Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Maryland Terrapins Final — October 17, 2026
RUTGOffense2026 regular season to dateMD
RUTGDefenseMDRUTGRecent formMDRUTGHome and roadseason to dateMDRUTGLast 10 gamesMDRest & travelrest and travel
RUTGRest & travelMDAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Rutgers (0-4) visited Maryland (1-4) on Saturday, October 17 at 12:30 PM ET.
Rutgers has the 132nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 103rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Maryland has the 119th-ranked offense and the 123rd-ranked defense. When Rutgers has the ball, a 132nd-ranked offense (−0.177 EPA per play) meets a 123rd-ranked defense (+0.225 allowed); when Maryland has it, a 119th-ranked offense (−0.093) meets a 103rd-ranked defense (+0.158 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Rutgers offense is at 46.8% (72nd) and the Maryland offense at 46.9% (71st). Rutgers scores 23.0 points per game (85th) and allows 38.5 (129th); Maryland scores 21.2 (99th) and allows 39.2 (131st).
Rutgers is 1-4 and 2-3 against the spread; its last game was a 47-15 loss to Indiana. Maryland is 2-4 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 45-16 loss to Ohio State.
Maryland closed as a 5.5-point favorite at home against Rutgers. The spread opened at Maryland -4.5. The total closed at 55.5, down from 59.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Rutgers +175, Maryland -218) prices Rutgers at 35% and Maryland at 65%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30
Rutgers Scarlet Knights won by 7.
- Against the closing spread (Maryland Terrapins -5.5): Rutgers Scarlet Knights covered.
- Combined score 67 vs the closing total of 55.5: Over.
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights closed at +175 on the moneyline (a 35% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 4 points toward Maryland Terrapins.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Rutgers Scarlet Knights 35%, Maryland Terrapins 65%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q3 5:21 — Rutgers Scarlet Knights ball, 3rd & 10 at RUTG 33No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete deep left to #8 K.Duff caught at UMD42, for 26 yards to the UMD41, out of bounds at UMD41, 1ST DOWNRutgers Scarlet Knights 16% → 24% (+8 pts) · Drive 14 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 4:00 — Rutgers Scarlet Knights ball, 2nd & 10 at MD 19No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #9 C.Thevenin caught at UMD00, for 19 yards to the UMD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:00, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Piz…Rutgers Scarlet Knights 26% → 39% (+12 pts) · Drive 14 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 12:52 — Rutgers Scarlet Knights ball, 2nd & 6 at MD 7C. Thevenin run for 7 yds, for a TD ( KICK) #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Rutgers Scarlet Knights 63% → 72% (+9 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:59 — Maryland Terrapins ball, 3rd & 10 at RUTG 45Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #13 C.Durr Jr. caught at RUT29, for 16 yards to the RUT29 (#4 K.Humes), 1ST DOWNMaryland Terrapins 7% → 16% (+9 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:21 — Maryland Terrapins ball, 3rd & 3 at RUTG 18Shotgun #7 M.Washington pass complete short right to #9 D.Fleming caught at RUT11, for 7 yards to the RUT11, End Of PlayRutgers Scarlet Knights 84% → 91% (+7 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
Rutgers Scarlet Knights won after falling as low as 10% (Q3 8:28).
Game DNA
| Rutgers | Points added | Maryland |
|---|---|---|
| +6.3 | Passingdropbacks | -2.2 |
| -3.8 | Rushingdesigned runs | -2.0 |
| +4.5 | Explosive plays3 plays · 5 plays | +9.9 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -0.9 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +0.4 |
| -0.6 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.0 |
| +15.4 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 5 of 6 · 4 of 6 | +6.3 |
| +21.0 | All plays | +12.5 |
The biggest single gap: red zone, worth about 9.1 points to Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The final margin was 7.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Maryland Terrapins closed as the market favourite at 65% and lost.
The line moved toward Maryland Terrapins before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Rutgers +4.5 (-112)
Rutgers +5.5 (-110)
Maryland -179 61%
Maryland -218 65%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts42
- Completion %64.3%
- Passing yards410
- Yards per attempt9.8
- TD–INT5–4
- Rushing yards46939th
- Season line89 carries, 469 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards6284th
- Season line33 catches, 628 yds, 7 TD
- Tackles25496th
- Attempts222
- Completion %61.3%141st
- Passing yards1,35273rd
- Yards per attempt6.1214th
- TD–INT7–6
- Rushing yards242177th
- Season line29 carries, 242 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards47619th
- Season line46 catches, 476 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles4370th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Rutgers | Maryland |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateRutgers offense vs Maryland defense | 46.9%30th | 43.5%75th |
| Early-down success rateMaryland offense vs Rutgers defense | 43.1%67th | 45.6%39th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRutgers offense vs Maryland defense | 33.3%105th | 48.1%117th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMaryland offense vs Rutgers defense | 42.5%88th | 36.4%93rd |
| Explosive play rateRutgers offense vs Maryland defense | 6.1%88th | 7.2%81st |
| Explosive play rateMaryland offense vs Rutgers defense | 9.1%124th | 5.8%94th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 51.6%61st-highest | 61.2%7th-highest |
On 3rd down Rutgers converts 33.3% (105th) against a Maryland defense allowing 48.1% (117th).
On 3rd down Maryland converts 36.4% (93rd) against a Rutgers defense allowing 42.5% (88th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Rutgers | Maryland |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Greg Schiano | Mike Locksley |
| Tenureat this school | 7th season | 8th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 100–112 | 39–53 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 100–112 | 41–79 |
| Offensive coordinator | Kirk Ciarrocca | Clint Trickett |
| Defensive coordinator | Travis Johansen | Aazaar Abdul-Rahim / Ted Monachino |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Rutgers won 2 and Maryland 3.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Maryland 20, Rutgers 35 Rutgers won | ||
| Nov 16, 2024 | Rutgers 31, Maryland 17 Rutgers won | ||
| Nov 25, 2023 | Maryland 42, Rutgers 24 Maryland won | ||
| Nov 26, 2022 | Rutgers 0, Maryland 37 Maryland won | ||
| Nov 27, 2021 | Maryland 40, Rutgers 16 Maryland won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights team stats
- Michigan Wolverines at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Oct 31)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 14, Northwestern Wildcats 42 (Oct 24)
- Indiana Hoosiers 47, Rutgers Scarlet Knights 15 (Oct 3)
- USC Trojans 42, Rutgers Scarlet Knights 35 (Sep 19)
Maryland Terrapins
- Maryland Terrapins team stats
- Illinois Fighting Illini at Maryland Terrapins (Oct 31)
- Maryland Terrapins 16, Ohio State Buckeyes 45 (Oct 10)
- Maryland Terrapins 23, Nebraska Cornhuskers 48 (Oct 3)
- UCLA Bruins 54, Maryland Terrapins 3 (Sep 26)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
- Florida Atlantic Owls 24, Army Black Knights 56 (Oct 17)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 21, Boston College Eagles 27 (Oct 17)
- Ball State Cardinals 32, Bowling Green Falcons 31 (Oct 17)
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers 0, Clemson Tigers 37 (Oct 17)
- Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
- Charlotte 49ers 38, Temple Owls 31 (Oct 17)
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