UCLA Bruins vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
UCLAOffense2026 regular season to dateMINN
UCLADefenseMINNUCLARecent formMINNUCLAHome and roadseason to dateMINNUCLALast 10 gamesMINNRest & travelrest and travel
UCLARest & travelMINNAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
UCLA (8-0) visits Minnesota (4-3) on Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET.
UCLA has the 49th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 2nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Minnesota has the 129th-ranked offense and the 12th-ranked defense. When UCLA has the ball, a 49th-ranked offense (+0.104 EPA per play) meets a 12th-ranked defense (−0.109 allowed); when Minnesota has it, a 129th-ranked offense (−0.123) meets a 2nd-ranked defense (−0.270 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the UCLA offense is at 45.7% (79th) and the Minnesota offense at 39.2% (136th). UCLA scores 33.5 points per game (24th) and allows 13.4 (3rd); Minnesota scores 20.4 (111th) and allows 22.4 (39th).
UCLA is 8-0 and 8-0 against the spread; its last game was a 27-0 win over Nevada. Minnesota is 5-3 and 6-2 against the spread; its last game was a 23-16 loss to Indiana.
UCLA is a 5.5-point road favorite, with Minnesota getting the points at home. The spread opened at UCLA -6. The total is 39.5, down from 42.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (UCLA -220, Minnesota +180) prices UCLA at 66% and Minnesota at 34%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
UCLA -6 (-110)
UCLA -5.5 (-110)
Minnesota +171 35%
Minnesota +180 34%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- UCLA -5.5+105ProphetX
- Minnesota +5.5-106Novig
- Over 39.5+100ProphetX
- Under 39.5-107ProphetX
- UCLA-199Novig
- Minnesota+194Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts92
- Completion %56.5%
- Passing yards628
- Yards per attempt6.8
- TD–INT3–0
- Rushing yards68032nd
- Season line110 carries, 680 yds, 12 TD
- Receiving yards415131st
- Season line36 catches, 415 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles6268th
- Attempts259
- Completion %62.2%118th
- Passing yards1,592119th
- Yards per attempt6.2223rd
- TD–INT10–6
- Rushing yards379150th
- Season line63 carries, 379 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards46093rd
- Season line46 catches, 460 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles6084th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | UCLA | Minnesota |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateUCLA offense vs Minnesota defense | 41.1%93rd | 38.9%20th |
| Early-down success rateMinnesota offense vs UCLA defense | 38.2%12th | 34.8%136th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUCLA offense vs Minnesota defense | 47.6%25th | 29.3%4th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMinnesota offense vs UCLA defense | 33.7%19th | 28.9%134th |
| Explosive play rateUCLA offense vs Minnesota defense | 8.6%19th | 6.6%66th |
| Explosive play rateMinnesota offense vs UCLA defense | 6.1%50th | 6.1%96th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 43.6%119th-highest | 59.1%11th-highest |
On 3rd down UCLA converts 47.6% (25th) against a Minnesota defense allowing 29.3% (4th).
On 3rd down Minnesota converts 28.9% (134th) against a UCLA defense allowing 33.7% (19th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | UCLA | Minnesota |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Bob Chesney | P. J. Fleck |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 10th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 8–0 | 71–47 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 29–6 | 101–69 |
| Offensive coordinator | Dean Kennedy | Greg Harbaugh Jr. / Matt Simon |
| Defensive coordinator | Colin Hitschler | Danny Collins |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 1 time since 2021: UCLA won 0 and Minnesota 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Minnesota 21, UCLA 17 Minnesota won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
UCLA Bruins
- UCLA Bruins team stats
- Nevada Wolf Pack 0, UCLA Bruins 27 (Oct 31)
- Michigan State Spartans 10, UCLA Bruins 28 (Oct 24)
- Wisconsin Badgers 7, UCLA Bruins 17 (Oct 17)
Minnesota Golden Gophers
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