Boise State Broncos vs Washington State Cougars Final — October 24, 2026
BOISOffense2026 regular season to dateWSU
BOISDefenseWSUBOISRecent formWSUBOISHome and roadseason to dateWSUBOISLast 10 gamesWSURest & travelrest and travel
BOISRest & travelWSUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Boise State (4-1) visited Washington State (0-6) on Saturday, October 24 at 6:00 PM ET.
Boise State has the 10th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 124th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Washington State has the 134th-ranked offense and the 83rd-ranked defense. When Boise State has the ball, a 10th-ranked offense (+0.273 EPA per play) meets a 83rd-ranked defense (+0.108 allowed); when Washington State has it, a 134th-ranked offense (−0.185) meets a 124th-ranked defense (+0.220 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Boise State offense is at 49.5% (40th) and the Washington State offense at 40.6% (126th). Boise State scores 34.4 points per game (25th) and allows 22.0 (41st); Washington State scores 15.5 (126th) and allows 30.5 (106th).
Boise State is 5-1 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 38-31 win over Fresno State. Washington State is 1-6 and 5-2 against the spread; its last game was a 48-30 loss to Oregon State.
Boise State closed as a 14.5-point road favorite, with Washington State getting the points at home. The spread opened at Boise State -17.5. The total closed at 52.5, up from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Boise State -650, Washington State +475) prices Boise State at 83% and Washington State at 17%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Boise State Broncos 31, Washington State Cougars 10
Boise State Broncos won by 21.
- Against the closing spread (Washington State Cougars +14.5): Boise State Broncos covered.
- Combined score 41 vs the closing total of 52.5: Under.
- Boise State Broncos closed at -650 on the moneyline (a 83% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 5 points toward Washington State Cougars.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Boise State Broncos 83%, Washington State Cougars 17%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q3 7:59 — Washington State Cougars ball, 3rd & 7 at WSU 44Shotgun #17 O.Eshelman pass complete short left to #1 D.Blood caught at BSU48, for 10 yards to the BSU46 (#6 J.Washington Jr.), 1ST DOWNWashington State Cougars 18% → 24% (+6 pts) · Drive 12 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 3:31 — Boise State Broncos ball, 3rd & 6 at BOIS 46#4 M.Madsen rush middle for 17 yards gain to the WSU37 (#25 J.Bal), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNBoise State Broncos 75% → 82% (+7 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 2:04 — Boise State Broncos ball, 3rd & 8 at WSU 35#4 M.Madsen pass complete short left to #5 A.Wright caught at WSU23, for 12 yards to the WSU23, out of bounds at WSU23, 1ST DOWNBoise State Broncos 78% → 84% (+6 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 14:48 — Boise State Broncos ball, 4th & 2 at WSU 15Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass complete short left to #19 R.Jones caught at WSU12, for 3 yards to the WSU12 (#13 K.Terrell; #25 J.Bal), 1ST DOWNBoise State Broncos 80% → 85% (+5 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 12:23 — Washington State Cougars ball, 2nd & 10 at WSU 41Shotgun #17 O.Eshelman pass intercepted by #1 B.Phelps at WSU46 #1 B.Phelps return 13 yards to the WSU33 (#1 D.Blood; #17 O.Eshelman)Boise State Broncos 88% → 95% (+7 pts) · Drive 14 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Boise State | Points added | Washington State |
|---|---|---|
| +1.8 | Passingdropbacks | -6.6 |
| -0.3 | Rushingdesigned runs | -0.2 |
| +14.4 | Explosive plays4 plays · 0 plays | +0.0 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 1 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +2.2 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +3.5 |
| -1.1 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -0.1 |
| +3.7 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 3 · 1 of 2 | -3.4 |
| +20.7 | All plays | -6.6 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 14.4 points to Boise State Broncos. The final margin was 21.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Boise State Broncos closed as the market favourite at 83% and won.
The line moved toward Washington State Cougars before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Boise State -17.5 (-110)
Boise State -14.5 (-110)
Washington State +735 11%
Washington State +475 17%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts166
- Completion %66.3%60th
- Passing yards1,296114th
- Yards per attempt7.891st
- TD–INT13–0
- Rushing yards8354th
- Season line127 carries, 835 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards359103rd
- Season line23 catches, 359 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles35292nd
- Attempts46
- Completion %65.2%
- Passing yards262
- Yards per attempt5.7
- TD–INT2–1
- Rushing yards267193rd
- Season line54 carries, 267 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards343116th
- Season line26 catches, 343 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles5158th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Boise State | Washington State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateBoise State offense vs Washington State defense | 44.5%52nd | 42.8%63rd |
| Early-down success rateWashington State offense vs Boise State defense | 40.1%29th | 41.4%91st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateBoise State offense vs Washington State defense | 47.0%27th | 41.7%86th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateWashington State offense vs Boise State defense | 28.3%2nd | 25.0%136th |
| Explosive play rateBoise State offense vs Washington State defense | 6.3%83rd | 8.6%122nd |
| Explosive play rateWashington State offense vs Boise State defense | 10.5%135th | 3.4%137th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 41.0%124th-highest | 59.8%11th-highest |
On 3rd down Boise State converts 47.0% (27th) against a Washington State defense allowing 41.7% (86th).
On 3rd down Washington State converts 25.0% (136th) against a Boise State defense allowing 28.3% (2nd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Boise State | Washington State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Spencer Danielson | Kirby Moore |
| Tenureat this school | 4th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 29–9 | 1–6 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 29–9 | 1–6 |
| Offensive coordinator | Nate Potter | Matt Miller |
| Defensive coordinator | Erik Chinander | Trent Bray |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Boise State won 1 and Washington State 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Washington State 24, Boise State 45 Boise State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Boise State Broncos
- Boise State Broncos team stats
- Texas State Bobcats at Boise State Broncos (Oct 31)
- Boise State Broncos 38, Fresno State Bulldogs 31 (Oct 10)
- Utah State Aggies 18, Boise State Broncos 37 (Oct 3)
Washington State Cougars
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