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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Rice Owls logo
0-7
Quarterback Jacurri Brown
at
North Texas Mean Green logo
5-2
Quarterback Tayven Jackson
Saturday, November 7 · 4:00 PM ET
RICEOffense2026 regular season to dateUNT
62nd+0.072
EPA/play
+0.3491st
81st45.5%
Success %
54.0%5th
114th19.6
PPG
41.02nd
RICEDefenseUNT
115th+0.178
EPA/play allowed
+0.165109th
103rd48.8%
Success % allowed
52.3%133rd
126th35.9
Opp PPG
34.4119th
RICERecent formUNT
L@ Fresno State 24-38Lvs UTSA 14-16L@ East Carolina 12-28Lvs Tulsa 17-38L@ Florida Atlantic 49-51
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Houston Christian 63-14W@ Tulsa 45-44Wvs Charlotte 50-10W@ Navy 49-39Wvs Florida Atlantic 48-41
0-7
Record
6-2
3-4
ATS
5-3
4-3
Over–under
7-1
RICEHome and roadseason to dateUNT
0-3
Home record
4-0
0-4
Road record
2-2
2-1
Home ATS
3-1
1-3
Road ATS
2-2
2-1
Home O/U
3-1
2-2
Road O/U
4-0
RICELast 10 gamesUNT
+28-52-7-14-2-16-21-2
Game by game
-36+38-14+49+1+40+10+7
1-7
Last 8
6-2
-86
Net points
+95
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
RICERest & travelUNT
14 days
Days of rest
9 days
262 mi422 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
DATCU Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Rice (0-7) visits North Texas (5-2) on Saturday, November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.

Rice has the 62nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 115th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, North Texas has the 1st-ranked offense and the 109th-ranked defense. When Rice has the ball, a 62nd-ranked offense (+0.072 EPA per play) meets a 109th-ranked defense (+0.165 allowed); when North Texas has it, a 1st-ranked offense (+0.349) meets a 115th-ranked defense (+0.178 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Rice offense is at 45.5% (81st) and the North Texas offense at 54.0% (5th). Rice scores 19.6 points per game (114th) and allows 35.9 (126th); North Texas scores 41.0 (2nd) and allows 34.4 (119th).

Rice is 0-7 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 51-49 loss to Florida Atlantic. North Texas is 6-2 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 48-41 win over Florida Atlantic.

North Texas is a 17.5-point favorite at home against Rice. The spread opened at North Texas -16.5. The total is 64.5, down from 65.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Rice +590, North Texas -900) prices Rice at 14% and North Texas at 86%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1
OpenNorth Texas -16.5 (-110)
Rice +16.5 (-110)
NowNorth Texas -17.5 (-110)
Rice +17.5 (-112)
Totaldown 1
Open65.5 (o -105 / u -115)
Now64.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenRice +661 13%
North Texas -1062 87%
NowRice +590 14%
North Texas -900 86%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

  • Rice +17.5-109Bally Bet
  • North Texas -17.5+100theScore Bet
  • Over 64.5-105Hard Rock
  • Under 64.5-105BetMGM
  • Rice+669Novig
  • North Texas-720ProphetX

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Rice Owls logo
Rice
QB · Jacurri Brown
  • Attempts82
  • Completion %47.6%260th
  • Passing yards471261st
  • Yards per attempt5.7247th
  • TD–INT2–2
Leading rusher (QB) · Jacurri Brown
  • Rushing yards66934th
  • Season line118 carries, 669 yds, 6 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Jordan Clark
  • Receiving yards257333rd
  • Season line20 catches, 257 yds
Leading tackler (DL) · AJ Brown
  • Tackles5993rd
North Texas Mean Green logo
North Texas
QB · Tayven Jackson
  • Attempts268
  • Completion %72.4%5th
  • Passing yards2,5687th
  • Yards per attempt9.610th
  • TD–INT22–5
Leading rusher (RB) · Jahiem White
  • Rushing yards1,0472nd
  • Season line142 carries, 1047 yds, 13 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Justin Stevenson
  • Receiving yards78111th
  • Season line50 catches, 781 yds, 8 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Zakye Barker
  • Tackles6268th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationRiceNorth Texas
Early-down success rateRice offense vs North Texas defense45.5%30th49.2%134th
Early-down success rateNorth Texas offense vs Rice defense43.2%76th48.0%13th
3rd-down conversion rateRice offense vs North Texas defense27.0%135th44.7%103rd
3rd-down conversion rateNorth Texas offense vs Rice defense46.0%115th52.4%10th
Explosive play rateRice offense vs North Texas defense6.6%75th8.7%122nd
Explosive play rateNorth Texas offense vs Rice defense6.4%59th10.4%2nd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks24.7%135th-highest54.0%36th-highest

On 3rd down Rice converts 27.0% (135th) against a North Texas defense allowing 44.7% (103rd).

On 3rd down North Texas converts 52.4% (10th) against a Rice defense allowing 46.0% (115th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffRiceNorth Texas
Head coachScott AbellNeal Brown
Tenureat this school2nd season1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below6–156–2
Career recordas an FBS head coach6–1578–53
Offensive coordinatorVince MunchMike Bloesch
Defensive coordinatorJon KayBradley Dale Peveto / Matt Powledge

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Rice won 0 and North Texas 3.

DateScoreLineTotal
Nov 22, 2025North Texas 56, Rice 24
North Texas won


Nov 26, 2022Rice 17, North Texas 21
North Texas won


Oct 30, 2021North Texas 30, Rice 24
North Texas won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Rice Owls

North Texas Mean Green

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