Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Rice (0-7) visits North Texas (5-2) on Saturday, November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.
Rice has the 62nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 115th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, North Texas has the 1st-ranked offense and the 109th-ranked defense. When Rice has the ball, a 62nd-ranked offense (+0.072 EPA per play) meets a 109th-ranked defense (+0.165 allowed); when North Texas has it, a 1st-ranked offense (+0.349) meets a 115th-ranked defense (+0.178 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Rice offense is at 45.5% (81st) and the North Texas offense at 54.0% (5th). Rice scores 19.6 points per game (114th) and allows 35.9 (126th); North Texas scores 41.0 (2nd) and allows 34.4 (119th).
Rice is 0-7 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 51-49 loss to Florida Atlantic. North Texas is 6-2 and 5-3 against the spread; its last game was a 48-41 win over Florida Atlantic.
North Texas is a 17.5-point favorite at home against Rice. The spread opened at North Texas -16.5. The total is 64.5, down from 65.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Rice +590, North Texas -900) prices Rice at 14% and North Texas at 86%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Rice +16.5 (-110)
Rice +17.5 (-112)
North Texas -1062 87%
North Texas -900 86%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- Rice +17.5-109Bally Bet
- North Texas -17.5+100theScore Bet
- Over 64.5-105Hard Rock
- Under 64.5-105BetMGM
- Rice+669Novig
- North Texas-720ProphetX
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts82
- Completion %47.6%260th
- Passing yards471261st
- Yards per attempt5.7247th
- TD–INT2–2
- Rushing yards66934th
- Season line118 carries, 669 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards257333rd
- Season line20 catches, 257 yds
- Tackles5993rd
- Attempts268
- Completion %72.4%5th
- Passing yards2,5687th
- Yards per attempt9.610th
- TD–INT22–5
- Rushing yards1,0472nd
- Season line142 carries, 1047 yds, 13 TD
- Receiving yards78111th
- Season line50 catches, 781 yds, 8 TD
- Tackles6268th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Rice | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateRice offense vs North Texas defense | 45.5%30th | 49.2%134th |
| Early-down success rateNorth Texas offense vs Rice defense | 43.2%76th | 48.0%13th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateRice offense vs North Texas defense | 27.0%135th | 44.7%103rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNorth Texas offense vs Rice defense | 46.0%115th | 52.4%10th |
| Explosive play rateRice offense vs North Texas defense | 6.6%75th | 8.7%122nd |
| Explosive play rateNorth Texas offense vs Rice defense | 6.4%59th | 10.4%2nd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 24.7%135th-highest | 54.0%36th-highest |
On 3rd down Rice converts 27.0% (135th) against a North Texas defense allowing 44.7% (103rd).
On 3rd down North Texas converts 52.4% (10th) against a Rice defense allowing 46.0% (115th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Rice | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Scott Abell | Neal Brown |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 6–15 | 6–2 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 6–15 | 78–53 |
| Offensive coordinator | Vince Munch | Mike Bloesch |
| Defensive coordinator | Jon Kay | Bradley Dale Peveto / Matt Powledge |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Rice won 0 and North Texas 3.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | North Texas 56, Rice 24 North Texas won | ||
| Nov 26, 2022 | Rice 17, North Texas 21 North Texas won | ||
| Oct 30, 2021 | North Texas 30, Rice 24 North Texas won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Rice Owls
- Rice Owls team stats
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane 38, Rice Owls 17 (Oct 17)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
North Texas Mean Green
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