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NCAAF · October 10, 2026

UConn Huskies vs Temple Owls Final — October 10, 2026

UConn Huskies logo
1-3
34
Quarterback Kalieb Osborne
FINAL
Temple Owls logo
1-3
20
Quarterback Ajani Sheppard
Saturday, October 10 · 3:45 PM ET
CONNOffense2026 regular season to dateTEM
33rd+0.185
EPA/play
+0.18732nd
86th45.1%
Success %
46.6%71st
46th31.0
PPG
22.884th
CONNDefenseTEM
118th+0.224
EPA/play allowed
+0.214116th
115th51.6%
Success % allowed
52.6%126th
98th31.0
Opp PPG
27.577th
CONNRecent formTEM
Wvs Lafayette 56-7Lvs Maryland 14-38W@ Southern Miss 48-20L@ Miami (OH) 21-24Lvs Syracuse 41-42
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Rhode Island 38-14Lvs Penn State 9-27L@ Toledo 48-49Lvs Army 17-21W@ South Florida 17-13
2-3
Record
2-3
3-2
ATS
4-0-1
3-2
Over–under
2-3
CONNHome and roadseason to dateTEM
1-2
Home record
1-2
1-1
Road record
1-1
2-1
Home ATS
2-0-1
1-1
Road ATS
2-0
2-1
Home O/U
1-2
1-1
Road O/U
1-1
CONNLast 10 gamesTEM
+49-24+28-3-1
Game by game
+24-18-1-4+4
2-3
Last 5
2-3
+49
Net points
+5
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
CONNRest & travelTEM
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
185 mi298 km
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Lincoln Financial Field
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

The pre-game matchup

UConn (1-3) visited Temple (1-3) on Saturday, October 10 at 3:45 PM ET.

UConn has the 33rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 118th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Temple has the 32nd-ranked offense and the 116th-ranked defense. When UConn has the ball, a 33rd-ranked offense (+0.185 EPA per play) meets a 116th-ranked defense (+0.214 allowed); when Temple has it, a 32nd-ranked offense (+0.187) meets a 118th-ranked defense (+0.224 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the UConn offense is at 45.1% (86th) and the Temple offense at 46.6% (71st). UConn scores 31.0 points per game (46th) and allows 31.0 (98th); Temple scores 22.8 (84th) and allows 27.5 (77th).

UConn is 2-3 and 3-2 against the spread; its last game was a 42-41 loss to Syracuse. Temple is 2-3 and 4-0-1 against the spread; its last game was a 17-13 win over South Florida.

Temple closed as a 3.5-point favorite at home against UConn. The spread opened at Temple -3. The total closed at 55.5, up from 53.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (UConn +146, Temple -176) prices UConn at 39% and Temple at 61%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

UConn Huskies 34, Temple Owls 20

UConn Huskies won by 14.

  • Against the closing spread (Temple Owls -3.5): UConn Huskies covered.
  • Combined score 54 vs the closing total of 55.5: Under.
  • UConn Huskies closed at +146 on the moneyline (a 39% no-vig market-implied chance).

Before the game: market and G&W

39%Market at the close61%
UConn HuskiesTemple Owls
42%Market at the open58%

From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Temple Owls.

The G&W pregame win probability for this game is available to Analytics members. See plans

Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.

Win probability

Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (UConn Huskies 39%, Temple Owls 61%) and moving with every snap until the final.

100%75%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Market start1Q1 12:28: Temple Owls 47% to 61%2Q2 6:58: UConn Huskies 34% to 45%3Q2 0:50: UConn Huskies 56% to 71%4Q4 14:45: Temple Owls 38% to 48%5Q4 12:08: UConn Huskies 48% to 70%■ Temple■ UConn
 

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 12:28 — Temple Owls ball, 1st & 10 at TEM 21No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep middle to #17 J.Bermudez caught at CON28, for 79 yards to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:28, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Ha…Temple Owls 47% → 61% (+14 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
  2. Q2 6:58 — UConn Huskies ball, 1st & 10 at CONN 44No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 51 yards gain to the TEM05 (#32 A.Laing), 1ST DOWNUConn Huskies 34% → 45% (+10 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
  3. Q2 0:50 — UConn Huskies ball, 4th & 6 at TEM 33No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete deep middle to #5 S.Porter caught at TEM03, for 30 yards to the TEM03 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Roughing…UConn Huskies 56% → 71% (+16 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
  4. Q4 14:45 — Temple Owls ball, 3rd & 7 at TEM 25No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #0 P.Clarke caught at TEM37, for 21 yards to the TEM46 (#22 J.Martin; #9 Z.Saez), 1ST DOWNTemple Owls 38% → 48% (+11 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray
  5. Q4 12:08 — Temple Owls ball, 1st & 10 at CONN 39No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 1 yard to the CON38 (#17 S.Riser-Pressley), fumble by #13 A.Sheppard recovered by CON #0 K.Sherman at CON38,…UConn Huskies 48% → 70% (+23 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray

UConn Huskies won after falling as low as 26% (Q2 10:17).

Analytics members also see this chart starting from the G&W pregame win probability. See plans

Game DNA

UConnPoints addedTemple
-0.8Passingdropbacks
-0.1
+1.3Rushingdesigned runs
+5.7
+18.2Explosive plays6 plays · 3 plays
+14.0
+0.0Turnovers0 giveaways · 1 giveaways
-4.9
+3.1Special teamskicks, punts and returns
+1.2
-1.2Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball
-0.8
-3.4Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 6 · 0 of 2
-3.3
+17.2All plays
+11.8
Bar left: UConn gainedBar right: Temple gained

The biggest single gap: turnovers, worth about 4.9 points to UConn Huskies. The final margin was 14.

Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Official playUConn Huskies +4.5 -1101.00uWIN +1.00u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Line review

Temple Owls closed as the market favourite at 61% and lost.

The line moved toward Temple Owls before kickoff, and they lost.

How the G&W pregame number compared with the close, and whether the line moved toward it, is available to Analytics members. See plans

Drive X-Ray

Every possession of this game, drive by drive. Hover or tap a drive for the plays.

Every other game: Drive X-Ray.

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5
OpenTemple -3 (-110)
UConn +3 (-110)
CloseTemple -3.5 (-110)
UConn +3.5 (-109)
Totalup 2
Open53.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Close55.5 (o -109 / u -112)
Moneyline
OpenUConn +127 42%
Temple -152 58%
CloseUConn +146 39%
Temple -176 61%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

UConn Huskies logo
UConn
QB · Kalieb Osborne
  • Attempts140
  • Completion %57.9%184th
  • Passing yards1,16478th
  • Yards per attempt8.367th
  • TD–INT10–2
Leading rusher (RB) · Cyncir Bowers
  • Rushing yards34955th
  • Season line47 carries, 349 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Javon Brown
  • Receiving yards202204th
  • Season line14 catches, 202 yds, 2 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Hayden Pegg
  • Tackles3498th
Temple Owls logo
Temple
QB · Ajani Sheppard
  • Attempts72
  • Completion %55.6%217th
  • Passing yards631222nd
  • Yards per attempt8.851st
  • TD–INT6–0
Leading rusher (RB) · Keveun Mason
  • Rushing yards36147th
  • Season line68 carries, 361 yds, 2 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Colin Chase
  • Receiving yards201206th
  • Season line9 catches, 201 yds, 2 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Curly Ordonez
  • Tackles502nd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationUConnTemple
Early-down success rateUConn offense vs Temple defense42.2%77th47.5%113th
Early-down success rateTemple offense vs UConn defense45.8%103rd40.2%103rd
3rd-down conversion rateUConn offense vs Temple defense42.5%59th52.9%130th
3rd-down conversion rateTemple offense vs UConn defense44.0%101st46.5%33rd
Explosive play rateUConn offense vs Temple defense10.6%6th6.4%62nd
Explosive play rateTemple offense vs UConn defense7.9%99th8.4%37th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks51.1%68th-highest36.7%130th-highest

On 3rd down UConn converts 42.5% (59th) against a Temple defense allowing 52.9% (130th).

On 3rd down Temple converts 46.5% (33rd) against a UConn defense allowing 44.0% (101st).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffUConnTemple
Head coachJason CandleK. C. Keeler
Tenureat this school1st season2nd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below2–37–10
Career recordas an FBS head coach83–4719–22
Offensive coordinatorMarquel Blackwell / Nunzio CampanileTyler Walker
Defensive coordinatorRyan ManalacBrian Smith

Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: UConn won 1 and Temple 0.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 5, 2024Temple 20, UConn 29
UConn won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams

UConn Huskies

Temple Owls

Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.

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