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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Northern Illinois Huskies vs San Jose State Spartans Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Northern Illinois Huskies logo
0-7
Quarterback Taron Dickens
at
San Jose State Spartans logo
3-5
Quarterback Luke Weaver
Saturday, November 7 · 4:00 PM ET
NIUOffense2026 regular season to dateSJSU
61st+0.073
EPA/play
−0.186135th
74th46.1%
Success %
38.2%137th
133rd15.1
PPG
18.6119th
NIUDefenseSJSU
135th+0.319
EPA/play allowed
+0.00552nd
135th53.8%
Success % allowed
47.8%84th
133rd39.0
Opp PPG
22.640th
NIULast 10 gamesSJSU
-40-4-25-21-21-18-35-7
Game by game
-16+6+10-16+4-3+13-15-5
0-8
Last 8
—
-171
Net points
-22
—
Last 9
4-5
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
NIURest & travelSJSU
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
1,778 mi2,862 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
−2 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Northern Illinois (0-7) visits San José State (3-5) on Saturday, November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.

Northern Illinois has the 61st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 135th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, San José State has the 135th-ranked offense and the 52nd-ranked defense. When Northern Illinois has the ball, a 61st-ranked offense (+0.073 EPA per play) meets a 52nd-ranked defense (+0.005 allowed); when San José State has it, a 135th-ranked offense (−0.186) meets a 135th-ranked defense (+0.319 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Northern Illinois offense is at 46.1% (74th) and the San José State offense at 38.2% (137th). Northern Illinois scores 15.1 points per game (133rd) and allows 39.0 (133rd); San José State scores 18.6 (119th) and allows 22.6 (40th).

Northern Illinois is 0-8 and 2-6 against the spread; its last game was a 31-24 loss to UNLV.

San José State is a 10-point favorite at home against Northern Illinois. The spread opened at San José State -11.5. The total is 51.5, up from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Northern Illinois +300, San José State -400) prices Northern Illinois at 24% and San José State at 76%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1.5
OpenSan José State -11.5 (-110)
Northern Illinois +11.5 (-110)
NowSan José State -10 (-110)
Northern Illinois +10 (-110)
Totalup 1
Open50.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now51.5 (o -113 / u -108)
Moneyline
OpenNorthern Illinois +305 24%
San José State -395 76%
NowNorthern Illinois +300 24%
San José State -400 76%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

  • Northern Illinois +10-110DraftKings
  • San José State -10-110DraftKings
  • Over 51.5-110BetMGM
  • Under 51.5+105ProphetX
  • Northern Illinois+335Novig
  • San José State-355Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Northern Illinois Huskies logo
Northern Illinois
QB · Taron Dickens
  • Attempts247
  • Completion %63.6%90th
  • Passing yards1,617112th
  • Yards per attempt6.5201st
  • TD–INT8–6
Leading rusher (RB) · Telly Johnson Jr.
  • Rushing yards57457th
  • Season line103 carries, 574 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · DeAree Rogers
  • Receiving yards63334th
  • Season line64 catches, 633 yds, 5 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Jack Murray
  • Tackles58104th
San Jose State Spartans logo
San José State
QB · Luke Weaver
  • Attempts242
  • Completion %63.6%90th
  • Passing yards1,81074th
  • Yards per attempt7.5111th
  • TD–INT11–8
Leading rusher (RB) · Jabari Bates
  • Rushing yards64939th
  • Season line153 carries, 649 yds, 1 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Carson Clark
  • Receiving yards64230th
  • Season line55 catches, 642 yds, 5 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Dylan Lee
  • Tackles7813th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationNorthern IllinoisSan José State
Early-down success rateNorthern Illinois offense vs San José State defense45.0%40th41.6%48th
Early-down success rateSan José State offense vs Northern Illinois defense46.7%119th34.7%137th
3rd-down conversion rateNorthern Illinois offense vs San José State defense36.0%100th35.5%30th
3rd-down conversion rateSan José State offense vs Northern Illinois defense64.3%138th31.1%127th
Explosive play rateNorthern Illinois offense vs San José State defense6.9%62nd5.2%18th
Explosive play rateSan José State offense vs Northern Illinois defense9.2%131st5.1%121st
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks58.6%13th-highest53.0%45th-highest

On 3rd down Northern Illinois converts 36.0% (100th) against a San José State defense allowing 35.5% (30th).

On 3rd down San José State converts 31.1% (127th) against a Northern Illinois defense allowing 64.3% (138th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffNorthern IllinoisSan José State
Head coachRob Harley (interim) (interim)Ken Niumatalolo
Tenureat this school1st season3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below0–814–20
Career recordas an FBS head coach0–8123–103
Offensive coordinatorTony PetersenCraig Stutzmann
Defensive coordinatorD. J. BlandBojay Filimoeatu

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Northern Illinois Huskies

San Jose State Spartans

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