Miami Hurricanes vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
MIAOffense2026 regular season to dateND
MIADefenseNDMIARecent formNDMIAHome and roadseason to dateNDMIALast 10 gamesNDRest & travelrest and travel
MIARest & travelNDAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Miami (7-0) visits Notre Dame (7-1) on Saturday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET.
Miami has the 2nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 71st-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Notre Dame has the 11th-ranked offense and the 14th-ranked defense. When Miami has the ball, a 2nd-ranked offense (+0.344 EPA per play) meets a 14th-ranked defense (−0.102 allowed); when Notre Dame has it, a 11th-ranked offense (+0.260) meets a 71st-ranked defense (+0.077 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Miami offense is at 57.9% (1st) and the Notre Dame offense at 53.1% (7th). Miami scores 43.4 points per game (1st) and allows 19.3 (25th); Notre Dame scores 40.4 (3rd) and allows 13.4 (3rd).
Miami is 8-0 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 38-35 win over North Carolina. Notre Dame is 7-1 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 35-13 win over Navy.
Notre Dame is a 7.5-point favorite at home against Miami. The spread opened at Notre Dame -3.5. The total is 55.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Miami +235, Notre Dame -295) prices Miami at 29% and Notre Dame at 71%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Miami +3.5 (-115)
Miami +7.5 (-118)
Notre Dame -155 58%
Notre Dame -295 71%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- Miami +7.5-110theScore Bet
- Notre Dame -7.5+111Novig
- Over 55.5+100Novig
- Under 55.5-108Novig
- Miami+264Novig
- Notre Dame-270Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts233
- Completion %80.7%1st
- Passing yards2,42518th
- Yards per attempt10.42nd
- TD–INT25–1
- Rushing yards49576th
- Season line71 carries, 495 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards1,0273rd
- Season line73 catches, 1027 yds, 13 TD
- Tackles44291st
- Attempts208
- Completion %67.3%
- Passing yards1,761
- Yards per attempt8.5
- TD–INT18–1
- Rushing yards51970th
- Season line90 carries, 519 yds, 8 TD
- Receiving yards49773rd
- Season line38 catches, 497 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles45275th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Miami | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateMiami offense vs Notre Dame defense | 49.5%5th | 41.6%46th |
| Early-down success rateNotre Dame offense vs Miami defense | 43.5%80th | 49.9%3rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMiami offense vs Notre Dame defense | 56.8%2nd | 41.6%79th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNotre Dame offense vs Miami defense | 41.1%72nd | 40.8%61st |
| Explosive play rateMiami offense vs Notre Dame defense | 9.0%11th | 3.1%1st |
| Explosive play rateNotre Dame offense vs Miami defense | 8.0%103rd | 7.7%34th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 51.8%56th-highest | 48.7%83rd-highest |
On 3rd down Miami converts 56.8% (2nd) against a Notre Dame defense allowing 41.6% (79th).
On 3rd down Notre Dame converts 40.8% (61st) against a Miami defense allowing 41.1% (72nd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Miami | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Mario Cristobal | Marcus Freeman |
| Tenureat this school | 5th season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 43–19 | 50–13 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 105–79 | 50–13 |
| Offensive coordinator | Shannon Dawson | Mike Denbrock |
| Defensive coordinator | Corey Hetherman | Chris Ash / Aaron Henry |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Miami won 1 and Notre Dame 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Notre Dame 24, Miami 27 Miami won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Miami Hurricanes
- Miami Hurricanes team stats
- Miami Hurricanes 38, North Carolina Tar Heels 35 (Oct 31)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 23, Miami Hurricanes 52 (Oct 24)
- Florida State Seminoles 35, Miami Hurricanes 43 (Oct 17)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
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- Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers (Nov 7)
- Old Dominion Monarchs at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Nov 7)
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