Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Final — October 10, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Georgia (4-0) visited Alabama (5-0) on Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 PM ET.
Georgia has the 26th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 2nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Alabama has the 1st-ranked offense and the 17th-ranked defense. When Georgia has the ball, a 26th-ranked offense (+0.225 EPA per play) meets a 17th-ranked defense (−0.109 allowed); when Alabama has it, a 1st-ranked offense (+0.440) meets a 2nd-ranked defense (−0.261 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Georgia offense is at 55.6% (7th) and the Alabama offense at 58.5% (3rd). Georgia scores 48.5 points per game (2nd) and allows 16.0 (17th); Alabama scores 49.6 (1st) and allows 20.8 (39th).
Georgia is 5-0 and 4-1 against the spread; its last game was a 38-14 win over Vanderbilt. Alabama is 5-0 and 4-1 against the spread; its last game was a 56-23 win over Mississippi State.
Alabama closed as a 2.5-point favorite at home against Georgia. The spread opened with Georgia favored by 2.5. The total closed at 51.5, down from 56.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Georgia +105, Alabama -125) prices Georgia at 47% and Alabama at 53%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Georgia Bulldogs 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 17
Georgia Bulldogs won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Alabama Crimson Tide -2.5): Georgia Bulldogs covered.
- Combined score 37 vs the closing total of 51.5: Under.
- Georgia Bulldogs closed at +105 on the moneyline (a 47% no-vig market-implied chance).
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Georgia -2.5 (-105)
Georgia +2.5 (-110)
Alabama -103 49%
Alabama -125 53%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts102
- Completion %75.5%3rd
- Passing yards1,049104th
- Yards per attempt10.310th
- TD–INT13–1
- Rushing yards211175th
- Season line26 carries, 211 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards177260th
- Season line9 catches, 177 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles25296th
- Attempts132
- Completion %71.2%18th
- Passing yards1,41429th
- Yards per attempt10.76th
- TD–INT11–2
- Rushing yards247133rd
- Season line51 carries, 247 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards37632nd
- Season line20 catches, 376 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles3674th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Georgia | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateGeorgia offense vs Alabama defense | 52.2%7th | 38.7%21st |
| Early-down success rateAlabama offense vs Georgia defense | 33.3%4th | 54.2%4th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia offense vs Alabama defense | 58.6%4th | 34.5%32nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateAlabama offense vs Georgia defense | 35.5%36th | 43.5%50th |
| Explosive play rateGeorgia offense vs Alabama defense | 8.9%22nd | 9.0%117th |
| Explosive play rateAlabama offense vs Georgia defense | 5.6%32nd | 10.6%5th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 48.5%87th-highest | 48.1%90th-highest |
On 3rd down Georgia converts 58.6% (4th) against a Alabama defense allowing 34.5% (32nd).
On 3rd down Alabama converts 43.5% (50th) against a Georgia defense allowing 35.5% (36th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Georgia | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Kirby Smart | Kalen DeBoer |
| Tenureat this school | 11th season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 122–21 | 25–8 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 122–21 | 62–17 |
| Offensive coordinator | Mike Bobo | Ryan Grubb |
| Defensive coordinator | Travaris Robinson / Glenn Schumann | Maurice Linguist / Kane Wommack |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 6 times since 2021: Georgia won 2 and Alabama 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 neutral | Georgia 28, Alabama 7 Georgia won | ||
| Sep 27, 2025 | Alabama 24, Georgia 21 Alabama won | ||
| Sep 28, 2024 | Georgia 34, Alabama 41 Alabama won | ||
| Dec 2, 2023 neutral | Georgia 24, Alabama 27 Alabama won | ||
| Jan 10, 2022 bowl | Georgia 33, Alabama 18 Georgia won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Georgia Bulldogs
- Georgia Bulldogs team stats
- Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs (Oct 31)
- Auburn Tigers 27, Georgia Bulldogs 24 (Oct 17)
- Vanderbilt Commodores 14, Georgia Bulldogs 38 (Oct 3)
Alabama Crimson Tide
- Alabama Crimson Tide team stats
- Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31 (Oct 24)
- Alabama Crimson Tide 10, Tennessee Volunteers 26 (Oct 17)
- Alabama Crimson Tide 56, Mississippi State Bulldogs 23 (Oct 3)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
- Sacramento State Hornets 10, Bowling Green Falcons 38 (Oct 10)
- Texas A&M Aggies 6, Missouri Tigers 27 (Oct 10)
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38, NC State Wolfpack 14 (Oct 10)
- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
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