Oregon Ducks vs Ohio State Buckeyes Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
OREOffense2026 regular season to dateOSU
OREDefenseOSUORERecent formOSUOREHome and roadseason to dateOSUORELast 10 gamesOSURest & travelrest and travel
ORERest & travelOSUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Oregon (4-3) visits Ohio State (6-2) on Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET.
Oregon has the 89th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 42nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Ohio State has the 26th-ranked offense and the 41st-ranked defense. When Oregon has the ball, a 89th-ranked offense (+0.003 EPA per play) meets a 41st-ranked defense (−0.018 allowed); when Ohio State has it, a 26th-ranked offense (+0.184) meets a 42nd-ranked defense (−0.018 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Oregon offense is at 42.9% (113th) and the Ohio State offense at 50.9% (20th). Oregon scores 26.0 points per game (67th) and allows 24.4 (56th); Ohio State scores 36.6 (12th) and allows 15.5 (11th).
Oregon is 5-3; its last game was a 34-26 win over Northwestern. Ohio State is 6-2 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 30-18 loss to USC.
Ohio State is a 7.5-point favorite at home against Oregon. The spread opened at Ohio State -12.5. The total is 46.5, up from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Oregon +250, Ohio State -305) prices Oregon at 28% and Ohio State at 72%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Oregon +12.5 (-110)
Oregon +7.5 (-110)
Ohio State -500 80%
Ohio State -305 72%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- Oregon +7.5+100Novig
- Ohio State -7.5-104Novig
- Over 46.5+102Novig
- Under 46.5-108BetMGM
- Oregon+275Hard Rock
- Ohio State-277Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts145
- Completion %66.2%56th
- Passing yards1,097204th
- Yards per attempt7.6100th
- TD–INT9–2
- Rushing yards439111th
- Season line91 carries, 439 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards54558th
- Season line41 catches, 545 yds, 6 TD
- Tackles53162nd
- Attempts47
- Completion %59.6%
- Passing yards440
- Yards per attempt9.4
- TD–INT3–2
- Rushing yards63742nd
- Season line128 carries, 637 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards1,0672nd
- Season line62 catches, 1067 yds, 13 TD
- Tackles43310th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Oregon | Ohio State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateOregon offense vs Ohio State defense | 41.2%90th | 36.0%7th |
| Early-down success rateOhio State offense vs Oregon defense | 40.7%34th | 48.0%14th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOregon offense vs Ohio State defense | 31.9%124th | 40.7%69th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOhio State offense vs Oregon defense | 34.5%24th | 47.3%26th |
| Explosive play rateOregon offense vs Ohio State defense | 7.8%32nd | 4.4%6th |
| Explosive play rateOhio State offense vs Oregon defense | 7.5%92nd | 7.8%31st |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 55.8%20th-highest | 48.6%86th-highest |
On 3rd down Oregon converts 31.9% (124th) against a Ohio State defense allowing 40.7% (69th).
On 3rd down Ohio State converts 47.3% (26th) against a Oregon defense allowing 34.5% (24th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Oregon | Ohio State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Dan Lanning | Ryan Day |
| Tenureat this school | 5th season | 8th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 53–11 | 88–14 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 53–11 | 88–14 |
| Offensive coordinator | Drew Mehringer | Keenan Bailey / Arthur Smith |
| Defensive coordinator | Chris Hampton | Matt Patricia / Tim Walton |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Oregon won 2 and Ohio State 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 bowl | Ohio State 41, Oregon 21 Ohio State won | ||
| Oct 12, 2024 | Ohio State 31, Oregon 32 Oregon won | ||
| Sep 11, 2021 | Oregon 35, Ohio State 28 Oregon won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Oregon Ducks
- Oregon Ducks team stats
- Northwestern Wildcats 26, Oregon Ducks 34 (Oct 31)
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Nebraska Cornhuskers 14, Oregon Ducks 17 (Oct 17)
Ohio State Buckeyes
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