Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns Final — October 17, 2026
Rest & travelrest and travel
About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 6 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Florida (3-2) visited Texas (4-1) on Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET.
Florida has the 21st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 115th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Texas has the 87th-ranked offense and the 14th-ranked defense. When Florida has the ball, a 21st-ranked offense (+0.250 EPA per play) meets a 14th-ranked defense (−0.109 allowed); when Texas has it, a 87th-ranked offense (+0.013) meets a 115th-ranked defense (+0.210 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Florida offense is at 51.9% (19th) and the Texas offense at 47.2% (66th). Florida scores 39.6 points per game (8th) and allows 34.2 (118th); Texas scores 31.4 (39th) and allows 16.0 (13th).
Florida is 4-2 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 38-19 loss to South Carolina. Texas is 4-1 and 1-4 against the spread; its last game was a 27-24 loss to Oklahoma.
Texas closed as a 13.5-point favorite at home against Florida. The spread opened at Texas -10.5. The total closed at 51.5, down from 54.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Florida +400, Texas -532) prices Florida at 19% and Texas at 81%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24
Florida Gators won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Texas Longhorns -13.5): Florida Gators covered.
- Combined score 51 vs the closing total of 51.5: Under.
- Florida Gators closed at +400 on the moneyline (a 19% no-vig market-implied chance).
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Florida +10.5 (-113)
Florida +13.5 (-112)
Texas -375 75%
Texas -532 81%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts149
- Completion %70.5%17th
- Passing yards1,34176th
- Yards per attempt9.040th
- TD–INT9–3
- Rushing yards6728th
- Season line110 carries, 672 yds, 12 TD
- Receiving yards37664th
- Season line26 catches, 376 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles4286th
- Attempts147
- Completion %63.3%106th
- Passing yards1,125116th
- Yards per attempt7.7108th
- TD–INT10–5
- Rushing yards237184th
- Season line53 carries, 237 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards318107th
- Season line17 catches, 318 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles4197th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 259 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 14, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Florida | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateFlorida offense vs Texas defense | 46.9%27th | 36.3%8th |
| Early-down success rateTexas offense vs Florida defense | 43.4%73rd | 42.6%77th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateFlorida offense vs Texas defense | 46.3%31st | 28.8%6th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTexas offense vs Florida defense | 56.2%136th | 42.4%59th |
| Explosive play rateFlorida offense vs Texas defense | 9.0%19th | 4.5%12th |
| Explosive play rateTexas offense vs Florida defense | 7.0%79th | 5.2%110th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 41.9%123rd-highest | 49.7%82nd-highest |
On 3rd down Florida converts 46.3% (31st) against a Texas defense allowing 28.8% (6th).
On 3rd down Texas converts 42.4% (59th) against a Florida defense allowing 56.2% (136th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Florida | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jon Sumrall | Steve Sarkisian |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 6th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 4–2 | 50–21 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 47–14 | 96–56 |
| Offensive coordinator | Buster Faulkner | Kyle Flood |
| Defensive coordinator | Brad White | Will Muschamp / Johnny Nansen |
Staff list as of October 13, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Florida won 1 and Texas 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Texas 21, Florida 29 Florida won | ||
| Nov 9, 2024 | Florida 17, Texas 49 Texas won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Florida Gators
- Florida Gators team stats
- Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs (Oct 31)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Florida Gators 17, Missouri Tigers 45 (Oct 3)
- Ole Miss Rebels 28, Florida Gators 52 (Sep 26)
Texas Longhorns
- Texas Longhorns team stats
- Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas Longhorns (Oct 31)
- Ole Miss Rebels 27, Texas Longhorns 34 (Oct 24)
- Texas Longhorns 24, Oklahoma Sooners 27 (Oct 10)
- UTSA Roadrunners 6, Texas Longhorns 30 (Sep 19)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 17, 2026
- Florida Atlantic Owls 24, Army Black Knights 56 (Oct 17)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 21, Boston College Eagles 27 (Oct 17)
- Ball State Cardinals 32, Bowling Green Falcons 31 (Oct 17)
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers 0, Clemson Tigers 37 (Oct 17)
- Ohio State Buckeyes 19, Indiana Hoosiers 15 (Oct 17)
- Georgia State Panthers 22, James Madison Dukes 49 (Oct 17)
- Kansas Jayhawks 24, Kansas State Wildcats 35 (Oct 17)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- Northwestern Wildcats 24, Michigan State Spartans 21 (Oct 17)
- Virginia Cavaliers 13, SMU Mustangs 23 (Oct 17)
- Cincinnati Bearcats 42, West Virginia Mountaineers 45 (Oct 17)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 37, Maryland Terrapins 30 (Oct 17)
- UMass Minutemen 18, Buffalo Bulls 25 (Oct 17)
- Charlotte 49ers 38, Temple Owls 31 (Oct 17)
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