Louisiana Ragin Cajuns vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Final — October 10, 2026
ULOffense2026 regular season to dateLT
ULDefenseLTULRecent formLTULHome and roadseason to dateLTULLast 10 gamesLTRest & travelrest and travel
ULRest & travelLTAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Louisiana (3-1) visited Louisiana Tech (1-2) on Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 PM ET.
Louisiana has the 75th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 11th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech has the 131st-ranked offense and the 49th-ranked defense. When Louisiana has the ball, a 75th-ranked offense (+0.045 EPA per play) meets a 49th-ranked defense (+0.003 allowed); when Louisiana Tech has it, a 131st-ranked offense (−0.181) meets a 11th-ranked defense (−0.144 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Louisiana offense is at 49.8% (37th) and the Louisiana Tech offense at 40.9% (122nd). Louisiana scores 27.0 points per game (65th) and allows 22.5 (47th); Louisiana Tech scores 21.3 (92nd) and allows 36.7 (119th).
Louisiana is 4-1 and 4-1 against the spread; its last game was a 23-20 win over Arkansas State. Louisiana Tech is 2-2 and 4-0 against the spread; its last game was a 31-29 win over Army.
Louisiana Tech closed as a 3-point favorite at home against Louisiana. The spread opened with Louisiana favored by 1.5. The total closed at 48.5, down from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Louisiana +126, Louisiana Tech -152) prices Louisiana at 42% and Louisiana Tech at 58%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 31, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 32
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -3): Louisiana Ragin Cajuns covered.
- Combined score 63 vs the closing total of 48.5: Over.
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs closed at -152 on the moneyline (a 58% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 7 points toward Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 42%, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 58%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 12:49 — Louisiana Ragin Cajuns ball, 1st & 10 at LT 23Shotgun #20 J.Garner rush middle for 0 yards to the TECH23 (#22 J.Mayfield)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 57% → 76% (+19 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 5:01 — Louisiana Tech Bulldogs ball, 1st & 10 at UL 17Shotgun #23 S.Snider rush middle for 4 yards loss to the ULL21 fumbled by #23 S.Snider at ULL21 forced by #68 F.West Jr. recovered by ULL #68 F.West Jr. at ULL21…Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 44% → 63% (+20 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:46 — Louisiana Tech Bulldogs ball, 3rd & 3 at UL 7Shotgun #5 B.Baker pass complete short middle to #84 E.Finley caught at ULL00, for 7 yards to the ULL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:46, 1ST DOWN #5 B.Baker rush attempt…Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 42% → 59% (+17 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:27 — Louisiana Ragin Cajuns ball, 3rd & 10 at UL 25Shotgun #7 L.Winfield pass intercepted by #0 J.Mcrae at ULL45 #0 J.Mcrae return 5 yards to the ULL40, End Of PlayLouisiana Tech Bulldogs 65% → 83% (+18 pts) · Drive 22 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:24 — Louisiana Tech Bulldogs ball, 1st & 10 at UL 40Kneel down by #5 B.Baker at ULL41 for loss of 1 yardLouisiana Tech Bulldogs 83% → 100% (+17 pts) · Drive 23 in Drive X-Ray
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won after falling as low as 5% (Q4 8:11).
Game DNA
| Louisiana | Points added | Louisiana Tech |
|---|---|---|
| +4.4 | Passingdropbacks | +6.4 |
| -7.6 | Rushingdesigned runs | +0.7 |
| +17.2 | Explosive plays7 plays · 5 plays | +9.2 |
| -8.9 | Turnovers3 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -5.4 |
| +3.2 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -0.5 |
| +5.3 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -0.3 |
| +2.5 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 4 · 5 of 6 | +10.7 |
| +16.1 | All plays | +20.7 |
The biggest single gap: rushing, worth about 8.2 points to Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. The final margin was 1.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs closed as the market favourite at 58% and won.
The line moved toward Louisiana Tech Bulldogs before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Louisiana -1.5 (-105)
Louisiana +3 (-108)
Louisiana Tech -112 51%
Louisiana Tech -152 58%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts84
- Completion %75.0%
- Passing yards640
- Yards per attempt7.6
- TD–INT2–0
- Rushing yards36446th
- Season line69 carries, 364 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards125420th
- Season line7 catches, 125 yds
- Tackles31150th
- Attempts73
- Completion %65.8%70th
- Passing yards468246th
- Yards per attempt6.4194th
- TD–INT3–1
- Rushing yards169245th
- Season line16 carries, 169 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards34251st
- Season line21 catches, 342 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles31150th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Louisiana | Louisiana Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateLouisiana offense vs Louisiana Tech defense | 44.6%47th | 39.6%25th |
| Early-down success rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Louisiana defense | 40.7%42nd | 41.6%85th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateLouisiana offense vs Louisiana Tech defense | 34.8%98th | 52.6%128th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Louisiana defense | 37.5%51st | 32.4%110th |
| Explosive play rateLouisiana offense vs Louisiana Tech defense | 4.1%126th | 10.9%133rd |
| Explosive play rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Louisiana defense | 4.5%14th | 6.6%76th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 36.7%131st-highest | 51.8%60th-highest |
On 3rd down Louisiana converts 34.8% (98th) against a Louisiana Tech defense allowing 52.6% (128th).
On 3rd down Louisiana Tech converts 32.4% (110th) against a Louisiana defense allowing 37.5% (51st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Louisiana | Louisiana Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Michael Desormeaux | Sonny Cumbie |
| Tenureat this school | 5th season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 33–26 | 21–33 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 33–26 | 23–36 |
| Offensive coordinator | Tim Leger | Nathan Young |
| Defensive coordinator | Jim Salgado | Luke Olson |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Teams
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
- Louisiana Ragin Cajuns team stats
- Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 31, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 35 (Oct 24)
- Troy Trojans 6, Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 33 (Oct 17)
- Arkansas State Red Wolves 20, Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 23 (Oct 3)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs team stats
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at South Alabama Jaguars (Oct 31)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 0, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 26 (Oct 24)
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 24, UL Monroe Warhawks 0 (Oct 17)
- Army Black Knights 29, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 31 (Oct 3)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
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- Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38, NC State Wolfpack 14 (Oct 10)
- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
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