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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Oklahoma Sooners vs Florida Gators Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Oklahoma Sooners logo
4-4
Quarterback John Mateer
at
Florida Gators logo
4-3
Quarterback Tramell Jones Jr.
Saturday, November 7 · 7:45 PM ET
OUOffense2026 regular season to dateFLA
134th−0.157
EPA/play
+0.10946th
135th39.5%
Success %
47.9%56th
93rd22.0
PPG
33.325th
OUDefenseFLA
11th−0.116
EPA/play allowed
+0.13498th
46th45.0%
Success % allowed
47.8%83rd
29th20.8
Opp PPG
31.7107th
OURecent formFLA
L@ Georgia 13-41Wvs Texas 27-24Lvs Kentucky 13-21W@ Mississippi State 23-15Lvs South Carolina 25-42
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Ole Miss 52-28L@ Missouri 17-45Lvs South Carolina 19-38W@ Texas 27-24L@ Georgia 8-27
4-4
Record
5-3
3-5
ATS
4-4
3-5
Over–under
4-4
OUHome and roadseason to dateFLA
3-2
Home record
3-1
1-2
Road record
2-2
2-3
Home ATS
2-2
1-2
Road ATS
2-2
2-3
Home O/U
2-2
1-2
Road O/U
2-2
OULast 10 gamesFLA
+51-7+8-28+3-8+8-17
Game by game
+45+49+5+24-28-19+3-19
4-4
Last 8
5-3
+10
Net points
+60
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
OURest & travelFLA
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
959 mi1,543 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
+1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Oklahoma (4-4) visits Florida (4-3) on Saturday, November 7 at 7:45 PM ET.

Oklahoma has the 134th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 11th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Florida has the 46th-ranked offense and the 98th-ranked defense. When Oklahoma has the ball, a 134th-ranked offense (−0.157 EPA per play) meets a 98th-ranked defense (+0.134 allowed); when Florida has it, a 46th-ranked offense (+0.109) meets a 11th-ranked defense (−0.116 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Oklahoma offense is at 39.5% (135th) and the Florida offense at 47.9% (56th). Oklahoma scores 22.0 points per game (93rd) and allows 20.8 (29th); Florida scores 33.3 (25th) and allows 31.7 (107th).

Oklahoma is 4-4 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 42-25 loss to South Carolina. Florida is 5-3 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 27-8 loss to Georgia.

Florida is a 6.5-point favorite at home against Oklahoma. The spread opened at Florida -4.5. The total is 45.5, down from 48.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Oklahoma +190, Florida -235) prices Oklahoma at 33% and Florida at 67%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2
OpenFlorida -4.5 (-115)
Oklahoma +4.5 (-105)
NowFlorida -6.5 (-105)
Oklahoma +6.5 (-114)
Totaldown 3
Open48.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now45.5 (o -111 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenOklahoma +160 37%
Florida -193 63%
NowOklahoma +190 33%
Florida -235 67%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

  • Oklahoma +6.5-104Novig
  • Florida -6.5+100theScore Bet
  • Over 45.5+100Novig
  • Under 45.5-109Bally Bet
  • Oklahoma+208Novig
  • Florida-212Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Oklahoma Sooners logo
Oklahoma
QB · John Mateer
  • Attempts247
  • Completion %65.6%64th
  • Passing yards1,83571st
  • Yards per attempt7.4119th
  • TD–INT13–7
Leading rusher (RB) · Lloyd Avant
  • Rushing yards347178th
  • Season line79 carries, 347 yds, 2 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Isaiah Sategna III
  • Receiving yards59145th
  • Season line45 catches, 591 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Owen Heinecke
  • Tackles6357th
Florida Gators logo
Florida
QB · Tramell Jones Jr.
  • Attempts73
  • Completion %69.9%
  • Passing yards501
  • Yards per attempt6.9
  • TD–INT4–2
Leading rusher (RB) · Jadan Baugh
  • Rushing yards80117th
  • Season line152 carries, 801 yds, 13 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Dallas Wilson
  • Receiving yards417128th
  • Season line31 catches, 417 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Myles Graham
  • Tackles55143rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationOklahomaFlorida
Early-down success rateOklahoma offense vs Florida defense34.4%138th44.1%90th
Early-down success rateFlorida offense vs Oklahoma defense41.9%55th42.2%79th
3rd-down conversion rateOklahoma offense vs Florida defense40.4%67th48.3%124th
3rd-down conversion rateFlorida offense vs Oklahoma defense30.8%7th45.8%29th
Explosive play rateOklahoma offense vs Florida defense6.8%66th6.2%54th
Explosive play rateFlorida offense vs Oklahoma defense5.4%28th6.7%68th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks53.2%43rd-highest44.0%117th-highest

On 3rd down Oklahoma converts 40.4% (67th) against a Florida defense allowing 48.3% (124th).

On 3rd down Florida converts 45.8% (29th) against a Oklahoma defense allowing 30.8% (7th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffOklahomaFlorida
Head coachBrent VenablesJon Sumrall
Tenureat this school5th season1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below36–245–3
Career recordas an FBS head coach36–2448–15
Offensive coordinatorBen ArbuckleBuster Faulkner
Defensive coordinatorTodd BatesBrad White

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Oklahoma Sooners

Florida Gators

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