Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Sam Houston (0-7) visits Jacksonville State (5-2) on Saturday, November 7 at 7:00 PM ET.
Sam Houston has the 121st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 50th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Jacksonville State has the 30th-ranked offense and the 69th-ranked defense. When Sam Houston has the ball, a 121st-ranked offense (−0.101 EPA per play) meets a 69th-ranked defense (+0.072 allowed); when Jacksonville State has it, a 30th-ranked offense (+0.167) meets a 50th-ranked defense (−0.003 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Sam Houston offense is at 40.4% (129th) and the Jacksonville State offense at 52.9% (10th). Sam Houston scores 12.1 points per game (136th) and allows 28.7 (88th); Jacksonville State scores 23.7 (80th) and allows 21.7 (36th).
Sam Houston is 1-7 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 24-3 loss to Missouri State. Jacksonville State is 6-2; its last game was a 24-0 win over New Mexico State.
Jacksonville State is a 17-point favorite at home against Sam Houston. The spread opened at Jacksonville State -14.5. The total is 47.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Sam Houston +550, Jacksonville State -900) prices Sam Houston at 15% and Jacksonville State at 85%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Sam Houston +14.5 (-110)
Sam Houston +17 (-110)
Jacksonville State -683 83%
Jacksonville State -900 85%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- Sam Houston +17-110BetMGM
- Jacksonville State -17-108BetMGM
- Over 47.5-105Hard Rock
- Under 47.5+100DraftKings
- Sam Houston+690ProphetX
- Jacksonville State-733Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts236
- Completion %62.3%116th
- Passing yards1,653108th
- Yards per attempt7.0153rd
- TD–INT12–5
- Rushing yards232299th
- Season line59 carries, 232 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards392154th
- Season line18 catches, 392 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles47245th
- Attempts209
- Completion %67.0%43rd
- Passing yards1,74687th
- Yards per attempt8.351st
- TD–INT13–8
- Rushing yards71327th
- Season line126 carries, 713 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards438108th
- Season line23 catches, 438 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles54153rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Sam Houston | Jacksonville State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSam Houston offense vs Jacksonville State defense | 37.8%128th | 41.2%40th |
| Early-down success rateJacksonville State offense vs Sam Houston defense | 41.1%39th | 46.5%22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSam Houston offense vs Jacksonville State defense | 31.5%125th | 50.5%132nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateJacksonville State offense vs Sam Houston defense | 32.9%15th | 42.1%52nd |
| Explosive play rateSam Houston offense vs Jacksonville State defense | 5.0%122nd | 4.4%5th |
| Explosive play rateJacksonville State offense vs Sam Houston defense | 6.8%73rd | 6.6%71st |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 63.3%3rd-highest | 44.2%115th-highest |
On 3rd down Sam Houston converts 31.5% (125th) against a Jacksonville State defense allowing 50.5% (132nd).
On 3rd down Jacksonville State converts 42.1% (52nd) against a Sam Houston defense allowing 32.9% (15th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Sam Houston | Jacksonville State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay (interim) | Charles Kelly |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 0–0 | 15–7 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 0–0 | 15–7 |
| Offensive coordinator | Zack Patterson | Taylor Housewright |
| Defensive coordinator | Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay | Brian Williams |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Sam Houston won 1 and Jacksonville State 3.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 neutral | Jacksonville State 29, Sam Houston 27 Jacksonville State won | ||
| Nov 23, 2024 | Sam Houston 11, Jacksonville State 21 Jacksonville State won | ||
| Sep 28, 2023 | Jacksonville State 35, Sam Houston 28 Jacksonville State won | ||
| Oct 23, 2021 | Jacksonville State 7, Sam Houston 42 Sam Houston won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Sam Houston State Bearkats
- Sam Houston State Bearkats 3, Missouri State Bears 24 (Oct 27)
- New Mexico State Aggies 30, Sam Houston State Bearkats 24 (Oct 21)
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 16, Sam Houston State Bearkats 3 (Oct 14)
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
More NCAAF games on November 7, 2026
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- Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Tulane Green Wave (Nov 7)
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- Duke Blue Devils at NC State Wolfpack (Nov 7)
- Maryland Terrapins at Purdue Boilermakers (Nov 7)
- Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers (Nov 7)
- Old Dominion Monarchs at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Nov 7)
- Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats (Nov 7)
- Georgia State Panthers at Appalachian State Mountaineers (Nov 7)
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