LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers Final — October 24, 2026
LSUOffense2026 regular season to dateAUB
LSUDefenseAUBLSURecent formAUBLSUHome and roadseason to dateAUBLSULast 10 gamesAUBRest & travelrest and travel
LSURest & travelAUBAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
LSU (4-2) visited Auburn (4-2) on Saturday, October 24 at 12:00 PM ET.
LSU has the 65th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 2nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Auburn has the 69th-ranked offense and the 48th-ranked defense. When LSU has the ball, a 65th-ranked offense (+0.063 EPA per play) meets a 48th-ranked defense (+0.007 allowed); when Auburn has it, a 69th-ranked offense (+0.050) meets a 2nd-ranked defense (−0.229 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the LSU offense is at 50.6% (25th) and the Auburn offense at 44.3% (97th). LSU scores 36.7 points per game (12th) and allows 16.2 (12th); Auburn scores 26.8 (66th) and allows 21.8 (40th).
LSU is 5-2; its last game was a 31-0 win over Mississippi State. Auburn is 4-2 and 2-4 against the spread; its last game was a 27-24 win over Georgia.
LSU closed as a 7-point road favorite, with Auburn getting the points at home. The spread opened at LSU -5.5. The total closed at 52.5, up from 51.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (LSU -287, Auburn +230) prices LSU at 71% and Auburn at 29%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
LSU Tigers 38, Auburn Tigers 17
LSU Tigers won by 21.
- Against the closing spread (Auburn Tigers +7): LSU Tigers covered.
- Combined score 55 vs the closing total of 52.5: Over.
- LSU Tigers closed at -287 on the moneyline (a 71% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 5 points toward LSU Tigers.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (LSU Tigers 71%, Auburn Tigers 29%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 8:54 — Auburn Tigers ball, 3rd & 12 at LSU 41No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #29 O.Mabson II caught at LSU45, for 13 yards to the LSU28 (#28 J.Thomas; #42 D.Keys), 1ST DOWNAuburn Tigers 24% → 29% (+5 pts) · Drive 3 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 8:03 — Auburn Tigers ball, 3rd & 8 at LSU 26No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #11 K.Singleton caught at LSU29, for 17 yards to the LSU09 (#11 P.Woodland), 1ST DOWNAuburn Tigers 26% → 32% (+5 pts) · Drive 3 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 6:13 — Auburn Tigers ball, 3rd & 12 at LSU 35No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 34 yards gain to the LSU01 (#2 T.Benefield), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review -…Auburn Tigers 7% → 12% (+5 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 4:29 — LSU Tigers ball, 3rd & 5 at LSU 30No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short middle to #4 J.Harris caught at LSU42, for 70 yards to the AUB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:29, 1ST DOWN #80 S.Starz…LSU Tigers 86% → 93% (+8 pts) · Drive 10 in Drive X-Ray
Game DNA
| LSU | Points added | Auburn |
|---|---|---|
| +5.0 | Passingdropbacks | -1.0 |
| +1.3 | Rushingdesigned runs | -7.2 |
| +8.1 | Explosive plays2 plays · 2 plays | +9.0 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -6.5 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -5.9 |
| -2.6 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -1.1 |
| +4.2 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 4 of 5 · 2 of 3 | +4.0 |
| +9.5 | All plays | -2.1 |
The biggest single gap: rushing, worth about 8.5 points to LSU Tigers. The final margin was 21.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
LSU Tigers closed as the market favourite at 71% and won.
The line moved toward LSU Tigers before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
LSU -5.5 (-112)
LSU -7 (-115)
Auburn +180 34%
Auburn +230 29%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts211
- Completion %70.1%18th
- Passing yards1,78428th
- Yards per attempt8.454th
- TD–INT14–8
- Rushing yards56629th
- Season line128 carries, 566 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards45649th
- Season line27 catches, 456 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles5249th
- Attempts184
- Completion %64.1%88th
- Passing yards1,202142nd
- Yards per attempt6.5200th
- TD–INT8–7
- Rushing yards45953rd
- Season line107 carries, 459 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards36795th
- Season line32 catches, 367 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles5249th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | LSU | Auburn |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateLSU offense vs Auburn defense | 46.0%36th | 41.3%38th |
| Early-down success rateAuburn offense vs LSU defense | 39.3%23rd | 39.3%113th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateLSU offense vs Auburn defense | 55.4%6th | 36.0%41st |
| 3rd-down conversion rateAuburn offense vs LSU defense | 34.3%27th | 44.7%36th |
| Explosive play rateLSU offense vs Auburn defense | 6.9%63rd | 6.7%68th |
| Explosive play rateAuburn offense vs LSU defense | 5.9%42nd | 7.1%56th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 49.9%80th-highest | 52.7%49th-highest |
On 3rd down LSU converts 55.4% (6th) against a Auburn defense allowing 36.0% (41st).
On 3rd down Auburn converts 44.7% (36th) against a LSU defense allowing 34.3% (27th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | LSU | Auburn |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Lane Kiffin | Alex Golesh |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 5–2 | 4–2 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 121–54 | 27–17 |
| Offensive coordinator | Charlie Weis Jr. | Kodi Burns / Joel Gordon |
| Defensive coordinator | Blake Baker | D.J. Durkin |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: LSU won 2 and Auburn 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Auburn 18, LSU 48 LSU won | ||
| Oct 1, 2022 | LSU 21, Auburn 17 LSU won | ||
| Oct 2, 2021 | Auburn 24, LSU 19 Auburn won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
LSU Tigers
- LSU Tigers team stats
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 0, LSU Tigers 31 (Oct 17)
- LSU Tigers 34, Kentucky Wildcats 35 (Oct 10)
- McNeese State Cowboys 14, LSU Tigers 63 (Oct 3)
Auburn Tigers
More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 23, Miami Hurricanes 52 (Oct 24)
- Indiana Hoosiers 13, Michigan Wolverines 6 (Oct 24)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 14, Northwestern Wildcats 42 (Oct 24)
- California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Oct 24)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20 (Oct 24)
- Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Oct 24)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Oct 24)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31 (Oct 24)
- Sacramento State Hornets 17, Ball State Cardinals 34 (Oct 24)
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