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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Oklahoma State Cowboys logo
4-3
Quarterback Drew Mestemaker
at
Kansas State Wildcats logo
3-4
Quarterback Blake Barnett
Saturday, November 7 · 1:00 PM ET
OKSTOffense2026 regular season to dateKSU
20th+0.198
EPA/play
+0.05472nd
19th51.3%
Success %
48.1%52nd
5th38.6
PPG
26.166th
OKSTDefenseKSU
89th+0.109
EPA/play allowed
+0.07972nd
109th49.2%
Success % allowed
44.0%35th
106th31.0
Opp PPG
24.658th
OKSTRecent formKSU
W@ West Virginia 41-24Wvs UCF 42-28L@ Houston 32-35Wvs Colorado 57-24L@ Iowa State 49-51
Resultsoldest to newest
L@ Cincinnati 26-31Lvs Houston 16-35Wvs Kansas 35-24L@ Arizona State 17-28L@ Colorado 24-27
5-3
Record
4-4
—
ATS
3-4-1
—
Over–under
5-3
OKSTHome and roadseason to dateKSU
4-0
Home record
4-1
1-3
Road record
0-3
—
Home ATS
3-2
—
Road ATS
0-2-1
—
Home O/U
3-2
—
Road O/U
2-1
OKSTLast 10 gamesKSU
-14+8+59+17+14-3+33-2
Game by game
+68+27+11-5-19+11-11-3
5-3
Last 8
4-4
+112
Net points
+79
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
OKSTRest & travelKSU
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
214 mi345 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Oklahoma State (4-3) visits Kansas State (3-4) on Saturday, November 7 at 1:00 PM ET.

Oklahoma State has the 20th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 89th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Kansas State has the 72nd-ranked offense and the 72nd-ranked defense. When Oklahoma State has the ball, a 20th-ranked offense (+0.198 EPA per play) meets a 72nd-ranked defense (+0.079 allowed); when Kansas State has it, a 72nd-ranked offense (+0.054) meets a 89th-ranked defense (+0.109 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Oklahoma State offense is at 51.3% (19th) and the Kansas State offense at 48.1% (52nd). Oklahoma State scores 38.6 points per game (5th) and allows 31.0 (106th); Kansas State scores 26.1 (66th) and allows 24.6 (58th).

Oklahoma State is 5-3; its last game was a 51-49 loss to Iowa State. Kansas State is 4-4 and 3-4-1 against the spread; its last game was a 27-24 loss to Colorado.

Oklahoma State is a 5.5-point road favorite, with Kansas State getting the points at home. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 62.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Oklahoma State -225, Kansas State +180) prices Oklahoma State at 66% and Kansas State at 34%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move
OpenKansas State +5.5 (-113)
Oklahoma State -5.5 (-109)
NowKansas State +5.5 (-110)
Oklahoma State -5.5 (-110)
Totalno move
Open62.5 (o -105 / u -117)
Now62.5 (o -106 / u -113)
Moneyline
OpenOklahoma State -225 66%
Kansas State +175 34%
NowOklahoma State -225 66%
Kansas State +180 34%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

  • Oklahoma State -5.5-107Caesars
  • Kansas State +5.5+104ProphetX
  • Over 62.5+102Novig
  • Under 62.5-104Novig
  • Oklahoma State-199Novig
  • Kansas State+195theScore Bet

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Oklahoma State Cowboys logo
Oklahoma State
QB · Drew Mestemaker
  • Attempts281
  • Completion %65.5%66th
  • Passing yards2,6493rd
  • Yards per attempt9.414th
  • TD–INT25–7
Leading rusher (RB) · Caleb Hawkins
  • Rushing yards90611th
  • Season line167 carries, 906 yds, 4 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Justin Bowick
  • Receiving yards73118th
  • Season line41 catches, 731 yds, 9 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Ethan Wesloski
  • Tackles7616th
Kansas State Wildcats logo
Kansas State
QB · Blake Barnett
  • Attempts24
  • Completion %62.5%
  • Passing yards200
  • Yards per attempt8.3
  • TD–INT3–0
Leading rusher (RB) · Rodney Fields Jr.
  • Rushing yards48782nd
  • Season line93 carries, 487 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Jaron Tibbs
  • Receiving yards379163rd
  • Season line39 catches, 379 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (S) · Logan Bartley
  • Tackles54153rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationOklahoma StateKansas State
Early-down success rateOklahoma State offense vs Kansas State defense49.6%4th40.5%32nd
Early-down success rateKansas State offense vs Oklahoma State defense44.6%97th43.5%58th
3rd-down conversion rateOklahoma State offense vs Kansas State defense38.6%89th39.1%57th
3rd-down conversion rateKansas State offense vs Oklahoma State defense44.9%105th49.0%17th
Explosive play rateOklahoma State offense vs Kansas State defense9.0%12th8.2%115th
Explosive play rateKansas State offense vs Oklahoma State defense8.0%106th7.4%44th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks53.5%42nd-highest50.4%71st-highest

On 3rd down Oklahoma State converts 38.6% (89th) against a Kansas State defense allowing 39.1% (57th).

On 3rd down Kansas State converts 49.0% (17th) against a Oklahoma State defense allowing 44.9% (105th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffOklahoma StateKansas State
Head coachEric MorrisCollin Klein
Tenureat this school1st season1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below5–34–4
Career recordas an FBS head coach27–194–4
Offensive coordinatorSean BrophySean Gleeson
Defensive coordinatorSkyler CassityJordan Peterson

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Oklahoma State won 2 and Kansas State 3.

DateScoreLineTotal
Nov 15, 2025Kansas State 14, Oklahoma State 6
Kansas State won


Sep 28, 2024Oklahoma State 20, Kansas State 42
Kansas State won


Oct 6, 2023Kansas State 21, Oklahoma State 29
Oklahoma State won


Oct 29, 2022Oklahoma State 0, Kansas State 48
Kansas State won


Sep 25, 2021Kansas State 20, Oklahoma State 31
Oklahoma State won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Kansas State Wildcats

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