UConn Huskies vs Temple Owls Final — October 10, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
UConn (1-3) visited Temple (1-3) on Saturday, October 10 at 3:45 PM ET.
UConn has the 33rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 118th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Temple has the 32nd-ranked offense and the 116th-ranked defense. When UConn has the ball, a 33rd-ranked offense (+0.185 EPA per play) meets a 116th-ranked defense (+0.214 allowed); when Temple has it, a 32nd-ranked offense (+0.187) meets a 118th-ranked defense (+0.224 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the UConn offense is at 45.1% (86th) and the Temple offense at 46.6% (71st). UConn scores 31.0 points per game (46th) and allows 31.0 (98th); Temple scores 22.8 (84th) and allows 27.5 (77th).
UConn is 2-3 and 3-2 against the spread; its last game was a 42-41 loss to Syracuse. Temple is 2-3 and 4-0-1 against the spread; its last game was a 17-13 win over South Florida.
Temple closed as a 3.5-point favorite at home against UConn. The spread opened at Temple -3. The total closed at 55.5, up from 53.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (UConn +146, Temple -176) prices UConn at 39% and Temple at 61%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
UConn Huskies 34, Temple Owls 20
UConn Huskies won by 14.
- Against the closing spread (Temple Owls -3.5): UConn Huskies covered.
- Combined score 54 vs the closing total of 55.5: Under.
- UConn Huskies closed at +146 on the moneyline (a 39% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Temple Owls.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (UConn Huskies 39%, Temple Owls 61%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 12:28 — Temple Owls ball, 1st & 10 at TEM 21No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep middle to #17 J.Bermudez caught at CON28, for 79 yards to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:28, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Ha…Temple Owls 47% → 61% (+14 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 6:58 — UConn Huskies ball, 1st & 10 at CONN 44No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 51 yards gain to the TEM05 (#32 A.Laing), 1ST DOWNUConn Huskies 34% → 45% (+10 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 0:50 — UConn Huskies ball, 4th & 6 at TEM 33No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete deep middle to #5 S.Porter caught at TEM03, for 30 yards to the TEM03 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Roughing…UConn Huskies 56% → 71% (+16 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 14:45 — Temple Owls ball, 3rd & 7 at TEM 25No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #0 P.Clarke caught at TEM37, for 21 yards to the TEM46 (#22 J.Martin; #9 Z.Saez), 1ST DOWNTemple Owls 38% → 48% (+11 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 12:08 — Temple Owls ball, 1st & 10 at CONN 39No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 1 yard to the CON38 (#17 S.Riser-Pressley), fumble by #13 A.Sheppard recovered by CON #0 K.Sherman at CON38,…UConn Huskies 48% → 70% (+23 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray
UConn Huskies won after falling as low as 26% (Q2 10:17).
Game DNA
| UConn | Points added | Temple |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8 | Passingdropbacks | -0.1 |
| +1.3 | Rushingdesigned runs | +5.7 |
| +18.2 | Explosive plays6 plays · 3 plays | +14.0 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -4.9 |
| +3.1 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +1.2 |
| -1.2 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -0.8 |
| -3.4 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 6 · 0 of 2 | -3.3 |
| +17.2 | All plays | +11.8 |
The biggest single gap: turnovers, worth about 4.9 points to UConn Huskies. The final margin was 14.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Temple Owls closed as the market favourite at 61% and lost.
The line moved toward Temple Owls before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
UConn +3 (-110)
UConn +3.5 (-109)
Temple -152 58%
Temple -176 61%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts140
- Completion %57.9%184th
- Passing yards1,16478th
- Yards per attempt8.367th
- TD–INT10–2
- Rushing yards34955th
- Season line47 carries, 349 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards202204th
- Season line14 catches, 202 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles3498th
- Attempts72
- Completion %55.6%217th
- Passing yards631222nd
- Yards per attempt8.851st
- TD–INT6–0
- Rushing yards36147th
- Season line68 carries, 361 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards201206th
- Season line9 catches, 201 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles502nd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | UConn | Temple |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateUConn offense vs Temple defense | 42.2%77th | 47.5%113th |
| Early-down success rateTemple offense vs UConn defense | 45.8%103rd | 40.2%103rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUConn offense vs Temple defense | 42.5%59th | 52.9%130th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTemple offense vs UConn defense | 44.0%101st | 46.5%33rd |
| Explosive play rateUConn offense vs Temple defense | 10.6%6th | 6.4%62nd |
| Explosive play rateTemple offense vs UConn defense | 7.9%99th | 8.4%37th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 51.1%68th-highest | 36.7%130th-highest |
On 3rd down UConn converts 42.5% (59th) against a Temple defense allowing 52.9% (130th).
On 3rd down Temple converts 46.5% (33rd) against a UConn defense allowing 44.0% (101st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | UConn | Temple |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jason Candle | K. C. Keeler |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 2–3 | 7–10 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 83–47 | 19–22 |
| Offensive coordinator | Marquel Blackwell / Nunzio Campanile | Tyler Walker |
| Defensive coordinator | Ryan Manalac | Brian Smith |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: UConn won 1 and Temple 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | Temple 20, UConn 29 UConn won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
UConn Huskies
- UConn Huskies team stats
- UConn Huskies at Air Force Falcons (Oct 31)
- UMass Minutemen 16, UConn Huskies 35 (Oct 23)
- Syracuse Orange 42, UConn Huskies 41 (Oct 3)
Temple Owls
- Temple Owls team stats
- Temple Owls at East Carolina Pirates (Oct 31)
- Charlotte 49ers 38, Temple Owls 31 (Oct 17)
- Temple Owls 17, South Florida Bulls 13 (Oct 3)
- Army Black Knights 21, Temple Owls 17 (Sep 25)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
- Sacramento State Hornets 10, Bowling Green Falcons 38 (Oct 10)
- Texas A&M Aggies 6, Missouri Tigers 27 (Oct 10)
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38, NC State Wolfpack 14 (Oct 10)
- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
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