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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Sam Houston State Bearkats logo
0-7
Quarterback Landyn Locke
at
Jacksonville State Gamecocks logo
5-2
Quarterback Caden Creel
Saturday, November 7 · 7:00 PM ET
SHSUOffense2026 regular season to dateJXST
121st−0.101
EPA/play
+0.16730th
129th40.4%
Success %
52.9%10th
136th12.1
PPG
23.780th
SHSUDefenseJXST
50th−0.003
EPA/play allowed
+0.07269th
40th44.3%
Success % allowed
46.7%64th
88th28.7
Opp PPG
21.736th
SHSURecent formJXST
L@ Texas Tech 14-49L@ Liberty 3-35Lvs Western Kentucky 3-16Lvs New Mexico State 24-30L@ Missouri State 3-24
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Georgia Southern 31-27Wvs Middle Tennessee 23-13W@ Kennesaw State 27-26Wvs Florida International 27-24W@ New Mexico State 24-0
1-7
Record
6-2
3-5
ATS
—
3-5
Over–under
—
SHSUHome and roadseason to dateJXST
1-3
Home record
4-0
0-4
Road record
2-2
2-2
Home ATS
—
1-3
Road ATS
—
2-2
Home O/U
—
1-3
Road O/U
—
SHSULast 10 gamesJXST
-3-6+59-35-32-13-6-21
Game by game
-26+42-2+4+10+1+3+24
1-7
Last 8
6-2
-57
Net points
+56
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
SHSURest & travelJXST
11 days
Days of rest
10 days
610 mi981 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
AmFirst Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Sam Houston (0-7) visits Jacksonville State (5-2) on Saturday, November 7 at 7:00 PM ET.

Sam Houston has the 121st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 50th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Jacksonville State has the 30th-ranked offense and the 69th-ranked defense. When Sam Houston has the ball, a 121st-ranked offense (−0.101 EPA per play) meets a 69th-ranked defense (+0.072 allowed); when Jacksonville State has it, a 30th-ranked offense (+0.167) meets a 50th-ranked defense (−0.003 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Sam Houston offense is at 40.4% (129th) and the Jacksonville State offense at 52.9% (10th). Sam Houston scores 12.1 points per game (136th) and allows 28.7 (88th); Jacksonville State scores 23.7 (80th) and allows 21.7 (36th).

Sam Houston is 1-7 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 24-3 loss to Missouri State. Jacksonville State is 6-2; its last game was a 24-0 win over New Mexico State.

Jacksonville State is a 17-point favorite at home against Sam Houston. The spread opened at Jacksonville State -14.5. The total is 47.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Sam Houston +550, Jacksonville State -900) prices Sam Houston at 15% and Jacksonville State at 85%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2.5
OpenJacksonville State -14.5 (-110)
Sam Houston +14.5 (-110)
NowJacksonville State -17 (-110)
Sam Houston +17 (-110)
Totalno move
Open47.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now47.5 (o -108 / u -111)
Moneyline
OpenSam Houston +465 17%
Jacksonville State -683 83%
NowSam Houston +550 15%
Jacksonville State -900 85%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

  • Sam Houston +17-110BetMGM
  • Jacksonville State -17-108BetMGM
  • Over 47.5-105Hard Rock
  • Under 47.5+100DraftKings
  • Sam Houston+690ProphetX
  • Jacksonville State-733Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Sam Houston State Bearkats logo
Sam Houston
QB · Landyn Locke
  • Attempts236
  • Completion %62.3%116th
  • Passing yards1,653108th
  • Yards per attempt7.0153rd
  • TD–INT12–5
Leading rusher (RB) · Alton McCaskill
  • Rushing yards232299th
  • Season line59 carries, 232 yds, 1 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Tim Burns Jr.
  • Receiving yards392154th
  • Season line18 catches, 392 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Dean Ford
  • Tackles47245th
Jacksonville State Gamecocks logo
Jacksonville State
QB · Caden Creel
  • Attempts209
  • Completion %67.0%43rd
  • Passing yards1,74687th
  • Yards per attempt8.351st
  • TD–INT13–8
Leading rusher (QB) · Caden Creel
  • Rushing yards71327th
  • Season line126 carries, 713 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Deondre Johnson
  • Receiving yards438108th
  • Season line23 catches, 438 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (S) · Caleb Nix
  • Tackles54153rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationSam HoustonJacksonville State
Early-down success rateSam Houston offense vs Jacksonville State defense37.8%128th41.2%40th
Early-down success rateJacksonville State offense vs Sam Houston defense41.1%39th46.5%22nd
3rd-down conversion rateSam Houston offense vs Jacksonville State defense31.5%125th50.5%132nd
3rd-down conversion rateJacksonville State offense vs Sam Houston defense32.9%15th42.1%52nd
Explosive play rateSam Houston offense vs Jacksonville State defense5.0%122nd4.4%5th
Explosive play rateJacksonville State offense vs Sam Houston defense6.8%73rd6.6%71st
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks63.3%3rd-highest44.2%115th-highest

On 3rd down Sam Houston converts 31.5% (125th) against a Jacksonville State defense allowing 50.5% (132nd).

On 3rd down Jacksonville State converts 42.1% (52nd) against a Sam Houston defense allowing 32.9% (15th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffSam HoustonJacksonville State
Head coachFreddie Aughtry-Lindsay (interim)Charles Kelly
Tenureat this school1st season2nd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below0–015–7
Career recordas an FBS head coach0–015–7
Offensive coordinatorZack PattersonTaylor Housewright
Defensive coordinatorFreddie Aughtry-LindsayBrian Williams

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Sam Houston won 1 and Jacksonville State 3.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 9, 2025 neutralJacksonville State 29, Sam Houston 27
Jacksonville State won


Nov 23, 2024Sam Houston 11, Jacksonville State 21
Jacksonville State won


Sep 28, 2023Jacksonville State 35, Sam Houston 28
Jacksonville State won


Oct 23, 2021Jacksonville State 7, Sam Houston 42
Sam Houston won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Sam Houston State Bearkats

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

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