Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Central Michigan Chippewas Final — October 24, 2026
M-OHOffense2026 regular season to dateCMU
M-OHDefenseCMUM-OHRecent formCMUM-OHHome and roadseason to dateCMUM-OHLast 10 gamesCMURest & travelrest and travel
M-OHRest & travelCMUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Miami (OH) (3-3) visited Central Michigan (2-4) on Saturday, October 24 at 1:00 PM ET.
Miami (OH) has the 36th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 73rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Central Michigan has the 95th-ranked offense and the 119th-ranked defense. When Miami (OH) has the ball, a 36th-ranked offense (+0.168 EPA per play) meets a 119th-ranked defense (+0.203 allowed); when Central Michigan has it, a 95th-ranked offense (−0.003) meets a 73rd-ranked defense (+0.082 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Miami (OH) offense is at 46.8% (71st) and the Central Michigan offense at 49.1% (43rd). Miami (OH) scores 23.8 points per game (80th) and allows 28.7 (88th); Central Michigan scores 17.2 (120th) and allows 28.2 (84th).
Miami (OH) is 4-3 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 34-14 win over Akron. Central Michigan is 3-4 and 3-4 against the spread; its last game was a 21-14 loss to Western Michigan.
Miami (OH) closed as a 3.5-point road favorite, with Central Michigan getting the points at home. The spread opened with Central Michigan favored by 1.5. The total closed at 39.5, down from 42.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Miami (OH) -175, Central Michigan +145) prices Miami (OH) at 61% and Central Michigan at 39%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27
Miami (OH) RedHawks won by 1.
- Against the closing spread (Central Michigan Chippewas +3.5): Central Michigan Chippewas covered.
- Combined score 55 vs the closing total of 39.5: Over.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks closed at -175 on the moneyline (a 61% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 12 points toward Miami (OH) RedHawks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Miami (OH) RedHawks 61%, Central Michigan Chippewas 39%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q2 12:57 — Miami (OH) RedHawks ball, 1st & 10 at CMU 29Shotgun #6 C.Heavner pass intercepted by #40 B.McCalla at CMU25 #40 B.McCalla return 38 yards to the Miami37 (#6 C.Heavner)Central Michigan Chippewas 20% → 35% (+15 pts) · Drive 6 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 13:24 — Miami (OH) RedHawks ball, 3rd & 7 at M-OH 22Shotgun #6 C.Heavner pass intercepted by #14 J.Taylor at Miami46 QB hurried by #40 B.McCalla #14 J.Taylor return 46 yards to the Miami00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:24 P…Central Michigan Chippewas 30% → 51% (+21 pts) · Drive 12 in Drive X-Ray
- Q3 8:04 — Miami (OH) RedHawks ball, 3rd & 9 at CMU 27Shotgun #6 C.Heavner rush middle for 27 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:04, 1ST DOWN #38 K.McLaughlin kick attempt good (H: #34 P.Stainton, LS: #60 T…Miami (OH) RedHawks 53% → 71% (+17 pts) · Drive 13 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 1:53 — Miami (OH) RedHawks ball, 1st & 10 at CMU 37Shotgun #6 C.Heavner pass complete deep left to #1 M.Huggins caught at CMU10, for 27 yards to the CMU10 (#4 J.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNMiami (OH) RedHawks 24% → 39% (+15 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:53 — Central Michigan Chippewas ball, 4th & 16 at CMU 29Shotgun #5 J.Glasser pass incomplete deep middle to #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. thrown to Miami27, TURNOVER ON DOWNSMiami (OH) RedHawks 70% → 88% (+18 pts) · Drive 22 in Drive X-Ray
Miami (OH) RedHawks won after falling as low as 13% (Q4 5:36).
Game DNA
| Miami (OH) | Points added | Central Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| -12.4 | Passingdropbacks | -4.3 |
| +0.7 | Rushingdesigned runs | -1.2 |
| +6.1 | Explosive plays4 plays · 3 plays | +11.2 |
| -12.5 | Turnovers2 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -1.4 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -0.4 |
| +1.8 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -3.9 |
| +6.2 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 2 of 4 · 2 of 4 | +0.0 |
| -11.5 | All plays | +1.4 |
The biggest single gap: turnovers, worth about 12.5 points to Central Michigan Chippewas. The final margin was 1.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Miami (OH) RedHawks closed as the market favourite at 61% and won.
The line moved toward Miami (OH) RedHawks before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Miami (OH) +1.5 (-115)
Miami (OH) -3.5 (-115)
Central Michigan -115 51%
Central Michigan +145 39%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts63
- Completion %54.0%
- Passing yards375
- Yards per attempt6.0
- TD–INT2–2
- Rushing yards348117th
- Season line68 carries, 348 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards309157th
- Season line17 catches, 309 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles5822nd
- Attempts33
- Completion %66.7%
- Passing yards230
- Yards per attempt7.0
- TD–INT1–1
- Rushing yards61818th
- Season line128 carries, 618 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards216301st
- Season line14 catches, 216 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles5158th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Miami (OH) | Central Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateMiami (OH) offense vs Central Michigan defense | 45.1%47th | 49.1%131st |
| Early-down success rateCentral Michigan offense vs Miami (OH) defense | 41.5%40th | 43.0%73rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMiami (OH) offense vs Central Michigan defense | 30.3%124th | 50.9%129th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCentral Michigan offense vs Miami (OH) defense | 44.2%102nd | 28.8%130th |
| Explosive play rateMiami (OH) offense vs Central Michigan defense | 9.5%9th | 7.6%92nd |
| Explosive play rateCentral Michigan offense vs Miami (OH) defense | 7.0%75th | 4.7%125th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 50.5%76th-highest | 34.5%133rd-highest |
On 3rd down Miami (OH) converts 30.3% (124th) against a Central Michigan defense allowing 50.9% (129th).
On 3rd down Central Michigan converts 28.8% (130th) against a Miami (OH) defense allowing 44.2% (102nd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Miami (OH) | Central Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Chuck Martin | Matt Drinkall |
| Tenureat this school | 13th season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 76–77 | 10–10 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 76–77 | 10–10 |
| Offensive coordinator | Gus Ragland | Jim Chapin / Derek Fulton |
| Defensive coordinator | Bill Brechin | Sean Cronin |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Miami (OH) won 2 and Central Michigan 0.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Central Michigan 7, Miami (OH) 46 Miami (OH) won | ||
| Oct 2, 2021 | Central Michigan 17, Miami (OH) 28 Miami (OH) won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Miami (OH) RedHawks
- Miami (OH) RedHawks team stats
- Akron Zips 14, Miami (OH) RedHawks 34 (Oct 17)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Bowling Green Falcons 24, Miami (OH) RedHawks 20 (Oct 3)
Central Michigan Chippewas
More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026
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- California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Oct 24)
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- Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Oct 24)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
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- Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31 (Oct 24)
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