South Carolina Gamecocks vs Florida Gators Final — October 10, 2026
SCOffense2026 regular season to dateFLA
SCDefenseFLASCRecent formFLASCHome and roadseason to dateFLASCLast 10 gamesFLARest & travelrest and travel
SCRest & travelFLAAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
South Carolina (1-3) visited Florida (3-1) on Saturday, October 10 at 12:45 PM ET.
South Carolina has the 34th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 130th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Florida has the 3rd-ranked offense and the 114th-ranked defense. When South Carolina has the ball, a 34th-ranked offense (+0.181 EPA per play) meets a 114th-ranked defense (+0.207 allowed); when Florida has it, a 3rd-ranked offense (+0.370) meets a 130th-ranked defense (+0.294 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the South Carolina offense is at 50.4% (30th) and the Florida offense at 53.5% (11th). South Carolina scores 35.8 points per game (18th) and allows 31.2 (102nd); Florida scores 44.8 (4th) and allows 33.2 (110th).
South Carolina is 2-3 and 1-4 against the spread; its last game was a 35-34 loss to Kentucky. Florida is 4-1 and 3-2 against the spread; its last game was a 45-17 loss to Missouri.
Florida closed as a 10.5-point favorite at home against South Carolina. The spread opened at Florida -14. The total closed at 59.5, up from 58.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (South Carolina +350, Florida -477) prices South Carolina at 21% and Florida at 79%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19
South Carolina Gamecocks won by 19.
- Against the closing spread (Florida Gators -10.5): South Carolina Gamecocks covered.
- Combined score 57 vs the closing total of 59.5: Under.
- South Carolina Gamecocks closed at +350 on the moneyline (a 21% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward South Carolina Gamecocks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (South Carolina Gamecocks 21%, Florida Gators 79%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 3:29 — Florida Gators ball, 2nd & 11 at FLA 24Shotgun #12 A.Philo pass intercepted by #4 V.Swain at FLA44 #4 V.Swain return 18 yards to the FLA26, End Of PlaySouth Carolina Gamecocks 24% → 34% (+10 pts) · Drive 10 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 1:47 — South Carolina Gamecocks ball, 2nd & 11 at FLA 12No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #3 M.Bennett Jr. caught at FLA00, for 12 yards to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:47, 1ST DOWN #32 M.O…South Carolina Gamecocks 35% → 45% (+10 pts) · Drive 11 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 0:03 — Florida Gators ball, 2nd & 5 at SC 30Shotgun #12 A.Philo pass complete short right to #15 L.Harpring caught at SC 25, for 5 yards to the SC 25, out of bounds at SC 25South Carolina Gamecocks 38% → 47% (+9 pts) · Drive 12 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 9:13 — South Carolina Gamecocks ball, 3rd & 14 at SC 39No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #8 N.Harbor caught at FLA47, for 35 yards to the FLA26 (#1 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSouth Carolina Gamecocks 40% → 56% (+16 pts) · Drive 14 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 8:36 — South Carolina Gamecocks ball, 1st & 10 at FLA 26Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete deep middle to #6 D.Murph caught at FLA00, for 26 yards to the FLA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:36, 1ST DOWN #32 M.Orsan kick attemp…South Carolina Gamecocks 56% → 67% (+11 pts) · Drive 14 in Drive X-Ray
South Carolina Gamecocks won after falling as low as 9% (Q1 5:55).
Game DNA
| South Carolina | Points added | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| -5.3 | Passingdropbacks | -4.4 |
| +1.1 | Rushingdesigned runs | +2.0 |
| +12.6 | Explosive plays4 plays · 3 plays | +8.9 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 3 giveaways | -14.2 |
| -0.1 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +1.3 |
| +1.0 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -3.8 |
| +6.0 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 4 · 1 of 3 | -2.5 |
| +15.3 | All plays | -12.9 |
The biggest single gap: turnovers, worth about 14.2 points to South Carolina Gamecocks. The final margin was 19.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
Florida Gators closed as the market favourite at 79% and lost.
The line moved toward South Carolina Gamecocks before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
South Carolina +14 (-110)
South Carolina +10.5 (-109)
Florida -592 82%
Florida -477 79%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts152
- Completion %60.5%151st
- Passing yards1,05999th
- Yards per attempt7.0154th
- TD–INT8–4
- Rushing yards43327th
- Season line71 carries, 433 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards201206th
- Season line18 catches, 201 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles3761st
- Attempts121
- Completion %69.4%32nd
- Passing yards1,11487th
- Yards per attempt9.229th
- TD–INT8–2
- Rushing yards6135th
- Season line95 carries, 613 yds, 11 TD
- Receiving yards30282nd
- Season line18 catches, 302 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles33115th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | South Carolina | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSouth Carolina offense vs Florida defense | 45.5%41st | 44.3%84th |
| Early-down success rateFlorida offense vs South Carolina defense | 45.7%102nd | 48.1%20th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSouth Carolina offense vs Florida defense | 40.8%69th | 53.1%131st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateFlorida offense vs South Carolina defense | 37.2%49th | 46.5%33rd |
| Explosive play rateSouth Carolina offense vs Florida defense | 7.0%63rd | 7.4%88th |
| Explosive play rateFlorida offense vs South Carolina defense | 8.2%106th | 9.1%16th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 52.7%55th-highest | 39.4%127th-highest |
On 3rd down South Carolina converts 40.8% (69th) against a Florida defense allowing 53.1% (131st).
On 3rd down Florida converts 46.5% (33rd) against a South Carolina defense allowing 37.2% (49th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | South Carolina | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Shane Beamer | Jon Sumrall |
| Tenureat this school | 6th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 35–33 | 4–1 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 35–33 | 47–13 |
| Offensive coordinator | Kendal Briles | Buster Faulkner |
| Defensive coordinator | Torrian Gray / Clayton White | Brad White |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: South Carolina won 1 and Florida 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Florida 41, South Carolina 39 Florida won | ||
| Nov 12, 2022 | South Carolina 6, Florida 38 Florida won | ||
| Nov 6, 2021 | Florida 17, South Carolina 40 South Carolina won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
South Carolina Gamecocks
- South Carolina Gamecocks team stats
- South Carolina Gamecocks at Oklahoma Sooners (Oct 31)
- Tennessee Volunteers 24, South Carolina Gamecocks 27 (Oct 24)
- Kentucky Wildcats 35, South Carolina Gamecocks 34 (Oct 3)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 41, South Carolina Gamecocks 34 (Sep 19)
Florida Gators
- Florida Gators team stats
- Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs (Oct 31)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- Florida Gators 17, Missouri Tigers 45 (Oct 3)
- Ole Miss Rebels 28, Florida Gators 52 (Sep 26)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
- Sacramento State Hornets 10, Bowling Green Falcons 38 (Oct 10)
- Texas A&M Aggies 6, Missouri Tigers 27 (Oct 10)
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38, NC State Wolfpack 14 (Oct 10)
- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
- Virginia Tech Hokies 20, California Golden Bears 25 (Oct 10)
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