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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Louisville Cardinals

4-3

Quarterback Lincoln Kienholz

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

1-6

Quarterback Alberto Mendoza

Saturday, November 7 · 7:30 PM ET

LOUOffense2026 regular season to dateGT

10th+0.261

EPA/play

+0.04876th

28th49.7%

Success %

48.5%41st

9th37.7

PPG

22.093rd

LOUDefenseGT

87th+0.104

EPA/play allowed

+0.234128th

90th48.2%

Success % allowed

50.7%121st

90th29.0

Opp PPG

33.6117th

LOURecent formGT

Lvs Wake Forest 27-30L@ NC State 28-31Wvs Florida State 44-20W@ Syracuse 34-26Wvs Stanford 52-24

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ Stanford 27-34Wvs Duke 28-25L@ Virginia Tech 24-34Lvs Boston College 27-49L@ Pittsburgh 11-34

5-3

Record

2-6

5-3

ATS

—

7-1

Over–under

—

LOUHome and roadseason to dateGT

4-1

Home record

2-3

1-2

Road record

0-3

4-1

Home ATS

—

1-2

Road ATS

—

4-1

Home O/U

—

3-0

Road O/U

—

LOULast 10 gamesGT

Game by game

5-3

Last 8

2-6

+107

Net points

-48

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

LOURest & travelGT

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

316 mi508 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Bobby Dodd Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Louisville (4-3) visits Georgia Tech (1-6) on Saturday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET.

Louisville has the 10th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 87th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Georgia Tech has the 76th-ranked offense and the 128th-ranked defense. When Louisville has the ball, a 10th-ranked offense (+0.261 EPA per play) meets a 128th-ranked defense (+0.234 allowed); when Georgia Tech has it, a 76th-ranked offense (+0.048) meets a 87th-ranked defense (+0.104 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Louisville offense is at 49.7% (28th) and the Georgia Tech offense at 48.5% (41st). Louisville scores 37.7 points per game (9th) and allows 29.0 (90th); Georgia Tech scores 22.0 (93rd) and allows 33.6 (117th).

Louisville is 5-3 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 52-24 win over Stanford. Georgia Tech is 2-6; its last game was a 34-11 loss to Pittsburgh.

Louisville is a 14.5-point road favorite, with Georgia Tech getting the points at home. The spread opened at Louisville -14. The total is 61.5, up from 58.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Louisville -650, Georgia Tech +470) prices Louisville at 83% and Georgia Tech at 17%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5

OpenGeorgia Tech +14 (-110)
Louisville -14 (-110)

NowGeorgia Tech +14.5 (-110)
Louisville -14.5 (-110)

Totalup 3

Open58.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now61.5 (o -105 / u -114)

Moneyline

OpenLouisville -590 82%
Georgia Tech +440 18%

NowLouisville -650 83%
Georgia Tech +470 17%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

Louisville -14.5+102Novig
Georgia Tech +14.5-104Novig
Over 61.5-102Novig
Under 61.5-108Novig
Louisville-560ProphetX
Georgia Tech+525Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Louisville

QB · Lincoln Kienholz

Attempts208
Completion %67.8%33rd
Passing yards2,09441st
Yards per attempt10.14th
TD–INT12–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Isaac Brown

Rushing yards70729th
Season line92 carries, 707 yds, 7 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Tre Richardson

Receiving yards63334th
Season line40 catches, 633 yds, 2 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · T.J. Capers

Tackles57115th

Georgia Tech

QB · Alberto Mendoza

Attempts240
Completion %70.4%15th
Passing yards1,79578th
Yards per attempt7.5111th
TD–INT10–6

Leading rusher (RB) · Justice Haynes

Rushing yards54864th
Season line112 carries, 548 yds, 4 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Jordan Allen

Receiving yards54360th
Season line46 catches, 543 yds, 1 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Tae Harris

Tackles50199th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Louisville	Georgia Tech
Early-down success rateLouisville offense vs Georgia Tech defense	47.0%18th	45.3%104th
Early-down success rateGeorgia Tech offense vs Louisville defense	46.0%110th	48.4%10th
3rd-down conversion rateLouisville offense vs Georgia Tech defense	45.7%30th	44.8%104th
3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia Tech offense vs Louisville defense	34.8%26th	34.6%110th
Explosive play rateLouisville offense vs Georgia Tech defense	11.2%1st	8.0%102nd
Explosive play rateGeorgia Tech offense vs Louisville defense	6.8%74th	7.5%38th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	47.5%95th-highest	59.9%8th-highest

On 3rd down Louisville converts 45.7% (30th) against a Georgia Tech defense allowing 44.8% (104th).

On 3rd down Georgia Tech converts 34.6% (110th) against a Louisville defense allowing 34.8% (26th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Louisville	Georgia Tech
Head coach	Jeff Brohm	Brent Key
Tenureat this school	4th season	5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	33–15	29–26
Career recordas an FBS head coach	99–59	29–26
Offensive coordinator	Brian Brohm	George Godsey / Chris Weinke
Defensive coordinator	Steve Ellis / Mark Ivey	Jason Semore

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Louisville won 2 and Georgia Tech 0.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Sep 21, 2024	Georgia Tech 19, Louisville 31 Louisville won
Sep 1, 2023 neutral	Louisville 39, Georgia Tech 34 Louisville won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams