Home › Game previews › NCAAF › October 2026 › Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide
NCAAF · October 10, 2026

Georgia Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Final — October 10, 2026

Georgia Bulldogs logo
4-0
20
Quarterback Gunner Stockton
FINAL
Alabama Crimson Tide logo
5-0
17
Quarterback Keelon Russell
Saturday, October 10 · 7:30 PM ET
UGAOffense2026 regular season to dateALA
26th+0.225
EPA/play
+0.4401st
7th55.6%
Success %
58.5%3rd
2nd48.5
PPG
49.61st
UGADefenseALA
2nd−0.261
EPA/play allowed
−0.10917th
6th37.1%
Success % allowed
42.1%19th
17th16.0
Opp PPG
20.839th
UGARecent formALA
Wvs Tennessee State 63-3Wvs Western Kentucky 70-20W@ Arkansas 45-17Wvs Oklahoma 41-13Wvs Vanderbilt 38-14
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs East Carolina 48-10W@ Kentucky 45-17Wvs Florida State 50-36Wvs South Carolina 49-18W@ Mississippi State 56-23
5-0
Record
5-0
4-1
ATS
4-1
5-0
Over–under
5-0
UGAHome and roadseason to dateALA
4-0
Home record
3-0
1-0
Road record
2-0
3-1
Home ATS
2-1
1-0
Road ATS
2-0
4-0
Home O/U
3-0
1-0
Road O/U
2-0
UGALast 10 gamesALA
+60+50+28+28+24
Game by game
+38+28+14+31+33
5-0
Last 5
5-0
+190
Net points
+144
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
UGARest & travelALA
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
246 mi396 km
Travel to the game
Home
−1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Bryant-Denny Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 5 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.

The pre-game matchup

Georgia (4-0) visited Alabama (5-0) on Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 PM ET.

Georgia has the 26th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 2nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Alabama has the 1st-ranked offense and the 17th-ranked defense. When Georgia has the ball, a 26th-ranked offense (+0.225 EPA per play) meets a 17th-ranked defense (−0.109 allowed); when Alabama has it, a 1st-ranked offense (+0.440) meets a 2nd-ranked defense (−0.261 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Georgia offense is at 55.6% (7th) and the Alabama offense at 58.5% (3rd). Georgia scores 48.5 points per game (2nd) and allows 16.0 (17th); Alabama scores 49.6 (1st) and allows 20.8 (39th).

Georgia is 5-0 and 4-1 against the spread; its last game was a 38-14 win over Vanderbilt. Alabama is 5-0 and 4-1 against the spread; its last game was a 56-23 win over Mississippi State.

Alabama closed as a 2.5-point favorite at home against Georgia. The spread opened with Georgia favored by 2.5. The total closed at 51.5, down from 56.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Georgia +105, Alabama -125) prices Georgia at 47% and Alabama at 53%.

Written from the numbers available before kickoff.

Result

Final score and result vs the closing line

Georgia Bulldogs 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 17

Georgia Bulldogs won by 3.

  • Against the closing spread (Alabama Crimson Tide -2.5): Georgia Bulldogs covered.
  • Combined score 37 vs the closing total of 51.5: Under.
  • Georgia Bulldogs closed at +105 on the moneyline (a 47% no-vig market-implied chance).

The official play, graded

The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.

Official playGeorgia Bulldogs +1.5 +1021.00uWIN +1.02u

Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.

Market

Closing line and line movement

Spreadfavorite flipped
OpenAlabama +2.5 (-115)
Georgia -2.5 (-105)
CloseAlabama -2.5 (-110)
Georgia +2.5 (-110)
Totaldown 5
Open56.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Close51.5 (o -113 / u -108)
Moneyline
OpenGeorgia -116 51%
Alabama -103 49%
CloseGeorgia +105 47%
Alabama -125 53%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Georgia Bulldogs logo
Georgia
QB · Gunner Stockton
  • Attempts102
  • Completion %75.5%3rd
  • Passing yards1,049104th
  • Yards per attempt10.310th
  • TD–INT13–1
Leading rusher (RB) · Nate Frazier
  • Rushing yards211175th
  • Season line26 carries, 211 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Craig Dandridge
  • Receiving yards177260th
  • Season line9 catches, 177 yds, 1 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Raylen Wilson
  • Tackles25296th
Alabama Crimson Tide logo
Alabama
QB · Keelon Russell
  • Attempts132
  • Completion %71.2%18th
  • Passing yards1,41429th
  • Yards per attempt10.76th
  • TD–INT11–2
Leading rusher (RB) · Daniel Hill
  • Rushing yards247133rd
  • Season line51 carries, 247 yds, 4 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Ryan Coleman-Williams
  • Receiving yards37632nd
  • Season line20 catches, 376 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Luke Metz
  • Tackles3674th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationGeorgiaAlabama
Early-down success rateGeorgia offense vs Alabama defense52.2%7th38.7%21st
Early-down success rateAlabama offense vs Georgia defense33.3%4th54.2%4th
3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia offense vs Alabama defense58.6%4th34.5%32nd
3rd-down conversion rateAlabama offense vs Georgia defense35.5%36th43.5%50th
Explosive play rateGeorgia offense vs Alabama defense8.9%22nd9.0%117th
Explosive play rateAlabama offense vs Georgia defense5.6%32nd10.6%5th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks48.5%87th-highest48.1%90th-highest

On 3rd down Georgia converts 58.6% (4th) against a Alabama defense allowing 34.5% (32nd).

On 3rd down Alabama converts 43.5% (50th) against a Georgia defense allowing 35.5% (36th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffGeorgiaAlabama
Head coachKirby SmartKalen DeBoer
Tenureat this school11th season3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below122–2125–8
Career recordas an FBS head coach122–2162–17
Offensive coordinatorMike BoboRyan Grubb
Defensive coordinatorTravaris Robinson / Glenn SchumannMaurice Linguist / Kane Wommack

Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 6 times since 2021: Georgia won 2 and Alabama 4.

DateScoreLineTotal
Dec 6, 2025 neutralGeorgia 28, Alabama 7
Georgia won


Sep 27, 2025Alabama 24, Georgia 21
Alabama won


Sep 28, 2024Georgia 34, Alabama 41
Alabama won


Dec 2, 2023 neutralGeorgia 24, Alabama 27
Alabama won


Jan 10, 2022 bowlGeorgia 33, Alabama 18
Georgia won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Teams

Georgia Bulldogs

Alabama Crimson Tide

Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.

More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026

All NCAAF games in October 2026

Follow the market every day

See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.

Odds boardTracked results