Kansas Jayhawks vs Utah Utes Final — October 10, 2026
KUOffense2026 regular season to dateUTAH
KUDefenseUTAHKULast 10 gamesUTAHRest & travelrest and travel
KURest & travelUTAHAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 4 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Kansas (1-2) visited Utah (3-0) on Saturday, October 10 at 8:00 PM ET.
Kansas has the 117th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 12th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Utah has the 13th-ranked offense and the 4th-ranked defense. When Kansas has the ball, a 117th-ranked offense (−0.106 EPA per play) meets a 4th-ranked defense (−0.221 allowed); when Utah has it, a 13th-ranked offense (+0.276) meets a 12th-ranked defense (−0.144 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Kansas offense is at 42.6% (108th) and the Utah offense at 58.5% (4th). Kansas scores 31.0 points per game (46th) and allows 20.7 (36th); Utah scores 35.7 (19th) and allows 9.0 (1st).
Utah is 4-0 and 4-0 against the spread; its last game was a 31-17 win over Iowa State.
Utah closed as a 15.5-point favorite at home against Kansas. The spread opened at Utah -14.5. The total closed at 49.5, down from 51.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Kansas +500, Utah -770) prices Kansas at 16% and Utah at 84%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Kansas Jayhawks 24, Utah Utes 41
Utah Utes won by 17.
- Against the closing spread (Utah Utes -15.5): Utah Utes covered.
- Combined score 65 vs the closing total of 49.5: Over.
- Utah Utes closed at -770 on the moneyline (a 84% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Utah Utes.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Kansas Jayhawks 16%, Utah Utes 84%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q3 12:13 — Utah Utes ball, 1st & 10 at UTAH 18No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass complete short middle to #1 W.Parker caught at UTA14, for 14 yards to the UTA32 (#7 D.Crouch; #27 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNUtah Utes 87% → 93% (+7 pts) · Drive 18 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 11:53 — Utah Utes ball, 1st & 10 at UTAH 32No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Dampier pass incomplete deep middle to #2 C.Whittemore thrown to KAN25Kansas Jayhawks 5% → 13% (+8 pts) · Drive 18 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 0:27 — Kansas Jayhawks ball, 3rd & 11 at UTAH 29Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete deep right to #5 N.McMillan caught at UTA00, for 29 yards to the UTA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:27, 1ST DOWN #29 M.Connington kick…Kansas Jayhawks 8% → 16% (+8 pts) · Drive 19 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 10:08 — Kansas Jayhawks ball, 1st & 10 at UTAH 34Shotgun #8 I.Marshall pass complete deep left to #87 L.Cure caught at UTA06, for 30 yards to the UTA04 (#11 E.Reed), 1ST DOWNKansas Jayhawks 10% → 15% (+5 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 8:31 — Kansas Jayhawks ball, 4th & 1 at UTAH 1Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush left for 0 yards to the UTA01 (#1 R.Evans; #7 J.Hall), TURNOVER ON DOWNSUtah Utes 90% → 95% (+5 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Kansas | Points added | Utah |
|---|---|---|
| -7.6 | Passingdropbacks | +3.7 |
| -7.0 | Rushingdesigned runs | -11.1 |
| +20.8 | Explosive plays9 plays · 6 plays | +18.1 |
| -2.4 | Turnovers1 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -0.2 |
| +0.1 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -2.4 |
| -2.4 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +4.6 |
| -6.3 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 5 · 2 of 5 | +8.3 |
| -4.7 | All plays | +20.9 |
The biggest single gap: red zone, worth about 14.6 points to Utah Utes. The final margin was 17.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Utah Utes closed as the market favourite at 84% and won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Kansas +14.5 (-112)
Kansas +15.5 (-110)
Utah -663 83%
Utah -770 84%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts104
- Completion %54.8%225th
- Passing yards810171st
- Yards per attempt7.8103rd
- TD–INT6–3
- Rushing yards29689th
- Season line50 carries, 296 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards256126th
- Season line14 catches, 256 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles22419th
- Attempts101
- Completion %70.3%26th
- Passing yards896136th
- Yards per attempt8.945th
- TD–INT9–1
- Rushing yards32867th
- Season line50 carries, 328 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards264114th
- Season line17 catches, 264 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles24328th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Kansas | Utah |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateKansas offense vs Utah defense | 40.4%99th | 30.0%2nd |
| Early-down success rateUtah offense vs Kansas defense | 31.9%3rd | 56.2%1st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateKansas offense vs Utah defense | 35.9%94th | 31.2%14th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUtah offense vs Kansas defense | 30.0%9th | 50.0%18th |
| Explosive play rateKansas offense vs Utah defense | 7.8%43rd | 2.7%1st |
| Explosive play rateUtah offense vs Kansas defense | 5.5%31st | 9.3%13th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 46.9%93rd-highest | 53.3%46th-highest |
On 3rd down Kansas converts 35.9% (94th) against a Utah defense allowing 31.2% (14th).
On 3rd down Utah converts 50.0% (18th) against a Kansas defense allowing 30.0% (9th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Kansas | Utah |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Lance Leipold | Morgan Scalley |
| Tenureat this school | 6th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 29–37 | 5–0 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 66–70 | 5–0 |
| Offensive coordinator | Andy Kotelnicki / Matt Lubick | Kevin McGiven |
| Defensive coordinator | D.K. McDonald | Colton Swan |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Kansas won 0 and Utah 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Utah 31, Kansas 21 Utah won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Kansas Jayhawks
- Kansas Jayhawks team stats
- Kansas Jayhawks at TCU Horned Frogs (Oct 31)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 0, Kansas Jayhawks 55 (Oct 3)
Utah Utes
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
- Sacramento State Hornets 10, Bowling Green Falcons 38 (Oct 10)
- Texas A&M Aggies 6, Missouri Tigers 27 (Oct 10)
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38, NC State Wolfpack 14 (Oct 10)
- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
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