Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide Final — October 24, 2026
TA&MOffense2026 regular season to dateALA
TA&MDefenseALATA&MRecent formALATA&MHome and roadseason to dateALATA&MLast 10 gamesALARest & travelrest and travel
TA&MRest & travelALAAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Texas A&M (3-3) visited Alabama (5-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET.
Texas A&M has the 126th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 8th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Alabama has the 5th-ranked offense and the 44th-ranked defense. When Texas A&M has the ball, a 126th-ranked offense (−0.120 EPA per play) meets a 44th-ranked defense (−0.004 allowed); when Alabama has it, a 5th-ranked offense (+0.318) meets a 8th-ranked defense (−0.131 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Texas A&M offense is at 42.9% (106th) and the Alabama offense at 53.9% (8th). Texas A&M scores 27.5 points per game (62nd) and allows 20.0 (31st); Alabama scores 39.3 (5th) and allows 21.4 (38th).
Texas A&M is 4-3 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 41-0 win over The Citadel. Alabama is 5-2 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 26-10 loss to Tennessee.
Alabama closed as a 13.5-point favorite at home against Texas A&M. The spread opened at Alabama -15.5. The total closed at 49.5, down from 52.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Texas A&M +440, Alabama -625) prices Texas A&M at 18% and Alabama at 82%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31
Alabama Crimson Tide won by 11.
- Against the closing spread (Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5): Texas A&M Aggies covered.
- Combined score 51 vs the closing total of 49.5: Over.
- Alabama Crimson Tide closed at -625 on the moneyline (a 82% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 2 points toward Texas A&M Aggies.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Texas A&M Aggies 18%, Alabama Crimson Tide 82%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 11:24 — Texas A&M Aggies ball, 2nd & 4 at TA&M 35No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass intercepted by #5 D.Lee Jr. at TAM39 #5 D.Lee Jr. return 39 yards to the TAM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:24 #31 C.Talty kick attempt…Alabama Crimson Tide 78% → 89% (+11 pts) · Drive 2 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 8:14 — Alabama Crimson Tide ball, 2nd & 10 at ALA 25Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short middle to #3 L.Brooks caught at ALA33, for 35 yards to the TAM40 (#27 D.Sanford; #7 D.Brooks), 1ST DOWNAlabama Crimson Tide 63% → 72% (+9 pts) · Drive 15 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 3:59 — Texas A&M Aggies ball, 3rd & 8 at TA&M 26No Huddle-Shotgun #10 M.Reed pass complete short left to #7 I.Horton caught at TAM36, for 10 yards to the TAM36 (#28 C.O'Neal), 1ST DOWNTexas A&M Aggies 38% → 45% (+8 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 1:38 — Texas A&M Aggies ball, 4th & 1 at TA&M 45#10 M.Reed rush middle for 0 yards to the TAM45 fumbled by #10 M.Reed at TAM45 recovered by ALA #36 Q.Reese at TAM45, End Of PlayAlabama Crimson Tide 57% → 69% (+12 pts) · Drive 16 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 0:12 — Alabama Crimson Tide ball, 3rd & 8 at TA&M 43Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete deep right to #7 R.Scott caught at TAM07, for 38 yards to the TAM05 (#19 B.Rogers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNAlabama Crimson Tide 62% → 78% (+16 pts) · Drive 17 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| Texas A&M | Points added | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2 | Passingdropbacks | -0.3 |
| -3.4 | Rushingdesigned runs | -3.7 |
| +0.6 | Explosive plays2 plays · 6 plays | +10.9 |
| -17.8 | Turnovers3 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -1.9 |
| +3.3 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +1.5 |
| +2.8 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +3.3 |
| +3.1 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 4 · 3 of 5 | +2.7 |
| -11.6 | All plays | +12.5 |
The biggest single gap: turnovers, worth about 15.8 points to Alabama Crimson Tide. The final margin was 11.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Alabama Crimson Tide closed as the market favourite at 82% and won.
The line moved toward Texas A&M Aggies before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Texas A&M +15.5 (-111)
Texas A&M +13.5 (-110)
Alabama -697 84%
Alabama -625 82%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts201
- Completion %55.7%211th
- Passing yards1,225138th
- Yards per attempt6.1223rd
- TD–INT7–6
- Rushing yards317150th
- Season line47 carries, 317 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards280194th
- Season line20 catches, 280 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles36276th
- Attempts191
- Completion %67.5%41st
- Passing yards1,74634th
- Yards per attempt9.129th
- TD–INT12–4
- Rushing yards313156th
- Season line57 carries, 313 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards41569th
- Tackles5340th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Texas A&M | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTexas A&M offense vs Alabama defense | 40.6%99th | 39.2%19th |
| Early-down success rateAlabama offense vs Texas A&M defense | 42.8%64th | 49.5%9th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTexas A&M offense vs Alabama defense | 39.7%76th | 39.0%59th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateAlabama offense vs Texas A&M defense | 33.9%26th | 40.3%72nd |
| Explosive play rateTexas A&M offense vs Alabama defense | 3.9%134th | 8.5%117th |
| Explosive play rateAlabama offense vs Texas A&M defense | 8.9%126th | 9.8%7th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 52.6%51st-highest | 51.9%58th-highest |
On 3rd down Texas A&M converts 39.7% (76th) against a Alabama defense allowing 39.0% (59th).
On 3rd down Alabama converts 40.3% (72nd) against a Texas A&M defense allowing 33.9% (26th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Texas A&M | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Mike Elko | Kalen DeBoer |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 23–10 | 25–10 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 39–19 | 62–19 |
| Offensive coordinator | Holmon Wiggins | Ryan Grubb |
| Defensive coordinator | Lyle Hemphill / Elijah Robinson | Maurice Linguist / Kane Wommack |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Texas A&M won 1 and Alabama 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | Alabama 26, Texas A&M 20 Alabama won | ||
| Oct 8, 2022 | Texas A&M 20, Alabama 24 Alabama won | ||
| Oct 9, 2021 | Alabama 38, Texas A&M 41 Texas A&M won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Texas A&M Aggies
- Texas A&M Aggies team stats
- Citadel Bulldogs 0, Texas A&M Aggies 41 (Oct 17)
- Texas A&M Aggies 6, Missouri Tigers 27 (Oct 10)
- Arkansas Razorbacks 7, Texas A&M Aggies 34 (Oct 3)
Alabama Crimson Tide
More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026
- LSU Tigers 38, Auburn Tigers 17 (Oct 24)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 23, Miami Hurricanes 52 (Oct 24)
- Indiana Hoosiers 13, Michigan Wolverines 6 (Oct 24)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 14, Northwestern Wildcats 42 (Oct 24)
- California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Oct 24)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20 (Oct 24)
- Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Oct 24)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Oct 24)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Sacramento State Hornets 17, Ball State Cardinals 34 (Oct 24)
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