Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
TEXOffense2026 regular season to dateMIZ
TEXDefenseMIZTEXRecent formMIZTEXHome and roadseason to dateMIZTEXLast 10 gamesMIZRest & travelrest and travel
TEXRest & travelMIZAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Texas (6-2) visits Missouri (5-2) on Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET.
Texas has the 104th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 9th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Missouri has the 63rd-ranked offense and the 21st-ranked defense. When Texas has the ball, a 104th-ranked offense (−0.027 EPA per play) meets a 21st-ranked defense (−0.078 allowed); when Missouri has it, a 63rd-ranked offense (+0.069) meets a 9th-ranked defense (−0.126 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Texas offense is at 44.3% (97th) and the Missouri offense at 43.0% (111th). Texas scores 30.8 points per game (36th) and allows 17.1 (18th); Missouri scores 28.3 (53rd) and allows 19.0 (24th).
Texas is 6-2 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 31-3 win over Mississippi State. Missouri is 6-2 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 34-10 win over Arkansas.
Texas is a 2.5-point road favorite, with Missouri getting the points at home. The spread opened at Texas -3.5. The total is 42.5, down from 49 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Texas -142, Missouri +120) prices Texas at 56% and Missouri at 44%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Texas -3.5 (-110)
Texas -2.5 (-117)
Missouri +135 41%
Missouri +120 44%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- Texas -2.5-108Novig
- Missouri +2.5+104Novig
- Over 42.5-110theScore Bet
- Under 42.5+103ProphetX
- Texas-133Novig
- Missouri+127Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts217
- Completion %65.0%74th
- Passing yards1,73090th
- Yards per attempt8.074th
- TD–INT15–7
- Rushing yards452102nd
- Season line92 carries, 452 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards47085th
- Season line36 catches, 470 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles6357th
- Attempts239
- Completion %63.2%98th
- Passing yards1,93554th
- Yards per attempt8.166th
- TD–INT16–2
- Rushing yards1,0053rd
- Season line190 carries, 1005 yds, 9 TD
- Receiving yards75615th
- Season line53 catches, 756 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles862nd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Texas | Missouri |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTexas offense vs Missouri defense | 40.6%101st | 38.5%15th |
| Early-down success rateMissouri offense vs Texas defense | 35.0%4th | 39.6%113th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTexas offense vs Missouri defense | 38.6%88th | 42.6%90th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMissouri offense vs Texas defense | 31.8%10th | 41.1%58th |
| Explosive play rateTexas offense vs Missouri defense | 6.1%97th | 6.0%47th |
| Explosive play rateMissouri offense vs Texas defense | 3.7%4th | 7.5%40th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 48.6%85th-highest | 50.5%69th-highest |
On 3rd down Texas converts 38.6% (88th) against a Missouri defense allowing 42.6% (90th).
On 3rd down Missouri converts 41.1% (58th) against a Texas defense allowing 31.8% (10th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Texas | Missouri |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Steve Sarkisian | Eli Drinkwitz |
| Tenureat this school | 6th season | 7th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 52–22 | 52–31 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 98–57 | 64–32 |
| Offensive coordinator | Kyle Flood | Chip Lindsey |
| Defensive coordinator | Will Muschamp / Johnny Nansen | Corey Batoon / Derek Nicholson |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Texas Longhorns
- Texas Longhorns team stats
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 3, Texas Longhorns 31 (Oct 31)
- Ole Miss Rebels 27, Texas Longhorns 34 (Oct 24)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
Missouri Tigers
More NCAAF games on November 7, 2026
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- Clemson Tigers at Syracuse Orange (Nov 7)
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Tulane Green Wave (Nov 7)
- North Carolina Tar Heels at UConn Huskies (Nov 7)
- BYU Cougars at Utah Utes (Nov 7)
- Duke Blue Devils at NC State Wolfpack (Nov 7)
- Maryland Terrapins at Purdue Boilermakers (Nov 7)
- Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers (Nov 7)
- Old Dominion Monarchs at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Nov 7)
- Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats (Nov 7)
- Georgia State Panthers at Appalachian State Mountaineers (Nov 7)
- UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves (Nov 7)
Dig deeper
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