotgun #16 I.Wilson rush middle for 3 yards loss to the COL22 fumbled by #16 I.Wilson at COL25 forced by #92 J.Lawson recovered by OSU #7 Q.Hammonds a…Oklahoma State Cowboys 71% → 83% (+12 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Colorado | Points added | Oklahoma State |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4 | Passingdropbacks | +3.6 |
| -9.5 | Rushingdesigned runs | -0.3 |
| +19.1 | Explosive plays7 plays · 8 plays | +22.9 |
| -17.2 | Turnovers3 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -0.6 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +2.0 |
| -3.1 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +1.4 |
| +5.2 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 3 · 4 of 8 | +3.1 |
| -7.4 | All plays | +32.7 |
The biggest single gap: turnovers, worth about 17.2 points to Oklahoma State Cowboys. The final margin was 33.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Oklahoma State Cowboys closed as the market favourite at 82% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Colorado +13.5 (-106)
Colorado +13.5 (-110)
Oklahoma State -625 82%
Oklahoma State -567 82%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts101
- Completion %57.4%189th
- Passing yards699235th
- Yards per attempt6.9161st
- TD–INT4–5
- Rushing yards259200th
- Season line51 carries, 259 yds
- Receiving yards50831st
- Season line37 catches, 508 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles5158th
- Attempts203
- Completion %67.0%47th
- Passing yards1,94015th
- Yards per attempt9.613th
- TD–INT16–6
- Rushing yards59224th
- Season line123 carries, 592 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards56119th
- Season line32 catches, 561 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles6217th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Colorado | Oklahoma State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateColorado offense vs Oklahoma State defense | 44.3%57th | 43.3%75th |
| Early-down success rateOklahoma State offense vs Colorado defense | 40.4%31st | 50.2%6th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateColorado offense vs Oklahoma State defense | 35.9%97th | 42.5%94th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOklahoma State offense vs Colorado defense | 41.5%82nd | 35.0%103rd |
| Explosive play rateColorado offense vs Oklahoma State defense | 5.5%109th | 6.7%69th |
| Explosive play rateOklahoma State offense vs Colorado defense | 8.2%109th | 9.4%11th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 52.3%54th-highest | 52.3%55th-highest |
On 3rd down Colorado converts 35.9% (97th) against a Oklahoma State defense allowing 42.5% (94th).
On 3rd down Oklahoma State converts 35.0% (103rd) against a Colorado defense allowing 41.5% (82nd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Colorado | Oklahoma State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Deion Sanders | Eric Morris |
| Tenureat this school | 4th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 18–25 | 4–2 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 18–25 | 26–18 |
| Offensive coordinator | Brennan Marion | Sean Brophy |
| Defensive coordinator | Chris Marve | Skyler Cassity |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Colorado won 1 and Oklahoma State 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | Oklahoma State 0, Colorado 52 Colorado won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Colorado Buffaloes
- Colorado Buffaloes team stats
- Kansas State Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes (Oct 31)
- Utah Utes 27, Colorado Buffaloes 24 (Oct 17)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 29, Colorado Buffaloes 7 (Oct 3)
- Colorado Buffaloes 14, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13 (Sep 3)
Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Oklahoma State Cowboys team stats
- Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones (Oct 31)
- Oklahoma State Cowboys 32, Houston Cougars 35 (Oct 17)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- Oklahoma State Cowboys 41, West Virginia Mountaineers 24 (Sep 26)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026
- LSU Tigers 38, Auburn Tigers 17 (Oct 24)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 23, Miami Hurricanes 52 (Oct 24)
- Indiana Hoosiers 13, Michigan Wolverines 6 (Oct 24)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 14, Northwestern Wildcats 42 (Oct 24)
- California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Oct 24)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20 (Oct 24)
- Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Oct 24)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Oct 24)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31 (Oct 24)
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