Tennessee Volunteers vs South Carolina Gamecocks Final — October 24, 2026
TENNOffense2026 regular season to dateSC
TENNDefenseSCTENNRecent formSCTENNHome and roadseason to dateSCTENNLast 10 gamesSCRest & travelrest and travel
TENNRest & travelSCAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 7 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Tennessee (5-1) visited South Carolina (2-3) on Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET.
Tennessee has the 60th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 11th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, South Carolina has the 30th-ranked offense and the 111th-ranked defense. When Tennessee has the ball, a 60th-ranked offense (+0.084 EPA per play) meets a 111th-ranked defense (+0.181 allowed); when South Carolina has it, a 30th-ranked offense (+0.189) meets a 11th-ranked defense (−0.109 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Tennessee offense is at 46.3% (77th) and the South Carolina offense at 49.7% (37th). Tennessee scores 29.7 points per game (45th) and allows 15.7 (11th); South Carolina scores 36.2 (14th) and allows 28.8 (89th).
Tennessee is 6-1 and 4-3 against the spread; its last game was a 26-10 win over Alabama. South Carolina is 3-3 and 2-4 against the spread; its last game was a 38-19 win over Florida.
South Carolina closed as a 2.5-point favorite at home against Tennessee. The spread opened with Tennessee favored by 3.5. The total closed at 50.5, down from 53.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Tennessee +110, South Carolina -134) prices Tennessee at 45% and South Carolina at 55%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Tennessee Volunteers 24, South Carolina Gamecocks 27
South Carolina Gamecocks won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (South Carolina Gamecocks -2.5): South Carolina Gamecocks covered.
- Combined score 51 vs the closing total of 50.5: Over.
- South Carolina Gamecocks closed at -134 on the moneyline (a 55% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 12 points toward South Carolina Gamecocks.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Tennessee Volunteers 45%, South Carolina Gamecocks 55%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q3 3:24 — South Carolina Gamecocks ball, 3rd & 5 at SC 13Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short middle to #3 M.Bennett Jr. caught at USC22, for 39 yards to the UTK48 (#1 T.Metcalf), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSouth Carolina Gamecocks 32% → 45% (+12 pts) · Drive 15 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 2:09 — South Carolina Gamecocks ball, 1st & 15 at TENN 32Shotgun #16 L.Sellers rush right for 22 yards gain to the UTK10 (#10 D.Lane), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSouth Carolina Gamecocks 18% → 30% (+12 pts) · Drive 19 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 1:17 — South Carolina Gamecocks ball, 3rd & 4 at TENN 4No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers rush right for 4 yards gain to the UTK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:17, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner…South Carolina Gamecocks 25% → 45% (+20 pts) · Drive 19 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:33 — Tennessee Volunteers ball, 1st & 10 at TENN 38No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UTK34 (#6 D.Stewart), fumble by #12 G.MacIntyre recovered by USC #13 T.Durojaiye at UTK34, En…South Carolina Gamecocks 42% → 80% (+38 pts) · Drive 20 in Drive X-Ray
- OT — South Carolina Gamecocks ball, 4th & 6 at TENN 30Malik Orsan 48 Yd Field GoalSouth Carolina Gamecocks 68% → 100% (+32 pts) · Drive 21 in Drive X-Ray
South Carolina Gamecocks won after falling as low as 6% (Q4 3:45).
Game DNA
| Tennessee | Points added | South Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| -4.0 | Passingdropbacks | -1.5 |
| +0.7 | Rushingdesigned runs | -3.3 |
| +5.0 | Explosive plays2 plays · 4 plays | +12.3 |
| +0.0 | Turnovers0 giveaways · 1 giveaways | -2.2 |
| -1.1 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | -0.3 |
| +0.8 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | -4.6 |
| +5.6 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 3 of 4 · 2 of 3 | +3.5 |
| +7.0 | All plays | +3.8 |
The biggest single gap: explosive plays, worth about 7.3 points to South Carolina Gamecocks. The final margin was 3.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
The official play, graded
The official play on this game, at the price it was sent, graded against the final score.
Every official play is logged and graded, wins and losses alike. Full track record.
Line review
South Carolina Gamecocks closed as the market favourite at 55% and won.
The line moved toward South Carolina Gamecocks before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Tennessee -3.5 (-105)
Tennessee +2.5 (-110)
South Carolina +126 42%
South Carolina -134 55%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts65
- Completion %67.7%
- Passing yards492
- Yards per attempt7.6
- TD–INT1–3
- Rushing yards8373rd
- Season line139 carries, 837 yds, 10 TD
- Receiving yards48142nd
- Season line29 catches, 481 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles46110th
- Attempts187
- Completion %61.5%136th
- Passing yards1,338105th
- Yards per attempt7.2137th
- TD–INT12–4
- Rushing yards48546th
- Season line81 carries, 485 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards278196th
- Season line17 catches, 278 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles43144th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 262 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 21, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Tennessee | South Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTennessee offense vs South Carolina defense | 40.7%97th | 45.0%96th |
| Early-down success rateSouth Carolina offense vs Tennessee defense | 41.9%44th | 44.4%55th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTennessee offense vs South Carolina defense | 38.5%86th | 38.9%56th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSouth Carolina offense vs Tennessee defense | 31.4%9th | 46.9%30th |
| Explosive play rateTennessee offense vs South Carolina defense | 5.3%112th | 8.3%111th |
| Explosive play rateSouth Carolina offense vs Tennessee defense | 5.0%16th | 6.8%71st |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 42.7%120th-highest | 53.5%39th-highest |
On 3rd down Tennessee converts 38.5% (86th) against a South Carolina defense allowing 38.9% (56th).
On 3rd down South Carolina converts 46.9% (30th) against a Tennessee defense allowing 31.4% (9th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Tennessee | South Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Josh Heupel | Shane Beamer |
| Tenureat this school | 6th season | 6th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 51–21 | 36–33 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 79–29 | 36–33 |
| Offensive coordinator | Joey Halzle | Kendal Briles |
| Defensive coordinator | Jim Knowles | Torrian Gray / Clayton White |
Staff list as of October 20, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Tennessee won 2 and South Carolina 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | South Carolina 20, Tennessee 41 Tennessee won | ||
| Nov 19, 2022 | Tennessee 38, South Carolina 63 South Carolina won | ||
| Oct 9, 2021 | South Carolina 20, Tennessee 45 Tennessee won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Tennessee Volunteers
- Tennessee Volunteers team stats
- Alabama Crimson Tide 10, Tennessee Volunteers 26 (Oct 17)
- Tennessee Volunteers 24, Arkansas Razorbacks 17 (Oct 10)
- Auburn Tigers 14, Tennessee Volunteers 24 (Oct 3)
South Carolina Gamecocks
- South Carolina Gamecocks team stats
- South Carolina Gamecocks at Oklahoma Sooners (Oct 31)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Kentucky Wildcats 35, South Carolina Gamecocks 34 (Oct 3)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 41, South Carolina Gamecocks 34 (Sep 19)
Gridiron & Wine graded a pick on this game: see the archived pick.
More NCAAF games on October 24, 2026
- LSU Tigers 38, Auburn Tigers 17 (Oct 24)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
- Rice Owls 49, Florida Atlantic Owls 51 (Oct 24)
- Pittsburgh Panthers 23, Miami Hurricanes 52 (Oct 24)
- Indiana Hoosiers 13, Michigan Wolverines 6 (Oct 24)
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights 14, Northwestern Wildcats 42 (Oct 24)
- California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Oct 24)
- West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20 (Oct 24)
- Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Oct 24)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Oct 24)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
- Akron Zips 20, Kent State Golden Flashes 35 (Oct 24)
- Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Oct 24)
- Texas A&M Aggies 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 31 (Oct 24)
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