Washington State Cougars vs Oregon State Beavers Final — October 17, 2026
WSUOffense2026 regular season to dateORST
WSUDefenseORSTWSURecent formORSTWSUHome and roadseason to dateORSTWSULast 10 gamesORSTRest & travelrest and travel
WSURest & travelORSTAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Washington State (0-5) visited Oregon State (3-2) on Saturday, October 17 at 6:00 PM ET.
Washington State has the 135th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 76th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Oregon State has the 8th-ranked offense and the 73rd-ranked defense. When Washington State has the ball, a 135th-ranked offense (−0.273 EPA per play) meets a 73rd-ranked defense (+0.074 allowed); when Oregon State has it, a 8th-ranked offense (+0.311) meets a 76th-ranked defense (+0.080 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Washington State offense is at 37.1% (136th) and the Oregon State offense at 55.5% (6th). Washington State scores 12.6 points per game (131st) and allows 27.0 (78th); Oregon State scores 39.8 (7th) and allows 23.0 (50th).
Washington State is 1-5 and 4-2 against the spread; its last game was a 17-16 loss to Utah State. Oregon State is 4-2 and 6-0 against the spread; its last game was a 66-14 win over San Diego State.
Oregon State closed as a 18.5-point favorite at home against Washington State. The spread opened at Oregon State -16.5. The total closed 52.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Washington State +700, Oregon State -1200) prices Washington State at 12% and Oregon State at 88%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Washington State Cougars 30, Oregon State Beavers 48
Oregon State Beavers won by 18.
- Against the closing spread (Oregon State Beavers -18.5): Washington State Cougars covered.
- Combined score 78 vs the closing total of 52.5: Over.
- Oregon State Beavers closed at -1200 on the moneyline (a 88% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Oregon State Beavers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Washington State Cougars 12%, Oregon State Beavers 88%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Game DNA
| Washington State | Points added | Oregon State |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2 | Passingdropbacks | -15.7 |
| -5.4 | Rushingdesigned runs | +3.4 |
| +16.8 | Explosive plays6 plays · 6 plays | +17.2 |
| -0.1 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -6.7 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +6.5 |
| +1.4 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +0.3 |
| +7.3 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 4 · 3 of 4 | +10.5 |
| +13.0 | All plays | +22.1 |
The biggest single gap: passing, worth about 15.5 points to Washington State Cougars. The final margin was 18.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Oregon State Beavers closed as the market favourite at 88% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Washington State +16.5 (-112)
Washington State +18.5 (-109)
Oregon State -1115 87%
Oregon State -1200 88%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts178
- Completion %61.8%131st
- Passing yards952161st
- Yards per attempt5.3249th
- TD–INT3–5
- Rushing yards251167th
- Season line48 carries, 251 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards218239th
- Season line20 catches, 218 yds
- Tackles36169th
- Attempts234
- Completion %70.5%17th
- Passing yards2,2361st
- Yards per attempt9.618th
- TD–INT21–2
- Rushing yards32698th
- Season line54 carries, 326 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards9321st
- Season line38 catches, 932 yds, 12 TD
- Tackles4370th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Washington State | Oregon State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateWashington State offense vs Oregon State defense | 38.7%119th | 39.6%27th |
| Early-down success rateOregon State offense vs Washington State defense | 43.1%70th | 53.3%2nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateWashington State offense vs Oregon State defense | 21.9%136th | 42.3%87th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOregon State offense vs Washington State defense | 42.3%86th | 44.0%45th |
| Explosive play rateWashington State offense vs Oregon State defense | 2.5%138th | 6.1%48th |
| Explosive play rateOregon State offense vs Washington State defense | 8.4%113th | 9.3%13th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 58.3%12th-highest | 65.8%2nd-highest |
On 3rd down Washington State converts 21.9% (136th) against a Oregon State defense allowing 42.3% (87th).
On 3rd down Oregon State converts 44.0% (45th) against a Washington State defense allowing 42.3% (86th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Washington State | Oregon State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Kirby Moore | JaMarcus Shephard |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 1–5 | 4–2 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 1–5 | 4–2 |
| Offensive coordinator | Matt Miller | Mitch Dahlen |
| Defensive coordinator | Trent Bray | Mike MacIntyre |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 6 times since 2021: Washington State won 3 and Oregon State 3.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Oregon State 8, Washington State 32 Washington State won | ||
| Nov 1, 2025 | Washington State 7, Oregon State 10 Oregon State won | ||
| Nov 23, 2024 | Washington State 38, Oregon State 41 Oregon State won | ||
| Sep 23, 2023 | Oregon State 35, Washington State 38 Washington State won | ||
| Oct 15, 2022 | Washington State 10, Oregon State 24 Oregon State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Washington State Cougars
- Washington State Cougars team stats
- Washington State Cougars at San Diego State Aztecs (Oct 31)
- Boise State Broncos 31, Washington State Cougars 10 (Oct 24)
- Washington State Cougars 16, Utah State Aggies 17 (Oct 9)
- Fresno State Bulldogs 26, Washington State Cougars 6 (Oct 3)
Oregon State Beavers
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
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- Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
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