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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Washington Huskies Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Penn State Nittany Lions

4-4

Quarterback Rocco Becht

Washington Huskies

4-3

Quarterback Demond Williams Jr.

Saturday, November 7 · 3:30 PM ET

PSUOffense2026 regular season to dateWASH

54th+0.088

EPA/play

−0.049111th

50th48.2%

Success %

44.1%100th

45th29.0

PPG

23.484th

PSUDefenseWASH

57th+0.015

EPA/play allowed

−0.11710th

44th44.8%

Success % allowed

43.9%32nd

22nd18.6

Opp PPG

21.937th

PSURecent formWASH

Lvs Wisconsin 20-24L@ Northwestern 13-34Lvs USC 23-31L@ Michigan 18-21Wvs Purdue 31-17

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs Minnesota 24-27L@ USC 21-25Lvs Iowa 24-41W@ Purdue 38-26W@ Nebraska 17-10

4-4

Record

5-3

4-4

ATS

3-5

2-5-1

Over–under

4-4

PSUHome and roadseason to dateWASH

3-2

Home record

3-2

1-2

Road record

2-1

3-2

Home ATS

0-5

1-2

Road ATS

3-0

2-3

Home O/U

3-2

0-2-1

Road O/U

1-2

PSULast 10 gamesWASH

Game by game

4-4

Last 8

5-3

+83

Net points

+43

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

PSURest & travelWASH

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

2,219 mi3,571 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

−3 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Husky Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Penn State (4-4) visits Washington (4-3) on Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET.

Penn State has the 54th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 57th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Washington has the 111th-ranked offense and the 10th-ranked defense. When Penn State has the ball, a 54th-ranked offense (+0.088 EPA per play) meets a 10th-ranked defense (−0.117 allowed); when Washington has it, a 111th-ranked offense (−0.049) meets a 57th-ranked defense (+0.015 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Penn State offense is at 48.2% (50th) and the Washington offense at 44.1% (100th). Penn State scores 29.0 points per game (45th) and allows 18.6 (22nd); Washington scores 23.4 (84th) and allows 21.9 (37th).

Penn State is 4-4 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 31-17 win over Purdue. Washington is 5-3 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 17-10 win over Nebraska.

Washington is a 2.5-point favorite at home against Penn State. The spread opened with Penn State favored by 0.5. The total is 44.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Penn State +114, Washington -135) prices Penn State at 45% and Washington at 55%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadfavorite flipped

OpenWashington +0.5 (-114)
Penn State -0.5 (-107)

NowWashington -2.5 (-110)
Penn State +2.5 (-110)

Totalno move

Open44.5 (o -113 / u -108)

Now44.5 (o -109 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenPenn State -107 49%
Washington -115 51%

NowPenn State +114 45%
Washington -135 55%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

Penn State +2.5-104Novig
Washington -2.5+102Novig
Over 44.5-105Hard Rock
Under 44.5+102Novig
Penn State+122Novig
Washington-127Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Penn State

QB · Rocco Becht

Attempts234
Completion %63.2%98th
Passing yards1,83969th
Yards per attempt7.977th
TD–INT13–5

Leading rusher (RB) · Carson Hansen

Rushing yards374156th
Season line89 carries, 374 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Chase Sowell

Receiving yards51068th
Season line34 catches, 510 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Tony Rojas

Tackles57115th

Washington

QB · Demond Williams Jr.

Attempts187
Completion %65.8%60th
Passing yards1,495140th
Yards per attempt8.072nd
TD–INT9–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Brian Bonner Jr.

Rushing yards309212th
Season line68 carries, 309 yds, 1 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Chris Lawson

Receiving yards63831st
Season line44 catches, 638 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Alex McLaughlin

Tackles56128th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Penn State	Washington
Early-down success ratePenn State offense vs Washington defense	45.9%27th	42.3%62nd
Early-down success rateWashington offense vs Penn State defense	41.5%44th	42.7%74th
3rd-down conversion ratePenn State offense vs Washington defense	35.1%108th	34.9%27th
3rd-down conversion rateWashington offense vs Penn State defense	32.9%15th	31.3%126th
Explosive play ratePenn State offense vs Washington defense	6.5%78th	6.2%56th
Explosive play rateWashington offense vs Penn State defense	7.0%79th	6.7%70th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	50.5%68th-highest	60.3%5th-highest

On 3rd down Penn State converts 35.1% (108th) against a Washington defense allowing 34.9% (27th).

On 3rd down Washington converts 31.3% (126th) against a Penn State defense allowing 32.9% (15th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Penn State	Washington
Head coach	Matt Campbell	Jedd Fisch
Tenureat this school	1st season	3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	4–4	20–14
Career recordas an FBS head coach	111–74	37–36
Offensive coordinator	Taylor Mouser	Jedd Fisch
Defensive coordinator	D'Anton Lynn	Ryan Walters

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Penn State won 1 and Washington 0.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 9, 2024	Washington 6, Penn State 35 Penn State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams