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NCAAF · November 7, 2026

Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers Preview & Odds — November 7, 2026

Alabama Crimson Tide

6-2

Quarterback Keelon Russell

LSU Tigers

5-2

Quarterback Sam Leavitt

Saturday, November 7 · 3:30 PM ET

ALAOffense2026 regular season to dateLSU

6th+0.298

EPA/play

+0.09950th

9th53.0%

Success %

50.3%24th

7th38.2

PPG

36.911th

ALADefenseLSU

32nd−0.047

EPA/play allowed

−0.2044th

29th43.8%

Success % allowed

39.5%6th

34th21.2

Opp PPG

16.313th

ALARecent formLSU

Wvs South Carolina 49-18W@ Mississippi State 56-23Lvs Georgia 17-20L@ Tennessee 10-26Wvs Texas A&M 31-20

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs Texas A&M 35-6Wvs McNeese 63-14L@ Kentucky 34-35Wvs Mississippi State 31-0W@ Auburn 38-17

6-2

Record

6-2

4-4

ATS

—

6-2

Over–under

—

ALAHome and roadseason to dateLSU

4-1

Home record

5-0

2-1

Road record

1-2

2-3

Home ATS

—

2-1

Road ATS

—

4-1

Home O/U

—

2-1

Road O/U

—

ALALast 10 gamesLSU

Game by game

6-2

Last 8

6-2

+136

Net points

+193

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

ALARest & travelLSU

14 days

Days of rest

14 days

288 mi463 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Tiger Stadium (LA)

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 8 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Alabama (6-2) visits LSU (5-2) on Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET.

Alabama has the 6th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 32nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, LSU has the 50th-ranked offense and the 4th-ranked defense. When Alabama has the ball, a 6th-ranked offense (+0.298 EPA per play) meets a 4th-ranked defense (−0.204 allowed); when LSU has it, a 50th-ranked offense (+0.099) meets a 32nd-ranked defense (−0.047 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Alabama offense is at 53.0% (9th) and the LSU offense at 50.3% (24th). Alabama scores 38.2 points per game (7th) and allows 21.2 (34th); LSU scores 36.9 (11th) and allows 16.3 (13th).

Alabama is 6-2 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 31-20 win over Texas A&M. LSU is 6-2; its last game was a 38-17 win over Auburn.

LSU is a 5.5-point favorite at home against Alabama. The spread opened at LSU -3.5. The total is 52.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Alabama +190, LSU -235) prices Alabama at 33% and LSU at 67%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2

OpenLSU -3.5 (-107)
Alabama +3.5 (-115)

NowLSU -5.5 (-113)
Alabama +5.5 (-109)

Totalno move

Open52.5 (o -110 / u -112)

Now52.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenAlabama +135 41%
LSU -165 59%

NowAlabama +190 33%
LSU -235 67%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 5

Alabama +5.5+104Novig
LSU -5.5-106Novig
Over 52.5-106Novig
Under 52.5-102Novig
Alabama+203Novig
LSU-208Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Alabama

QB · Keelon Russell

Attempts221
Completion %67.0%43rd
Passing yards2,05743rd
Yards per attempt9.316th
TD–INT15–5

Leading rusher (RB) · Daniel Hill

Rushing yards332190th
Season line71 carries, 332 yds, 4 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Lotzeir Brooks

Receiving yards48877th
Season line29 catches, 488 yds, 1 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Caleb Woodson

Tackles6357th

LSU

QB · Sam Leavitt

Attempts256
Completion %70.3%16th
Passing yards2,17133rd
Yards per attempt8.546th
TD–INT17–8

Leading rusher (RB) · Dilin Jones

Rushing yards65737th
Season line149 carries, 657 yds, 6 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Jackson Harris

Receiving yards63433rd
Season line36 catches, 634 yds, 7 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · TJ Dottery

Tackles58104th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 4, 5:38 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Alabama	LSU
Early-down success rateAlabama offense vs LSU defense	48.0%12th	39.3%22nd
Early-down success rateLSU offense vs Alabama defense	39.0%21st	45.2%36th
3rd-down conversion rateAlabama offense vs LSU defense	40.5%64th	34.2%21st
3rd-down conversion rateLSU offense vs Alabama defense	39.1%58th	53.9%4th
Explosive play rateAlabama offense vs LSU defense	9.8%4th	5.4%29th
Explosive play rateLSU offense vs Alabama defense	8.1%109th	6.3%87th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	52.4%52nd-highest	51.4%59th-highest

On 3rd down Alabama converts 40.5% (64th) against a LSU defense allowing 34.2% (21st).

On 3rd down LSU converts 53.9% (4th) against a Alabama defense allowing 39.1% (58th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Alabama	LSU
Head coach	Kalen DeBoer	Lane Kiffin
Tenureat this school	3rd season	1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	26–10	6–2
Career recordas an FBS head coach	63–19	122–54
Offensive coordinator	Ryan Grubb	Charlie Weis Jr.
Defensive coordinator	Maurice Linguist / Kane Wommack	Blake Baker

Staff list as of November 3, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Alabama won 4 and LSU 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 8, 2025	LSU 9, Alabama 20 Alabama won
Nov 9, 2024	Alabama 42, LSU 13 Alabama won
Nov 4, 2023	LSU 28, Alabama 42 Alabama won
Nov 5, 2022	Alabama 31, LSU 32 LSU won
Nov 6, 2021	LSU 14, Alabama 20 Alabama won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams