Stanford Cardinal vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Final — October 10, 2026
STANOffense2026 regular season to dateND
STANDefenseNDSTANRecent formNDSTANHome and roadseason to dateNDSTANLast 10 gamesNDRest & travelrest and travel
STANRest & travelNDAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Stanford (2-3) visited Notre Dame (5-0) on Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET.
Stanford has the 72nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 133rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Notre Dame has the 19th-ranked offense and the 9th-ranked defense. When Stanford has the ball, a 72nd-ranked offense (+0.059 EPA per play) meets a 9th-ranked defense (−0.155 allowed); when Notre Dame has it, a 19th-ranked offense (+0.248) meets a 133rd-ranked defense (+0.308 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Stanford offense is at 43.3% (102nd) and the Notre Dame offense at 52.9% (14th). Stanford scores 17.4 points per game (114th) and allows 38.2 (124th); Notre Dame scores 41.2 (9th) and allows 11.8 (4th).
Stanford is 2-3; its last game was a 57-3 loss to Wake Forest. Notre Dame is 5-0 and 3-2 against the spread; its last game was a 37-26 win over North Carolina.
Notre Dame closed as a 40-point favorite at home against Stanford. The spread opened at Notre Dame -35.5. The total closed 55.5, unchanged from the open.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Stanford Cardinal 7, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 58
Notre Dame Fighting Irish won by 51.
- Against the closing spread (Notre Dame Fighting Irish -40): Notre Dame Fighting Irish covered.
- Combined score 65 vs the closing total of 55.5: Over.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Stanford Cardinal <1%, Notre Dame Fighting Irish >99%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Game DNA
| Stanford | Points added | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | Passingdropbacks | +4.7 |
| -6.1 | Rushingdesigned runs | -5.3 |
| +9.5 | Explosive plays2 plays · 5 plays | +21.1 |
| -3.4 | Turnovers2 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -2.9 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -1.4 |
| -2.4 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.1 |
| +1.3 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 1 · 3 of 4 | +8.1 |
| -8.4 | All plays | +27.3 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 11.6 points to Notre Dame Fighting Irish. The final margin was 51.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Stanford +35.5 (-110)
Stanford +40 (-112)
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts173
- Completion %59.0%171st
- Passing yards1,20768th
- Yards per attempt7.0152nd
- TD–INT5–1
- Rushing yards30283rd
- Season line82 carries, 302 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards266112th
- Season line17 catches, 266 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles3849th
- Attempts119
- Completion %70.6%
- Passing yards1,148
- Yards per attempt9.6
- TD–INT13–1
- Rushing yards266113th
- Season line60 carries, 266 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards37136th
- Season line25 catches, 371 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles24328th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Stanford | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateStanford offense vs Notre Dame defense | 39.9%106th | 38.3%19th |
| Early-down success rateNotre Dame offense vs Stanford defense | 46.2%104th | 49.3%16th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateStanford offense vs Notre Dame defense | 33.9%105th | 39.1%66th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNotre Dame offense vs Stanford defense | 50.0%123rd | 39.5%78th |
| Explosive play rateStanford offense vs Notre Dame defense | 7.1%61st | 3.4%3rd |
| Explosive play rateNotre Dame offense vs Stanford defense | 8.1%102nd | 7.7%44th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 56.1%27th-highest | 44.4%108th-highest |
On 3rd down Stanford converts 33.9% (105th) against a Notre Dame defense allowing 39.1% (66th).
On 3rd down Notre Dame converts 39.5% (78th) against a Stanford defense allowing 50.0% (123rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Stanford | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Tavita Pritchard | Marcus Freeman |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 2–3 | 48–12 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 2–3 | 48–12 |
| Offensive coordinator | Terry Heffernan | Mike Denbrock |
| Defensive coordinator | Kris Richard | Chris Ash / Aaron Henry |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Stanford won 1 and Notre Dame 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Notre Dame 49, Stanford 20 Notre Dame won | ||
| Oct 12, 2024 | Stanford 7, Notre Dame 49 Notre Dame won | ||
| Nov 25, 2023 | Notre Dame 56, Stanford 23 Notre Dame won | ||
| Oct 15, 2022 | Stanford 16, Notre Dame 14 Stanford won | ||
| Nov 27, 2021 | Notre Dame 45, Stanford 14 Notre Dame won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Stanford Cardinal
- Stanford Cardinal team stats
- Stanford Cardinal at Louisville Cardinals (Oct 31)
- NC State Wolfpack 28, Stanford Cardinal 31 (Oct 23)
- Elon Phoenix 7, Stanford Cardinal 34 (Oct 17)
- Stanford Cardinal 3, Wake Forest Demon Deacons 57 (Oct 3)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
- Sacramento State Hornets 10, Bowling Green Falcons 38 (Oct 10)
- Texas A&M Aggies 6, Missouri Tigers 27 (Oct 10)
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38, NC State Wolfpack 14 (Oct 10)
- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
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