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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Georgia State Panthers vs Appalachian State Mountaineers Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Georgia State Panthers

3-4

Quarterback Ayden Pereira

Appalachian State Mountaineers

4-3

Quarterback Malachi Singleton

Saturday, November 7 · 2:30 PM ET

GASTOffense2026 regular season to dateAPP

56th+0.084

EPA/play

−0.023101st

58th47.8%

Success %

45.5%82nd

37th30.3

PPG

22.789th

GASTDefenseAPP

95th+0.131

EPA/play allowed

+0.13499th

93rd48.5%

Success % allowed

47.9%86th

90th29.0

Opp PPG

25.463rd

GASTRecent formAPP

Wvs Northern Illinois 35-14Wvs Old Dominion 42-10L@ James Madison 22-49L@ Arkansas State 32-38Lvs Coastal Carolina 20-31

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ NC State 31-41Lvs Old Dominion 3-10W@ Coastal Carolina 35-32Wvs James Madison 34-31L@ Georgia Southern 3-19

4-4

Record

5-3

ATS

5-3

Over–under

4-4

GASTHome and roadseason to dateAPP

3-1

Home record

3-1

1-3

Road record

2-2

3-1

Home ATS

2-2

Road ATS

3-1

2-2

Home O/U

2-2

3-1

Road O/U

2-2

GASTLast 10 gamesAPP

Game by game

4-4

Last 8

5-3

+58

Net points

+33

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

GASTRest & travelAPP

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

230 mi369 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Kidd Brewer Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Georgia State (3-4) visits App State (4-3) on Saturday, November 7 at 2:30 PM ET.

Georgia State has the 56th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 95th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, App State has the 101st-ranked offense and the 99th-ranked defense. When Georgia State has the ball, a 56th-ranked offense (+0.084 EPA per play) meets a 99th-ranked defense (+0.134 allowed); when App State has it, a 101st-ranked offense (−0.023) meets a 95th-ranked defense (+0.131 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Georgia State offense is at 47.8% (58th) and the App State offense at 45.5% (82nd). Georgia State scores 30.3 points per game (37th) and allows 29.0 (90th); App State scores 22.7 (89th) and allows 25.4 (63rd).

Georgia State is 4-4 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 31-20 loss to Coastal Carolina. App State is 5-3 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 19-3 loss to Georgia Southern.

App State is a 6-point favorite at home against Georgia State. The spread opened at App State -3.5. The total is 55.5, down from 57.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Georgia State +185, App State -230) prices Georgia State at 33% and App State at 67%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2.5

OpenApp State -3.5 (-110)
Georgia State +3.5 (-110)

NowApp State -6 (-111)
Georgia State +6 (-108)

Totaldown 2

Open57.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now55.5 (o -107 / u -112)

Moneyline

OpenGeorgia State +135 41%
App State -158 59%

NowGeorgia State +185 33%
App State -230 67%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

Georgia State +6-108DraftKings
App State -6-110BetMGM
Over 55.5+105ProphetX
Under 55.5-109Bally Bet
Georgia State+199Novig
App State-203Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Georgia State

QB · Ayden Pereira

Attempts59
Completion %52.5%
Passing yards389
Yards per attempt6.6
TD–INT4–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Qwantavius Wiggins

Rushing yards446108th
Season line65 carries, 446 yds, 3 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Rodshaun Dorsey

Receiving yards45994th
Season line28 catches, 459 yds, 8 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Jaydon Hood

Tackles49213th

App State

QB · Malachi Singleton

Attempts237
Completion %65.0%74th
Passing yards1,91560th
Yards per attempt8.167th
TD–INT9–4

Leading rusher (RB) · Jaquari Lewis

Rushing yards431118th
Season line86 carries, 431 yds, 8 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Sam Pickett III

Receiving yards56051st
Season line36 catches, 560 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Colton Phares

Tackles6357th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Georgia State	App State
Early-down success rateGeorgia State offense vs App State defense	43.5%57th	43.9%87th
Early-down success rateApp State offense vs Georgia State defense	45.9%109th	41.4%89th
3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia State offense vs App State defense	42.9%48th	35.9%34th
3rd-down conversion rateApp State offense vs Georgia State defense	33.3%17th	37.1%96th
Explosive play rateGeorgia State offense vs App State defense	8.4%23rd	5.2%21st
Explosive play rateApp State offense vs Georgia State defense	9.1%130th	7.0%59th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	48.2%93rd-highest	54.6%25th-highest

On 3rd down Georgia State converts 42.9% (48th) against a App State defense allowing 35.9% (34th).

On 3rd down App State converts 37.1% (96th) against a Georgia State defense allowing 33.3% (17th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Georgia State	App State
Head coach	Dell McGee	Dowell Loggains
Tenureat this school	3rd season	2nd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	8–24	10–11
Career recordas an FBS head coach	8–24	10–11
Offensive coordinator	Hue Jackson	Mike Anthony
Defensive coordinator	Cam Clark / John Haneline	D. J. Smith

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Georgia State won 0 and App State 5.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 11, 2025	App State 41, Georgia State 20 App State won
Oct 26, 2024	Georgia State 26, App State 33 App State won
Nov 11, 2023	App State 42, Georgia State 14 App State won
Oct 19, 2022	Georgia State 17, App State 42 App State won
Oct 2, 2021	App State 45, Georgia State 16 App State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams