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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Boise State Broncos vs Colorado State Rams Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Boise State Broncos

6-1

Quarterback Maddux Madsen

Colorado State Rams

2-5

Quarterback K'saan Farrar

Saturday, November 7 · 6:00 PM ET

BOISOffense2026 regular season to dateCSU

7th+0.276

EPA/play

+0.3293rd

18th51.4%

Success %

50.8%22nd

16th35.6

PPG

32.329th

BOISDefenseCSU

119th+0.186

EPA/play allowed

+0.434138th

18th42.3%

Success % allowed

56.3%138th

50th23.6

Opp PPG

45.0138th

BOISRecent formCSU

W@ Western Michigan 32-7Wvs Utah State 37-18W@ Fresno State 38-31W@ Washington State 31-10Wvs Texas State 46-45

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ UTSA 45-59Lvs Oregon State 26-56L@ Texas State 27-66Wvs San Diego State 56-49L@ Utah State 14-31

7-1

Record

3-5

4-4

ATS

4-4

6-2

Over–under

7-1

BOISHome and roadseason to dateCSU

4-0

Home record

3-2

3-1

Road record

0-3

1-3

Home ATS

3-2

3-1

Road ATS

1-2

4-0

Home O/U

5-0

2-2

Road O/U

2-1

BOISLast 10 gamesCSU

Game by game

7-1

Last 8

3-5

+98

Net points

-55

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

BOISRest & travelCSU

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

606 mi976 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Canvas Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Boise State (6-1) visits Colorado State (2-5) on Saturday, November 7 at 6:00 PM ET.

Boise State has the 7th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 119th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Colorado State has the 3rd-ranked offense and the 138th-ranked defense. When Boise State has the ball, a 7th-ranked offense (+0.276 EPA per play) meets a 138th-ranked defense (+0.434 allowed); when Colorado State has it, a 3rd-ranked offense (+0.329) meets a 119th-ranked defense (+0.186 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Boise State offense is at 51.4% (18th) and the Colorado State offense at 50.8% (22nd). Boise State scores 35.6 points per game (16th) and allows 23.6 (50th); Colorado State scores 32.3 (29th) and allows 45.0 (138th).

Boise State is 7-1 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 46-45 win over Texas State. Colorado State is 3-5 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 31-14 loss to Utah State.

Boise State is a 17.5-point road favorite, with Colorado State getting the points at home. The spread opened at Boise State -18.5. The total is 68.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Boise State -910, Colorado State +610) prices Boise State at 86% and Colorado State at 14%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenColorado State +18.5 (-110)
Boise State -18.5 (-110)

NowColorado State +17.5 (-110)
Boise State -17.5 (-110)

Totalno move

Open68.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now68.5 (o -113 / u -105)

Moneyline

OpenBoise State -1293 89%
Colorado State +750 11%

NowBoise State -910 86%
Colorado State +610 14%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

Boise State -17.5+102Novig
Colorado State +17.5-109Bally Bet
Over 68.5-108Novig
Under 68.5+100Novig
Boise State-770Novig
Colorado State+733Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Boise State

QB · Maddux Madsen

Attempts222
Completion %66.7%49th
Passing yards1,68197th
Yards per attempt7.6100th
TD–INT15–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Dylan Riley

Rushing yards1,0491st
Season line165 carries, 1049 yds, 9 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Rasean Jones

Receiving yards55454th
Season line38 catches, 554 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Boen Phelps

Tackles49213th

Colorado State

QB · K'saan Farrar

Attempts122
Completion %61.5%
Passing yards788
Yards per attempt6.5
TD–INT5–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Mel Brown

Rushing yards454101st
Season line52 carries, 454 yds, 3 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · RJ Vick

Receiving yards425123rd
Season line29 catches, 425 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Oumar Diomande

Tackles7616th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Boise State	Colorado State
Early-down success rateBoise State offense vs Colorado State defense	45.2%35th	51.5%138th
Early-down success rateColorado State offense vs Boise State defense	39.8%26th	43.9%53rd
3rd-down conversion rateBoise State offense vs Colorado State defense	48.9%19th	56.1%137th
3rd-down conversion rateColorado State offense vs Boise State defense	32.9%14th	45.0%32nd
Explosive play rateBoise State offense vs Colorado State defense	6.5%80th	10.3%135th
Explosive play rateColorado State offense vs Boise State defense	8.1%110th	7.6%37th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	43.3%121st-highest	53.5%40th-highest

On 3rd down Boise State converts 48.9% (19th) against a Colorado State defense allowing 56.1% (137th).

On 3rd down Colorado State converts 45.0% (32nd) against a Boise State defense allowing 32.9% (14th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Boise State	Colorado State
Head coach	Spencer Danielson	Jim Mora
Tenureat this school	4th season	1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	31–9	3–5
Career recordas an FBS head coach	31–9	76–58
Offensive coordinator	Nate Potter	Pryce Tracy
Defensive coordinator	Erik Chinander	Kenny McClendon

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Boise State won 3 and Colorado State 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 22, 2025	Colorado State 21, Boise State 49 Boise State won
Oct 14, 2023	Boise State 30, Colorado State 31 Colorado State won
Oct 29, 2022	Colorado State 10, Boise State 49 Boise State won
Oct 30, 2021	Boise State 28, Colorado State 19 Boise State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams