UCF Knights vs Kansas Jayhawks Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
UCFOffense2026 regular season to dateKU
UCFDefenseKUUCFLast 10 gamesKURest & travelrest and travel
UCFRest & travelKUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
UCF (3-4) visits Kansas (2-5) on Saturday, November 7 at 3:45 PM ET.
UCF has the 116th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 83rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Kansas has the 126th-ranked offense and the 54th-ranked defense. When UCF has the ball, a 116th-ranked offense (−0.071 EPA per play) meets a 54th-ranked defense (+0.009 allowed); when Kansas has it, a 126th-ranked offense (−0.114) meets a 83rd-ranked defense (+0.097 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the UCF offense is at 42.8% (116th) and the Kansas offense at 40.2% (131st). UCF scores 23.6 points per game (83rd) and allows 28.0 (84th); Kansas scores 26.0 (67th) and allows 26.3 (71st).
UCF is 4-4 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 41-9 loss to Baylor.
Kansas is a 2.5-point favorite at home against UCF. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 47.5, down from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (UCF +120, Kansas -145) prices UCF at 43% and Kansas at 57%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
UCF +2.5 (-107)
UCF +2.5 (-100)
Kansas -132 55%
Kansas -145 57%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- UCF +2.5+106Novig
- Kansas -2.5-115DraftKings
- Over 47.5-110DraftKings
- Under 47.5+106ProphetX
- UCF+127Novig
- Kansas-135theScore Bet
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts180
- Completion %67.8%33rd
- Passing yards1,181195th
- Yards per attempt6.6199th
- TD–INT11–4
- Rushing yards59751st
- Season line92 carries, 597 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards428121st
- Season line37 catches, 428 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles48225th
- Attempts196
- Completion %53.6%239th
- Passing yards1,506137th
- Yards per attempt7.789th
- TD–INT11–7
- Rushing yards57358th
- Season line125 carries, 573 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards46687th
- Season line25 catches, 466 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles55143rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | UCF | Kansas |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateUCF offense vs Kansas defense | 39.0%120th | 40.5%33rd |
| Early-down success rateKansas offense vs UCF defense | 43.5%79th | 38.1%126th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUCF offense vs Kansas defense | 37.9%92nd | 37.2%45th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateKansas offense vs UCF defense | 45.2%109th | 32.7%120th |
| Explosive play rateUCF offense vs Kansas defense | 5.2%118th | 6.6%69th |
| Explosive play rateKansas offense vs UCF defense | 7.5%93rd | 9.3%7th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 54.0%34th-highest | 47.4%96th-highest |
On 3rd down UCF converts 37.9% (92nd) against a Kansas defense allowing 37.2% (45th).
On 3rd down Kansas converts 32.7% (120th) against a UCF defense allowing 45.2% (109th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | UCF | Kansas |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Scott Frost | Lance Leipold |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 6th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 28–18 | 30–40 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 44–49 | 67–73 |
| Offensive coordinator | Steve Cooper | Andy Kotelnicki / Matt Lubick |
| Defensive coordinator | Alex Grinch | D.K. McDonald |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: UCF won 0 and Kansas 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Kansas 27, UCF 20 Kansas won | ||
| Oct 7, 2023 | UCF 22, Kansas 51 Kansas won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
UCF Knights
- UCF Knights team stats
- Baylor Bears 41, UCF Knights 9 (Oct 30)
- BYU Cougars 31, UCF Knights 39 (Oct 24)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
Kansas Jayhawks
More NCAAF games on November 7, 2026
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- Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Tulane Green Wave (Nov 7)
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- BYU Cougars at Utah Utes (Nov 7)
- Duke Blue Devils at NC State Wolfpack (Nov 7)
- Maryland Terrapins at Purdue Boilermakers (Nov 7)
- Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers (Nov 7)
- Old Dominion Monarchs at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Nov 7)
- Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats (Nov 7)
- Georgia State Panthers at Appalachian State Mountaineers (Nov 7)
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