Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026
CINOffense2026 regular season to dateHOU
CINDefenseHOUCINRecent formHOUCINHome and roadseason to dateHOUCINLast 10 gamesHOURest & travelrest and travel
CINRest & travelHOUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Cincinnati (4-3) visits Houston (5-2) on Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET.
Cincinnati has the 29th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 118th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Houston has the 13th-ranked offense and the 114th-ranked defense. When Cincinnati has the ball, a 29th-ranked offense (+0.167 EPA per play) meets a 114th-ranked defense (+0.175 allowed); when Houston has it, a 13th-ranked offense (+0.225) meets a 118th-ranked defense (+0.186 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Cincinnati offense is at 52.5% (11th) and the Houston offense at 52.0% (14th). Cincinnati scores 30.1 points per game (38th) and allows 32.0 (109th); Houston scores 30.1 (38th) and allows 23.1 (46th).
Cincinnati is 5-3 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 49-25 loss to Utah. Houston is 5-2 and 2-5 against the spread; its last game was a 21-13 loss to Utah.
Houston is a 10.5-point favorite at home against Cincinnati. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 62.5, up from 60.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Cincinnati +340, Houston -450) prices Cincinnati at 22% and Houston at 78%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Cincinnati +10.5 (-113)
Cincinnati +10.5 (-110)
Houston -500 79%
Houston -450 78%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 5
- Cincinnati +10.5+100Novig
- Houston -10.5-102Novig
- Over 62.5-104Novig
- Under 62.5+100Novig
- Cincinnati+360BetRivers
- Houston-355Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts213
- Completion %67.1%40th
- Passing yards1,77379th
- Yards per attempt8.356th
- TD–INT13–3
- Rushing yards75219th
- Season line79 carries, 752 yds, 10 TD
- Receiving yards46190th
- Season line34 catches, 461 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles6357th
- Attempts233
- Completion %65.7%62nd
- Passing yards2,05245th
- Yards per attempt8.830th
- TD–INT20–2
- Rushing yards51671st
- Season line117 carries, 516 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards62038th
- Season line41 catches, 620 yds, 6 TD
- Tackles46260th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Cincinnati | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateCincinnati offense vs Houston defense | 49.0%8th | 44.8%98th |
| Early-down success rateHouston offense vs Cincinnati defense | 47.4%129th | 46.7%20th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCincinnati offense vs Houston defense | 43.2%43rd | 41.0%71st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateHouston offense vs Cincinnati defense | 48.2%123rd | 58.9%1st |
| Explosive play rateCincinnati offense vs Houston defense | 9.0%9th | 9.0%124th |
| Explosive play rateHouston offense vs Cincinnati defense | 7.0%80th | 6.8%67th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 47.1%100th-highest | 45.9%105th-highest |
On 3rd down Cincinnati converts 43.2% (43rd) against a Houston defense allowing 41.0% (71st).
On 3rd down Houston converts 58.9% (1st) against a Cincinnati defense allowing 48.2% (123rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Cincinnati | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Scott Satterfield | Willie Fritz |
| Tenureat this school | 4th season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 20–25 | 20–13 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 92–65 | 91–67 |
| Offensive coordinator | Nic Cardwell / Pete Thomas | Slade Nagle |
| Defensive coordinator | Nate Woody | Austin Armstrong |
Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Cincinnati won 3 and Houston 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2024 | Houston 0, Cincinnati 34 Cincinnati won | ||
| Nov 11, 2023 | Cincinnati 24, Houston 14 Cincinnati won | ||
| Dec 4, 2021 | Houston 20, Cincinnati 35 Cincinnati won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Cincinnati Bearcats
- Cincinnati Bearcats team stats
- Utah Utes 49, Cincinnati Bearcats 25 (Oct 31)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
Houston Cougars
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