Texas State Bobcats vs Oregon State Beavers Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
TXSTOffense2026 regular season to dateORST
TXSTDefenseORSTTXSTRecent formORSTTXSTHome and roadseason to dateORSTTXSTLast 10 gamesORSTRest & travelrest and travel
TXSTRest & travelORSTAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Texas State (3-4) visits Oregon State (4-3) on Saturday, November 7 at 10:30 PM ET.
Texas State has the 17th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 121st-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Oregon State has the 16th-ranked offense and the 97th-ranked defense. When Texas State has the ball, a 17th-ranked offense (+0.205 EPA per play) meets a 97th-ranked defense (+0.134 allowed); when Oregon State has it, a 16th-ranked offense (+0.218) meets a 121st-ranked defense (+0.191 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Texas State offense is at 50.2% (25th) and the Oregon State offense at 51.9% (15th). Texas State scores 34.6 points per game (20th) and allows 35.1 (124th); Oregon State scores 38.4 (6th) and allows 26.1 (69th).
Texas State is 4-4 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 46-45 loss to Boise State. Oregon State is 5-3 and 6-2 against the spread; its last game was a 38-22 loss to Fresno State.
Oregon State is a 6.5-point favorite at home against Texas State. The spread opened at Oregon State -8.5. The total is 71.5, up from 66.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Texas State +205, Oregon State -250) prices Texas State at 31% and Oregon State at 69%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Texas State +8.5 (-110)
Texas State +6.5 (-108)
Oregon State -285 71%
Oregon State -250 69%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- Texas State +6.5-101ProphetX
- Oregon State -6.5-106FanDuel
- Over 71.5+104ProphetX
- Under 71.5-104Novig
- Texas State+215ProphetX
- Oregon State-212Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts232
- Completion %67.2%38th
- Passing yards1,93356th
- Yards per attempt8.353rd
- TD–INT18–5
- Rushing yards92210th
- Season line129 carries, 922 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards46786th
- Season line41 catches, 467 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles56128th
- Attempts331
- Completion %66.8%47th
- Passing yards2,9561st
- Yards per attempt8.927th
- TD–INT25–2
- Rushing yards46594th
- Season line72 carries, 465 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards1,1101st
- Season line53 catches, 1110 yds, 14 TD
- Tackles6084th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Texas State | Oregon State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTexas State offense vs Oregon State defense | 44.8%43rd | 42.0%60th |
| Early-down success rateOregon State offense vs Texas State defense | 46.4%115th | 49.2%7th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTexas State offense vs Oregon State defense | 53.3%7th | 41.8%81st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOregon State offense vs Texas State defense | 42.0%86th | 41.8%56th |
| Explosive play rateTexas State offense vs Oregon State defense | 8.6%18th | 7.2%86th |
| Explosive play rateOregon State offense vs Texas State defense | 6.5%63rd | 9.0%13th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 45.8%106th-highest | 65.4%2nd-highest |
On 3rd down Texas State converts 53.3% (7th) against a Oregon State defense allowing 41.8% (81st).
On 3rd down Oregon State converts 41.8% (56th) against a Texas State defense allowing 42.0% (86th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Texas State | Oregon State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | G. J. Kinne | JaMarcus Shephard |
| Tenureat this school | 4th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 27–20 | 5–3 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 27–20 | 5–3 |
| Offensive coordinator | Landon Keopple | Mitch Dahlen |
| Defensive coordinator | Will Windham | Mike MacIntyre |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Texas State Bobcats
- Texas State Bobcats team stats
- Texas State Bobcats 45, Boise State Broncos 46 (Oct 31)
- Utah State Aggies 17, Texas State Bobcats 20 (Oct 24)
- Colorado State Rams 27, Texas State Bobcats 66 (Oct 15)
Oregon State Beavers
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