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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Maryland Terrapins logo
1-6
Quarterback Malik Washington
at
Purdue Boilermakers logo
2-5
Quarterback Ryan Browne
Saturday, November 7 · 12:30 PM ET
MDOffense2026 regular season to datePUR
109th−0.043
EPA/play
+0.05374th
66th47.0%
Success %
45.5%83rd
96th21.9
PPG
27.458th
MDDefensePUR
126th+0.222
EPA/play allowed
+0.263132nd
108th49.1%
Success % allowed
50.5%120th
129th36.1
Opp PPG
34.0118th
MDRecent formPUR
Lvs UCLA 3-54L@ Nebraska 23-48L@ Ohio State 16-45Lvs Rutgers 30-37Lvs Illinois 17-20
Resultsoldest to newest
Lvs Notre Dame 10-49W@ Illinois 24-17Wvs Minnesota 41-13Lvs Washington 26-38L@ Penn State 17-31
2-6
Record
3-5
3-5
ATS
3-5
6-2
Over–under
6-2
MDHome and roadseason to datePUR
1-4
Home record
2-3
1-2
Road record
1-2
1-4
Home ATS
2-3
2-1
Road ATS
1-2
4-1
Home O/U
5-0
2-1
Road O/U
1-2
MDLast 10 gamesPUR
+62+24-9-51-25-29-7-3
Game by game
+25-2-14-39+7+28-12-14
2-6
Last 8
3-5
-38
Net points
-21
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
MDRest & travelPUR
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
539 mi867 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Ross-Ade Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Maryland (1-6) visits Purdue (2-5) on Saturday, November 7 at 12:30 PM ET.

Maryland has the 109th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 126th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Purdue has the 74th-ranked offense and the 132nd-ranked defense. When Maryland has the ball, a 109th-ranked offense (−0.043 EPA per play) meets a 132nd-ranked defense (+0.263 allowed); when Purdue has it, a 74th-ranked offense (+0.053) meets a 126th-ranked defense (+0.222 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Maryland offense is at 47.0% (66th) and the Purdue offense at 45.5% (83rd). Maryland scores 21.9 points per game (96th) and allows 36.1 (129th); Purdue scores 27.4 (58th) and allows 34.0 (118th).

Maryland is 2-6 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 20-17 loss to Illinois. Purdue is 3-5 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 31-17 loss to Penn State.

Purdue is a 6-point favorite at home against Maryland. The spread opened at Purdue -6.5. The total is 57.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Maryland +185, Purdue -225) prices Maryland at 34% and Purdue at 66%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5
OpenPurdue -6.5 (-109)
Maryland +6.5 (-111)
NowPurdue -6 (-108)
Maryland +6 (-111)
Totalno move
Open57.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now57.5 (o -107 / u -111)
Moneyline
OpenMaryland +186 34%
Purdue -225 66%
NowMaryland +185 34%
Purdue -225 66%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

  • Maryland +6-108Caesars
  • Purdue -6-108DraftKings
  • Over 57.5+106ProphetX
  • Under 57.5-110FanDuel
  • Maryland+194Novig
  • Purdue-199Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Maryland Terrapins logo
Maryland
QB · Malik Washington
  • Attempts289
  • Completion %60.2%158th
  • Passing yards1,80576th
  • Yards per attempt6.2218th
  • TD–INT9–7
Leading rusher (RB) · DeJuan Williams
  • Rushing yards338183rd
  • Season line57 carries, 338 yds, 4 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Chris Durr Jr.
  • Receiving yards63831st
  • Season line58 catches, 638 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Daniel Wingate
  • Tackles48225th
Purdue Boilermakers logo
Purdue
QB · Ryan Browne
  • Attempts250
  • Completion %62.0%126th
  • Passing yards1,96451st
  • Yards per attempt7.977th
  • TD–INT11–5
Leading rusher (RB) · Fame Ijeboi
  • Rushing yards58852nd
  • Season line141 carries, 588 yds, 9 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Asaad Waseem
  • Receiving yards65229th
  • Season line41 catches, 652 yds, 1 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Jojo Hayden
  • Tackles5993rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationMarylandPurdue
Early-down success rateMaryland offense vs Purdue defense45.1%38th44.9%99th
Early-down success ratePurdue offense vs Maryland defense42.9%71st42.1%80th
3rd-down conversion rateMaryland offense vs Purdue defense36.6%98th50.0%128th
3rd-down conversion ratePurdue offense vs Maryland defense50.0%128th38.0%91st
Explosive play rateMaryland offense vs Purdue defense5.8%104th9.0%125th
Explosive play ratePurdue offense vs Maryland defense6.7%70th7.1%55th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks59.9%7th-highest54.2%31st-highest

On 3rd down Maryland converts 36.6% (98th) against a Purdue defense allowing 50.0% (128th).

On 3rd down Purdue converts 38.0% (91st) against a Maryland defense allowing 50.0% (128th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffMarylandPurdue
Head coachAazaar Abdul-Rahim (interim) (interim)Barry Odom
Tenureat this school1st season2nd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below0–15–15
Career recordas an FBS head coach0–149–48
Offensive coordinatorClint TrickettJosh Henson
Defensive coordinatorAazaar Abdul-Rahim / Zac SpavitalKevin Kane

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Maryland won 0 and Purdue 1.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 8, 2022Purdue 31, Maryland 29
Purdue won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Maryland Terrapins

Purdue Boilermakers

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