UTSA Roadrunners vs Tulane Green Wave Final — October 24, 2026
UTSAOffense2026 regular season to dateTULN
UTSADefenseTULNUTSARecent formTULNUTSAHome and roadseason to dateTULNUTSALast 10 gamesTULNRest & travelrest and travel
UTSARest & travelTULNAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
UTSA (5-1) visited Tulane (3-3) on Saturday, October 24 at 8:00 PM ET.
UTSA has the 39th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 110th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Tulane has the 108th-ranked offense and the 42nd-ranked defense. When UTSA has the ball, a 39th-ranked offense (+0.154 EPA per play) meets a 42nd-ranked defense (−0.020 allowed); when Tulane has it, a 108th-ranked offense (−0.050) meets a 110th-ranked defense (+0.177 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the UTSA offense is at 46.5% (75th) and the Tulane offense at 38.7% (136th). UTSA scores 30.2 points per game (41st) and allows 28.8 (90th); Tulane scores 20.5 (103rd) and allows 21.7 (39th).
UTSA is 6-1 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 38-34 win over Navy. Tulane is 3-3 and 3-3 against the spread; its last game was a 31-17 win over Memphis.
UTSA closed as a 3-point road favorite, with Tulane getting the points at home. The spread opened at UTSA -4. The total closed at 52.5, up from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (UTSA -146, Tulane +124) prices UTSA at 57% and Tulane at 43%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
UTSA Roadrunners 42, Tulane Green Wave 19
UTSA Roadrunners won by 23.
- Against the closing spread (Tulane Green Wave +3): UTSA Roadrunners covered.
- Combined score 61 vs the closing total of 52.5: Over.
- UTSA Roadrunners closed at -146 on the moneyline (a 57% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 3 points toward Tulane Green Wave.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (UTSA Roadrunners 57%, Tulane Green Wave 43%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q1 14:55 — UTSA Roadrunners ball, 1st & 10 at UTSA 25Anthony Rogers 22 Yd Interception Return (Cooper Helmke Kick)Tulane Green Wave 43% → 61% (+18 pts) · Drive 1 in Drive X-Ray
- Q1 3:01 — Tulane Green Wave ball, 2nd & 9 at UTSA 22No Huddle-Shotgun #11 T.Johnson rush right for 22 yards loss to the TSA44 fumbled by #11 T.Johnson at TSA27 recovered by TSA #1 C.Cooper at TSA44, End Of PlayUTSA Roadrunners 44% → 60% (+15 pts) · Drive 5 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 14:38 — Tulane Green Wave ball, 3rd & 9 at TULN 26No Huddle-Shotgun #11 T.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #16 G.Mmahat caught at TSA26, for 56 yards to the TSA18, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNTulane Green Wave 26% → 38% (+12 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 12:49 — Tulane Green Wave ball, 3rd & 7 at UTSA 15No Huddle-Shotgun #11 T.Johnson pass complete short left to #2 D.Hill caught at TSA12, for 10 yards to the TSA05 (#31 D.Spencer), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALT…UTSA Roadrunners 66% → 75% (+10 pts) · Drive 7 in Drive X-Ray
- Q2 8:59 — Tulane Green Wave ball, 1st & 10 at UTSA 43No Huddle-Shotgun #1 Z.Lewis Jr. rush middle for 11 yards loss to the TLN46 fumbled by #1 Z.Lewis Jr. at TLN48 forced by #94 E.Smith recovered by TSA #20 Z.Morri…UTSA Roadrunners 67% → 80% (+13 pts) · Drive 9 in Drive X-Ray
UTSA Roadrunners won after falling as low as 34% (Q1 13:12).
Game DNA
| UTSA | Points added | Tulane |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4 | Passingdropbacks | -2.0 |
| +7.2 | Rushingdesigned runs | -0.2 |
| +4.8 | Explosive plays3 plays · 3 plays | +13.0 |
| -14.6 | Turnovers3 giveaways · 4 giveaways | -18.1 |
| +3.3 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +4.7 |
| -2.3 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -1.5 |
| +14.4 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 6 of 7 · 1 of 4 | +0.8 |
| +12.3 | All plays | -3.2 |
The biggest single gap: red zone, worth about 13.6 points to UTSA Roadrunners. The final margin was 23.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
UTSA Roadrunners closed as the market favourite at 57% and won.
The line moved toward Tulane Green Wave before kickoff, and they lost.
Market
Closing line and line movement
UTSA -4 (-109)
UTSA -3 (-105)
Tulane +141 40%
Tulane +124 43%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts220
- Completion %69.5%23rd
- Passing yards1,57866th
- Yards per attempt7.2136th
- TD–INT10–2
- Rushing yards56230th
- Season line94 carries, 562 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards325142nd
- Season line24 catches, 325 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles5340th
- Attempts24
- Completion %45.8%
- Passing yards168
- Yards per attempt7.0
- TD–INT1–1
- Rushing yards315152nd
- Season line37 carries, 315 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards285184th
- Season line21 catches, 285 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles5627th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | UTSA | Tulane |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateUTSA offense vs Tulane defense | 43.1%71st | 40.8%34th |
| Early-down success rateTulane offense vs UTSA defense | 47.0%116th | 35.3%134th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateUTSA offense vs Tulane defense | 37.6%90th | 47.1%116th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTulane offense vs UTSA defense | 38.0%51st | 36.6%96th |
| Explosive play rateUTSA offense vs Tulane defense | 5.7%100th | 7.2%85th |
| Explosive play rateTulane offense vs UTSA defense | 5.3%25th | 7.2%52nd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 50.6%73rd-highest | 47.8%95th-highest |
On 3rd down UTSA converts 37.6% (90th) against a Tulane defense allowing 47.1% (116th).
On 3rd down Tulane converts 36.6% (96th) against a UTSA defense allowing 38.0% (51st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | UTSA | Tulane |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jeff Traylor | Will Hall |
| Tenureat this school | 7th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 59–27 | 3–3 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 59–27 | 17–33 |
| Offensive coordinator | Rick Bowie | Russ Callaway |
| Defensive coordinator | Jess Loepp | Nate Fuqua / Tayler Polk |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: UTSA won 1 and Tulane 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | Tulane 26, UTSA 48 UTSA won | ||
| Nov 24, 2023 | UTSA 16, Tulane 29 Tulane won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
UTSA Roadrunners
- UTSA Roadrunners team stats
- Navy Midshipmen 34, UTSA Roadrunners 38 (Oct 17)
- South Florida Bulls 24, UTSA Roadrunners 31 (Oct 8)
- UTSA Roadrunners 16, Rice Owls 14 (Oct 3)
Tulane Green Wave
- Tulane Green Wave team stats
- Tulane Green Wave at Charlotte 49ers (Oct 30)
- Memphis Tigers 17, Tulane Green Wave 31 (Oct 16)
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026
- LSU Tigers 38, Auburn Tigers 17 (Oct 24)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 23, Miami Hurricanes 52 (Oct 24)
- Indiana Hoosiers 13, Michigan Wolverines 6 (Oct 24)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 14, Northwestern Wildcats 42 (Oct 24)
- California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Oct 24)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20 (Oct 24)
- Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Oct 24)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Oct 24)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31 (Oct 24)
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