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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Florida State Seminoles vs Boston College Eagles Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Florida State Seminoles

2-5

Quarterback Ashton Daniels

Boston College Eagles

3-4

Quarterback Mason McKenzie

Saturday, November 7 · 12:00 PM ET

FSUOffense2026 regular season to dateBC

55th+0.085

EPA/play

+0.02782nd

73rd46.3%

Success %

45.8%77th

38th30.1

PPG

21.6101st

FSUDefenseBC

106th+0.155

EPA/play allowed

−0.00547th

102nd48.8%

Success % allowed

48.3%91st

109th32.0

Opp PPG

28.084th

FSURecent formBC

Wvs Central Arkansas 34-7Wvs Virginia 38-7L@ Louisville 20-44L@ Miami 35-43Lvs Clemson 24-36

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs Virginia Tech 14-21L@ SMU 16-25Wvs Pittsburgh 27-21W@ Georgia Tech 49-27L@ Duke 2-47

3-5

Record

4-4

—

ATS

5-3

—

Over–under

2-6

FSUHome and roadseason to dateBC

3-2

Home record

3-1

0-3

Road record

1-3

—

Home ATS

3-1

—

Road ATS

2-2

—

Home O/U

1-3

—

Road O/U

1-3

FSULast 10 gamesBC

Game by game

3-5

Last 8

4-4

+14

Net points

-39

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

FSURest & travelBC

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

1,097 mi1,766 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Florida State (2-5) visits Boston College (3-4) on Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET.

Florida State has the 55th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 106th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Boston College has the 82nd-ranked offense and the 47th-ranked defense. When Florida State has the ball, a 55th-ranked offense (+0.085 EPA per play) meets a 47th-ranked defense (−0.005 allowed); when Boston College has it, a 82nd-ranked offense (+0.027) meets a 106th-ranked defense (+0.155 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Florida State offense is at 46.3% (73rd) and the Boston College offense at 45.8% (77th). Florida State scores 30.1 points per game (38th) and allows 32.0 (109th); Boston College scores 21.6 (101st) and allows 28.0 (84th).

Florida State is 3-5; its last game was a 36-24 loss to Clemson. Boston College is 4-4 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 47-2 loss to Duke.

Florida State is a 6.5-point road favorite, with Boston College getting the points at home. The spread opened at Florida State -7.5. The total is 51.5, down from 52.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Florida State -250, Boston College +200) prices Florida State at 68% and Boston College at 32%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenBoston College +7.5 (-128)
Florida State -7.5 (+104)

NowBoston College +6.5 (-106)
Florida State -6.5 (-114)

Totaldown 1

Open52.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now51.5 (o -113 / u -106)

Moneyline

OpenFlorida State -265 70%
Boston College +215 30%

NowFlorida State -250 68%
Boston College +200 32%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

Florida State -6.5-105Hard Rock
Boston College +6.5+103ProphetX
Over 51.5-104Novig
Under 51.5+102Novig
Florida State-233Novig
Boston College+225theScore Bet

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Florida State

QB · Ashton Daniels

Attempts214
Completion %59.3%170th
Passing yards1,96849th
Yards per attempt9.219th
TD–INT14–11

Leading rusher (RB) · Ousmane Kromah

Rushing yards60946th
Season line114 carries, 609 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Duce Robinson

Receiving yards438108th
Season line24 catches, 438 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Chris Jones

Tackles56128th

Boston College

QB · Mason McKenzie

Attempts201
Completion %57.7%188th
Passing yards1,450147th
Yards per attempt7.2136th
TD–INT8–7

Leading rusher (QB) · Mason McKenzie

Rushing yards63841st
Season line132 carries, 638 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Javarius Green

Receiving yards308243rd
Season line28 catches, 308 yds, 1 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Anthony Palano

Tackles6940th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Florida State	Boston College
Early-down success rateFlorida State offense vs Boston College defense	42.7%73rd	46.1%113th
Early-down success rateBoston College offense vs Florida State defense	42.6%66th	42.7%72nd
3rd-down conversion rateFlorida State offense vs Boston College defense	40.2%68th	35.9%33rd
3rd-down conversion rateBoston College offense vs Florida State defense	41.9%83rd	35.8%102nd
Explosive play rateFlorida State offense vs Boston College defense	9.6%5th	5.9%44th
Explosive play rateBoston College offense vs Florida State defense	8.8%123rd	6.1%95th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	48.3%91st-highest	45.7%107th-highest

On 3rd down Florida State converts 40.2% (68th) against a Boston College defense allowing 35.9% (33rd).

On 3rd down Boston College converts 35.8% (102nd) against a Florida State defense allowing 41.9% (83rd).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Florida State	Boston College
Head coach	Rick Stockstill (interim) (interim)	Bill O'Brien
Tenureat this school	1st season	3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	0–0	13–20
Career recordas an FBS head coach	113–111	28–29
Offensive coordinator	Tim Harris Jr.	Bill O'Brien
Defensive coordinator	Tony White	Ted Roof

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Florida State won 3 and Boston College 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Sep 2, 2024	Boston College 28, Florida State 13 Boston College won
Sep 16, 2023	Florida State 31, Boston College 29 Florida State won
Sep 24, 2022	Boston College 14, Florida State 44 Florida State won
Nov 20, 2021	Florida State 26, Boston College 23 Florida State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams