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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia Southern Eagles Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Marshall Thundering Herd

4-3

Quarterback Carlos Del Rio-Wilson

Georgia Southern Eagles

3-4

Quarterback Max Johnson

Saturday, November 7 · 3:30 PM ET

MRSHOffense2026 regular season to dateGASO

97th−0.019

EPA/play

+0.04379th

71st46.6%

Success %

44.0%102nd

100th21.7

PPG

22.789th

MRSHDefenseGASO

68th+0.070

EPA/play allowed

−0.00449th

77th47.4%

Success % allowed

45.9%55th

90th29.0

Opp PPG

23.448th

MRSHRecent formGASO

Wvs Gardner-Webb 36-35L@ James Madison 17-45Lvs Coastal Carolina 21-27Wvs South Alabama 20-13W@ Old Dominion 36-23

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs Houston 28-42W@ Coastal Carolina 31-24Lvs James Madison 24-27W@ Old Dominion 23-15Wvs App State 19-3

5-3

Record

4-4

3-5

ATS

7-1

4-4

Over–under

3-5

MRSHHome and roadseason to dateGASO

3-1

Home record

2-2

Road record

2-2

1-3

Home ATS

4-0

2-2

Road ATS

3-1

1-3

Home O/U

1-3

3-1

Road O/U

2-2

MRSHLast 10 gamesGASO

Game by game

5-3

Last 8

4-4

-50

Net points

+26

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

MRSHRest & travelGASO

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

417 mi671 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Allen E. Paulson Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Marshall (4-3) visits Georgia Southern (3-4) on Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET.

Marshall has the 97th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 68th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Georgia Southern has the 79th-ranked offense and the 49th-ranked defense. When Marshall has the ball, a 97th-ranked offense (−0.019 EPA per play) meets a 49th-ranked defense (−0.004 allowed); when Georgia Southern has it, a 79th-ranked offense (+0.043) meets a 68th-ranked defense (+0.070 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Marshall offense is at 46.6% (71st) and the Georgia Southern offense at 44.0% (102nd). Marshall scores 21.7 points per game (100th) and allows 29.0 (90th); Georgia Southern scores 22.7 (89th) and allows 23.4 (48th).

Marshall is 5-3 and 3-5 against the spread; its last game was a 36-23 win over Old Dominion. Georgia Southern is 4-4 and 7-1 against the spread; its last game was a 19-3 win over App State.

Georgia Southern is a 10.5-point favorite at home against Marshall. The spread opened at Georgia Southern -8.5. The total is 54.5, up from 53.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Marshall +310, Georgia Southern -400) prices Marshall at 23% and Georgia Southern at 77%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2

OpenGeorgia Southern -8.5 (-110)
Marshall +8.5 (-110)

NowGeorgia Southern -10.5 (-108)
Marshall +10.5 (-112)

Totalup 1

Open53.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now54.5 (o -114 / u -105)

Moneyline

OpenMarshall +250 28%
Georgia Southern -305 72%

NowMarshall +310 23%
Georgia Southern -400 77%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

Marshall +10.5-107ProphetX
Georgia Southern -10.5+100Novig
Over 54.5-105ProphetX
Under 54.5+100Novig
Marshall+335Novig
Georgia Southern-365Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Marshall

QB · Carlos Del Rio-Wilson

Attempts148
Completion %62.2%118th
Passing yards1,080205th
Yards per attempt7.3135th
TD–INT6–5

Leading rusher (RB) · Judah Price

Rushing yards319204th
Season line56 carries, 319 yds, 2 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw

Receiving yards372168th
Season line26 catches, 372 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (DB) · Caleb Clark-Glover

Tackles5993rd

Georgia Southern

QB · Max Johnson

Attempts279
Completion %68.1%31st
Passing yards1,92859th
Yards per attempt6.9163rd
TD–INT11–2

Leading rusher (RB) · David Mbadinga

Rushing yards239293rd
Season line44 carries, 239 yds

Leading receiver (WR) · Alex Taylor

Receiving yards435111th
Season line34 catches, 435 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Brandon Tyson

Tackles41356th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Marshall	Georgia Southern
Early-down success rateMarshall offense vs Georgia Southern defense	42.8%71st	42.6%67th
Early-down success rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Marshall defense	45.0%100th	41.0%96th
3rd-down conversion rateMarshall offense vs Georgia Southern defense	39.3%78th	35.1%28th
3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Marshall defense	34.1%20th	41.0%59th
Explosive play rateMarshall offense vs Georgia Southern defense	6.4%84th	5.7%36th
Explosive play rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Marshall defense	9.2%132nd	5.9%102nd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	48.5%89th-highest	59.8%9th-highest

On 3rd down Marshall converts 39.3% (78th) against a Georgia Southern defense allowing 35.1% (28th).

On 3rd down Georgia Southern converts 41.0% (59th) against a Marshall defense allowing 34.1% (20th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Marshall	Georgia Southern
Head coach	Tony Gibson	Clay Helton
Tenureat this school	2nd season	5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	10–10	31–29
Career recordas an FBS head coach	10–10	77–53
Offensive coordinator	Rod Smith	Ryan Aplin
Defensive coordinator	Brad Lambert	Mike Mutz

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Marshall won 2 and Georgia Southern 2.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 29, 2025	Georgia Southern 24, Marshall 19 Georgia Southern won
Oct 12, 2024	Marshall 23, Georgia Southern 24 Georgia Southern won
Nov 11, 2023	Georgia Southern 33, Marshall 38 Marshall won
Nov 19, 2022	Marshall 23, Georgia Southern 10 Marshall won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams