Home › Game Previews › NCAAF › November 2026 › Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils

NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Colorado Buffaloes

2-5

Quarterback Isaac Wilson

Arizona State Sun Devils

3-4

Quarterback Jake Fette

Saturday, November 7 · 7:30 PM ET

COLOOffense2026 regular season to dateASU

123rd−0.107

EPA/play

−0.058112th

85th45.4%

Success %

43.0%112th

130th16.6

PPG

23.780th

COLODefenseASU

59th+0.040

EPA/play allowed

−0.07920th

46th45.0%

Success % allowed

42.1%16th

105th30.6

Opp PPG

32.7114th

COLORecent formASU

L@ Baylor 13-23Lvs Texas Tech 7-29Lvs Utah 24-27L@ Oklahoma State 24-57Wvs Kansas State 27-24

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs Baylor 19-55Wvs Hawai'i 30-12L@ Texas Tech 25-53Wvs Kansas State 28-17L@ BYU 20-27

3-5

Record

3-4

—

ATS

3-4

—

Over–under

4-3

COLOHome and roadseason to dateASU

2-2

Home record

3-1

1-3

Road record

0-3

—

Home ATS

2-2

—

Road ATS

1-2

—

Home O/U

2-2

—

Road O/U

2-1

COLOLast 10 gamesASU

Game by game

3-5

Last 8

4-4

-67

Net points

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

COLORest & travelASU

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

585 mi942 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Mountain America Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Colorado (2-5) visits Arizona State (3-4) on Saturday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET.

Colorado has the 123rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 59th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Arizona State has the 112th-ranked offense and the 20th-ranked defense. When Colorado has the ball, a 123rd-ranked offense (−0.107 EPA per play) meets a 20th-ranked defense (−0.079 allowed); when Arizona State has it, a 112th-ranked offense (−0.058) meets a 59th-ranked defense (+0.040 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Colorado offense is at 45.4% (85th) and the Arizona State offense at 43.0% (112th). Colorado scores 16.6 points per game (130th) and allows 30.6 (105th); Arizona State scores 23.7 (80th) and allows 32.7 (114th).

Colorado is 3-5; its last game was a 27-24 win over Kansas State. Arizona State is 3-4 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 27-20 loss to BYU.

Arizona State is a 3.5-point favorite at home against Colorado. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 48.5, down from 49 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Colorado +135, Arizona State -162) prices Colorado at 41% and Arizona State at 59%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move

OpenArizona State -3.5 (-111)
Colorado +3.5 (-109)

NowArizona State -3.5 (-105)
Colorado +3.5 (-116)

Totaldown 0.5

Open49 (o -110 / u -110)

Now48.5 (o -109 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenColorado +143 39%
Arizona State -172 61%

NowColorado +135 41%
Arizona State -162 59%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

Colorado +3.5-106Novig
Arizona State -3.5+103ProphetX
Over 48.5+105ProphetX
Under 48.5-110FanDuel
Colorado+150ProphetX
Arizona State-155theScore Bet

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

Unlock every game with Analytics — $44.44/mo See today’s free game →

Matchup

Players to watch

Colorado

QB · Isaac Wilson

Attempts149
Completion %61.1%138th
Passing yards1,164198th
Yards per attempt7.881st
TD–INT7–7

Leading rusher (RB) · JaQuail Smith

Rushing yards361164th
Season line72 carries, 361 yds, 1 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Joseph Williams

Receiving yards73217th
Season line51 catches, 732 yds, 5 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Gideon ESPN Lampron

Tackles818th

Arizona State

QB · Jake Fette

Attempts44
Completion %50.0%
Passing yards188
Yards per attempt4.3
TD–INT2–0

Leading rusher (RB) · Cardae Mack

Rushing yards52369th
Season line78 carries, 523 yds, 6 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Reed Harris

Receiving yards8049th
Season line48 catches, 804 yds, 8 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Owen Long

Tackles7227th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Colorado	Arizona State
Early-down success rateColorado offense vs Arizona State defense	42.9%67th	39.7%25th
Early-down success rateArizona State offense vs Colorado defense	41.8%52nd	42.9%69th
3rd-down conversion rateColorado offense vs Arizona State defense	39.8%74th	36.6%38th
3rd-down conversion rateArizona State offense vs Colorado defense	40.7%69th	29.9%131st
Explosive play rateColorado offense vs Arizona State defense	6.8%65th	6.4%60th
Explosive play rateArizona State offense vs Colorado defense	8.5%120th	6.5%81st
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	50.1%75th-highest	52.8%48th-highest

On 3rd down Colorado converts 39.8% (74th) against a Arizona State defense allowing 36.6% (38th).

On 3rd down Arizona State converts 29.9% (131st) against a Colorado defense allowing 40.7% (69th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Colorado	Arizona State
Head coach	Deion Sanders	Kenny Dillingham
Tenureat this school	4th season	4th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	19–26	26–20
Career recordas an FBS head coach	19–26	26–20
Offensive coordinator	Brennan Marion	Marcus Arroyo
Defensive coordinator	Chris Marve	Brian Ward

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Colorado won 1 and Arizona State 3.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 22, 2025	Arizona State 42, Colorado 17 Arizona State won
Oct 7, 2023	Colorado 27, Arizona State 24 Colorado won
Oct 29, 2022	Arizona State 42, Colorado 34 Arizona State won
Sep 25, 2021	Colorado 13, Arizona State 35 Arizona State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams