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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Troy Trojans Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs logo
5-2
Quarterback Blake Baker
at
Troy Trojans logo
3-4
Quarterback Goose Crowder
Saturday, November 7 · 4:00 PM ET
LTOffense2026 regular season to dateTROY
85th+0.021
EPA/play
−0.026103rd
67th47.0%
Success %
43.5%107th
69th25.9
PPG
21.4103rd
LTDefenseTROY
38th−0.033
EPA/play allowed
+0.05764th
38th44.2%
Success % allowed
47.0%71st
43rd23.0
Opp PPG
25.463rd
LTRecent formTROY
Wvs Army 31-29Wvs Louisiana 32-31W@ UL Monroe 24-0Wvs Old Dominion 26-0W@ South Alabama 35-20
Resultsoldest to newest
L@ Utah State 10-21Wvs Southern Miss 55-34L@ Louisiana 6-33Lvs UL Monroe 14-21W@ James Madison 24-21
6-2
Record
4-4
7-1
ATS
3-5
5-3
Over–under
1-7
LTHome and roadseason to dateTROY
4-0
Home record
3-1
2-2
Road record
1-3
3-1
Home ATS
1-3
4-0
Road ATS
2-2
3-1
Home O/U
1-3
2-2
Road O/U
0-4
LTLast 10 gamesTROY
+74-31-17+2+1+24+26+15
Game by game
+3+17-10-11+21-27-7+3
6-2
Last 8
4-4
+94
Net points
-11
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
LTRest & travelTROY
7 days
Days of rest
9 days
395 mi636 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Louisiana Tech (5-2) visits Troy (3-4) on Saturday, November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.

Louisiana Tech has the 85th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 38th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Troy has the 103rd-ranked offense and the 64th-ranked defense. When Louisiana Tech has the ball, a 85th-ranked offense (+0.021 EPA per play) meets a 64th-ranked defense (+0.057 allowed); when Troy has it, a 103rd-ranked offense (−0.026) meets a 38th-ranked defense (−0.033 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Louisiana Tech offense is at 47.0% (67th) and the Troy offense at 43.5% (107th). Louisiana Tech scores 25.9 points per game (69th) and allows 23.0 (43rd); Troy scores 21.4 (103rd) and allows 25.4 (63rd).

Louisiana Tech is 6-2 and 7-1 against the spread; its last game was a 35-20 win over South Alabama. Troy is 4-4 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 24-21 win over James Madison.

Louisiana Tech is a 4.5-point road favorite, with Troy getting the points at home. The spread opened at Louisiana Tech -6.5. The total is 47.5, up from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Louisiana Tech -198, Troy +163) prices Louisiana Tech at 64% and Troy at 36%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2
OpenTroy +6.5 (-110)
Louisiana Tech -6.5 (-110)
NowTroy +4.5 (-110)
Louisiana Tech -4.5 (-110)
Totalup 2
Open45.5 (o -102 / u -118)
Now47.5 (o -109 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenLouisiana Tech -218 66%
Troy +180 34%
NowLouisiana Tech -198 64%
Troy +163 36%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

  • Louisiana Tech -4.5-110DraftKings
  • Troy +4.5+104Novig
  • Over 47.5-105FanDuel
  • Under 47.5+100Novig
  • Louisiana Tech-186Novig
  • Troy+178Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs logo
Louisiana Tech
QB · Blake Baker
  • Attempts149
  • Completion %71.1%10th
  • Passing yards1,327171st
  • Yards per attempt8.928th
  • TD–INT13–1
Leading rusher (RB) · Andrew Burnette
  • Rushing yards365161st
  • Season line94 carries, 365 yds, 2 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Jalen Mickens
  • Receiving yards61839th
  • Season line43 catches, 618 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Alonzo Jackson Jr.
  • Tackles57115th
Troy Trojans logo
Troy
QB · Goose Crowder
  • Attempts145
  • Completion %54.5%
  • Passing yards887
  • Yards per attempt6.1
  • TD–INT8–4
Leading rusher (RB) · Gavin Griffin
  • Rushing yards436113th
  • Season line98 carries, 436 yds, 3 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · TK Keyes
  • Receiving yards282281st
  • Season line13 catches, 282 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Keno Jones
  • Tackles6551st

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationLouisiana TechTroy
Early-down success rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Troy defense45.3%33rd42.8%69th
Early-down success rateTroy offense vs Louisiana Tech defense40.9%37th39.2%118th
3rd-down conversion rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Troy defense42.9%48th35.9%32nd
3rd-down conversion rateTroy offense vs Louisiana Tech defense45.0%106th35.4%107th
Explosive play rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Troy defense7.3%49th5.8%39th
Explosive play rateTroy offense vs Louisiana Tech defense9.1%128th6.1%93rd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks48.8%82nd-highest43.2%123rd-highest

On 3rd down Louisiana Tech converts 42.9% (48th) against a Troy defense allowing 35.9% (32nd).

On 3rd down Troy converts 35.4% (107th) against a Louisiana Tech defense allowing 45.0% (106th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffLouisiana TechTroy
Head coachSonny CumbieGerad Parker
Tenureat this school5th season3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below25–3316–18
Career recordas an FBS head coach27–3616–24
Offensive coordinatorNathan YoungAdam Austin
Defensive coordinatorLuke OlsonDontae Wright

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Troy Trojans

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