UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers Final — October 10, 2026
UABOffense2026 regular season to dateMEM
UABDefenseMEMUABRecent formMEMUABHome and roadseason to dateMEMUABLast 10 gamesMEMRest & travelrest and travel
UABRest & travelMEMAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
UAB (2-2) visited Memphis (3-1) on Saturday, October 10 at 7:00 PM ET.
UAB has the 96th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 33rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Memphis has the 17th-ranked offense and the 67th-ranked defense. When UAB has the ball, a 96th-ranked offense (−0.019 EPA per play) meets a 67th-ranked defense (+0.058 allowed); when Memphis has it, a 17th-ranked offense (+0.268) meets a 33rd-ranked defense (−0.052 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the UAB offense is at 45.7% (80th) and the Memphis offense at 49.5% (40th). UAB scores 21.8 points per game (90th) and allows 25.8 (67th); Memphis scores 37.0 (15th) and allows 22.8 (48th).
UAB is 3-2 and 2-3 against the spread; its last game was a 33-14 win over Samford. Memphis is 4-1; its last game was a 59-8 win over Charlotte.
Memphis closed as a 15.5-point favorite at home against UAB. The spread closed where it opened. The total closed at 54.5, down from 58.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (UAB +500, Memphis -755) prices UAB at 16% and Memphis at 84%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
UAB Blazers 13, Memphis Tigers 38
Memphis Tigers won by 25.
- Against the closing spread (Memphis Tigers -15.5): Memphis Tigers covered.
- Combined score 51 vs the closing total of 54.5: Under.
- Memphis Tigers closed at -755 on the moneyline (a 84% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward UAB Blazers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (UAB Blazers 16%, Memphis Tigers 84%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 1:57 — UAB Blazers ball, 3rd & 7 at MEM 7No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MEM08 fumbled by #5 R.Burton at MEM07 forced by #93 J.Ishmael recovered by MEM #14 J.Tapp at MEM…Memphis Tigers 78% → 84% (+6 pts) · Drive 3 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 13:36 — UAB Blazers ball, 3rd & 8 at UAB 47No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass intercepted by #3 D.Smith at MEM44 broken up by #22 Z.Ruffin #3 D.Smith return 21 yards to the UAB35 (#1 C.Smith)Memphis Tigers 82% → 88% (+6 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 1:52 — UAB Blazers ball, 4th & 5 at 50PENALTY MEM Running Into The Kicker (#15 E.Kinsler) 5 yards from UAB50 to MEM45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYUAB Blazers 19% → 25% (+6 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 1:37 — UAB Blazers ball, 1st & 10 at MEM 45No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush left for 5 yards gain to the MEM40 (#1 E.Ellis Jr.), out of boundsMemphis Tigers 67% → 80% (+13 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 9:33 — Memphis Tigers ball, 3rd & 8 at UAB 24No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 24 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:33, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54…Memphis Tigers 75% → 85% (+10 pts) · Drive 14 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| UAB | Points added | Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| -11.9 | Passingdropbacks | +2.3 |
| -8.4 | Rushingdesigned runs | +5.6 |
| +7.5 | Explosive plays3 plays · 2 plays | +6.8 |
| -15.3 | Turnovers3 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| +1.3 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -3.9 |
| +7.0 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +2.1 |
| +1.5 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 2 · 3 of 4 | +5.2 |
| -18.3 | All plays | +18.1 |
The biggest single gap: turnovers, worth about 15.3 points to Memphis Tigers. The final margin was 25.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Memphis Tigers closed as the market favourite at 84% and won.
The line moved toward UAB Blazers before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
UAB +15.5 (-110)
UAB +15.5 (-112)
Memphis -850 86%
Memphis -755 84%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts110
- Completion %56.4%206th
- Passing yards791176th
- Yards per attempt7.2139th
- TD–INT4–4
- Rushing yards33860th
- Season line74 carries, 338 yds
- Receiving yards223173rd
- Season line10 catches, 223 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles487th
- Attempts123
- Completion %73.2%10th
- Passing yards1,37138th
- Yards per attempt11.22nd
- TD–INT14–3
- Rushing yards51313th
- Season line70 carries, 513 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards36740th
- Season line19 catches, 367 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles28224th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | UAB | Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateUAB offense vs Memphis defense | 44.1%55th | 42.0%54th |
| Early-down success rateMemphis offense vs UAB defense | 42.1%55th | 47.1%31st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUAB offense vs Memphis defense | 47.4%31st | 33.3%26th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMemphis offense vs UAB defense | 40.4%73rd | 40.5%74th |
| Explosive play rateUAB offense vs Memphis defense | 4.1%125th | 9.1%122nd |
| Explosive play rateMemphis offense vs UAB defense | 3.7%4th | 11.4%2nd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 41.2%120th-highest | 42.5%117th-highest |
On 3rd down UAB converts 47.4% (31st) against a Memphis defense allowing 33.3% (26th).
On 3rd down Memphis converts 40.5% (74th) against a UAB defense allowing 40.4% (73rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | UAB | Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Alex Mortensen | Charles Huff |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 5–6 | 4–1 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 5–6 | 43–26 |
| Offensive coordinator | Alex Mortensen | Kevin Decker / David Weeks |
| Defensive coordinator | Todd Grantham | Lance Guidry |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: UAB won 1 and Memphis 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Memphis 24, UAB 31 UAB won | ||
| Nov 16, 2024 | UAB 18, Memphis 53 Memphis won | ||
| Oct 21, 2023 | Memphis 45, UAB 21 Memphis won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
UAB Blazers
- UAB Blazers team stats
- UAB Blazers at South Florida Bulls (Oct 31)
- East Carolina Pirates 17, UAB Blazers 30 (Oct 15)
- Samford Bulldogs 14, UAB Blazers 33 (Oct 3)
Memphis Tigers
- Memphis Tigers team stats
- Army Black Knights at Memphis Tigers (Oct 31)
- East Carolina Pirates 34, Memphis Tigers 41 (Oct 22)
- Memphis Tigers 17, Tulane Green Wave 31 (Oct 16)
- Memphis Tigers 59, Charlotte 49ers 8 (Oct 3)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
- Sacramento State Hornets 10, Bowling Green Falcons 38 (Oct 10)
- Texas A&M Aggies 6, Missouri Tigers 27 (Oct 10)
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38, NC State Wolfpack 14 (Oct 10)
- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results