Maryland Terrapins vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Maryland (1-6) visits Purdue (2-5) on Saturday, November 7 at 12:30 PM ET.
Maryland has the 109th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 126th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Purdue has the 74th-ranked offense and the 132nd-ranked defense. When Maryland has the ball, a 109th-ranked offense (−0.043 EPA per play) meets a 132nd-ranked defense (+0.263 allowed); when Purdue has it, a 74th-ranked offense (+0.053) meets a 126th-ranked defense (+0.222 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Maryland offense is at 47.0% (66th) and the Purdue offense at 45.5% (83rd). Maryland scores 21.9 points per game (96th) and allows 36.1 (129th); Purdue scores 27.4 (58th) and allows 34.0 (118th).
Maryland is 2-6 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 20-17 loss to Illinois. Purdue is 3-5 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 31-17 loss to Penn State.
Purdue is a 6-point favorite at home against Maryland. The spread opened at Purdue -6.5. The total is 57.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Maryland +185, Purdue -225) prices Maryland at 34% and Purdue at 66%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Maryland +6.5 (-111)
Maryland +6 (-111)
Purdue -225 66%
Purdue -225 66%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- Maryland +6-108Caesars
- Purdue -6-108DraftKings
- Over 57.5+106ProphetX
- Under 57.5-110FanDuel
- Maryland+194Novig
- Purdue-199Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts289
- Completion %60.2%158th
- Passing yards1,80576th
- Yards per attempt6.2218th
- TD–INT9–7
- Rushing yards338183rd
- Season line57 carries, 338 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards63831st
- Season line58 catches, 638 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles48225th
- Attempts250
- Completion %62.0%126th
- Passing yards1,96451st
- Yards per attempt7.977th
- TD–INT11–5
- Rushing yards58852nd
- Season line141 carries, 588 yds, 9 TD
- Receiving yards65229th
- Season line41 catches, 652 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles5993rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Maryland | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateMaryland offense vs Purdue defense | 45.1%38th | 44.9%99th |
| Early-down success ratePurdue offense vs Maryland defense | 42.9%71st | 42.1%80th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMaryland offense vs Purdue defense | 36.6%98th | 50.0%128th |
| 3rd-down conversion ratePurdue offense vs Maryland defense | 50.0%128th | 38.0%91st |
| Explosive play rateMaryland offense vs Purdue defense | 5.8%104th | 9.0%125th |
| Explosive play ratePurdue offense vs Maryland defense | 6.7%70th | 7.1%55th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 59.9%7th-highest | 54.2%31st-highest |
On 3rd down Maryland converts 36.6% (98th) against a Purdue defense allowing 50.0% (128th).
On 3rd down Purdue converts 38.0% (91st) against a Maryland defense allowing 50.0% (128th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Maryland | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Aazaar Abdul-Rahim (interim) (interim) | Barry Odom |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 0–1 | 5–15 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 0–1 | 49–48 |
| Offensive coordinator | Clint Trickett | Josh Henson |
| Defensive coordinator | Aazaar Abdul-Rahim / Zac Spavital | Kevin Kane |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Maryland won 0 and Purdue 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | Purdue 31, Maryland 29 Purdue won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Maryland Terrapins
- Maryland Terrapins team stats
- Illinois Fighting Illini 20, Maryland Terrapins 17 (Oct 31)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- Maryland Terrapins 16, Ohio State Buckeyes 45 (Oct 10)
Purdue Boilermakers
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