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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

West Virginia Mountaineers

4-3

Quarterback Michael Hawkins Jr.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

6-1

Quarterback Thomas Castellanos

Saturday, November 7 · 9:30 PM ET

WVUOffense2026 regular season to dateTTU

38th+0.145

EPA/play

+0.05670th

80th45.6%

Success %

46.4%72nd

22nd33.6

PPG

36.014th

WVUDefenseTTU

133rd+0.271

EPA/play allowed

−0.05230th

127th51.4%

Success % allowed

44.7%43rd

126th35.9

Opp PPG

22.741st

WVURecent formTTU

Lvs Oklahoma State 24-41L@ Iowa State 42-45Lvs Arizona 31-52Wvs Cincinnati 45-42W@ TCU 24-20

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs Sam Houston 49-14W@ Colorado 29-7Wvs Arizona State 53-25L@ Cincinnati 24-37Wvs Arizona 34-26

5-3

Record

7-1

—

ATS

4-4

—

Over–under

6-2

WVUHome and roadseason to dateTTU

3-2

Home record

5-0

2-1

Road record

2-1

—

Home ATS

3-2

—

Road ATS

1-2

—

Home O/U

4-1

—

Road O/U

2-1

WVULast 10 gamesTTU

Game by game

5-3

Last 8

7-1

+29

Net points

+116

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

WVURest & travelTTU

14 days

Days of rest

7 days

1,282 mi2,062 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

−1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Jones AT&T Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

West Virginia (4-3) visits Texas Tech (6-1) on Saturday, November 7 at 9:30 PM ET.

West Virginia has the 38th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 133rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Texas Tech has the 70th-ranked offense and the 30th-ranked defense. When West Virginia has the ball, a 38th-ranked offense (+0.145 EPA per play) meets a 30th-ranked defense (−0.052 allowed); when Texas Tech has it, a 70th-ranked offense (+0.056) meets a 133rd-ranked defense (+0.271 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the West Virginia offense is at 45.6% (80th) and the Texas Tech offense at 46.4% (72nd). West Virginia scores 33.6 points per game (22nd) and allows 35.9 (126th); Texas Tech scores 36.0 (14th) and allows 22.7 (41st).

West Virginia is 5-3; its last game was a 24-20 win over TCU. Texas Tech is 7-1 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 34-26 win over Arizona.

Texas Tech is a 16.5-point favorite at home against West Virginia. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 65.5, up from 62.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (West Virginia +600, Texas Tech -900) prices West Virginia at 14% and Texas Tech at 86%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move

OpenTexas Tech -16.5 (-110)
West Virginia +16.5 (-110)

NowTexas Tech -16.5 (-112)
West Virginia +16.5 (-108)

Totalup 3

Open62.5 (o -105 / u -115)

Now65.5 (o -108 / u -111)

Moneyline

OpenWest Virginia +547 15%
Texas Tech -784 85%

NowWest Virginia +600 14%
Texas Tech -900 86%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

West Virginia +16.5+109ProphetX
Texas Tech -16.5-110BetMGM
Over 65.5+101ProphetX
Under 65.5-104Novig
West Virginia+669Novig
Texas Tech-700Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

West Virginia

QB · Michael Hawkins Jr.

Attempts159
Completion %56.6%203rd
Passing yards1,598116th
Yards per attempt10.15th
TD–INT11–2

Leading rusher (RB) · Cam Cook

Rushing yards9239th
Season line186 carries, 923 yds, 7 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · DJ Epps

Receiving yards55653rd
Season line22 catches, 556 yds, 5 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Isaiah Patterson

Tackles48225th

Texas Tech

QB · Thomas Castellanos

Attempts29
Completion %48.3%
Passing yards189
Yards per attempt6.5
TD–INT4–1

Leading rusher (RB) · J'Koby Williams

Rushing yards79418th
Season line100 carries, 794 yds, 6 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Kenny Johnson

Receiving yards54856th
Season line35 catches, 548 yds, 2 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Austin Romaine

Tackles6646th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	West Virginia	Texas Tech
Early-down success rateWest Virginia offense vs Texas Tech defense	41.9%84th	43.1%75th
Early-down success rateTexas Tech offense vs West Virginia defense	49.3%135th	42.2%76th
3rd-down conversion rateWest Virginia offense vs Texas Tech defense	48.1%22nd	39.4%61st
3rd-down conversion rateTexas Tech offense vs West Virginia defense	41.2%75th	38.6%89th
Explosive play rateWest Virginia offense vs Texas Tech defense	8.7%16th	6.1%51st
Explosive play rateTexas Tech offense vs West Virginia defense	11.9%138th	7.4%42nd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	31.0%134th-highest	47.2%99th-highest

On 3rd down West Virginia converts 48.1% (22nd) against a Texas Tech defense allowing 39.4% (61st).

On 3rd down Texas Tech converts 38.6% (89th) against a West Virginia defense allowing 41.2% (75th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	West Virginia	Texas Tech
Head coach	Rich Rodriguez	Joey McGuire
Tenureat this school	2nd season	5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	69–37	42–19
Career recordas an FBS head coach	145–102	42–19
Offensive coordinator	Rich Rodriguez	Mack Leftwich
Defensive coordinator	Zac Alley	Rob Greene / Shiel Wood

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2021: West Virginia won 1 and Texas Tech 4.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 29, 2025	Texas Tech 49, West Virginia 0 Texas Tech won
Nov 30, 2024	West Virginia 15, Texas Tech 52 Texas Tech won
Sep 23, 2023	Texas Tech 13, West Virginia 20 West Virginia won
Oct 22, 2022	West Virginia 10, Texas Tech 48 Texas Tech won
Oct 2, 2021	Texas Tech 23, West Virginia 20 Texas Tech won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams