East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
East Carolina (4-4) visits Charlotte (1-7) on Saturday, November 14 at 1:00 PM ET.
East Carolina has the 106th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 33rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Charlotte has the 132nd-ranked offense and the 95th-ranked defense. When East Carolina has the ball, a 106th-ranked offense (−0.032 EPA per play) meets a 95th-ranked defense (+0.126 allowed); when Charlotte has it, a 132nd-ranked offense (−0.136) meets a 33rd-ranked defense (−0.040 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the East Carolina offense is at 43.8% (103rd) and the Charlotte offense at 40.5% (132nd). East Carolina scores 21.2 points per game (103rd) and allows 25.1 (62nd); Charlotte scores 17.0 (127th) and allows 37.8 (132nd).
East Carolina is 5-4 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 20-17 win over South Florida. Charlotte is 1-8 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 23-12 loss to UAB.
East Carolina is a 11.5-point road favorite, with Charlotte getting the points at home. The spread opened at East Carolina -12. The total is 45.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (East Carolina -490, Charlotte +360) prices East Carolina at 79% and Charlotte at 21%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
East Carolina -12 (-110)
East Carolina -11.5 (-111)
Charlotte +367 21%
Charlotte +360 21%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- East Carolina -11.5-109Bally Bet
- Charlotte +11.5-106Caesars
- Over 45.5-104Novig
- Under 45.5-104Novig
- East Carolina-410ProphetX
- Charlotte+400theScore Bet
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts144
- Completion %63.9%94th
- Passing yards891231st
- Yards per attempt6.2219th
- TD–INT9–2
- Rushing yards69537th
- Season line110 carries, 695 yds, 5 TD
- Receiving yards365221st
- Season line40 catches, 365 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles60145th
- Attempts139
- Completion %64.0%93rd
- Passing yards1,006219th
- Yards per attempt7.2136th
- TD–INT6–2
- Rushing yards454129th
- Season line77 carries, 454 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards54275th
- Season line54 catches, 542 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles7443rd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | East Carolina | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateEast Carolina offense vs Charlotte defense | 41.3%91st | 49.0%133rd |
| Early-down success rateCharlotte offense vs East Carolina defense | 39.0%18th | 37.8%124th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateEast Carolina offense vs Charlotte defense | 34.0%116th | 47.0%122nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCharlotte offense vs East Carolina defense | 29.3%1st | 31.0%127th |
| Explosive play rateEast Carolina offense vs Charlotte defense | 5.4%118th | 7.6%92nd |
| Explosive play rateCharlotte offense vs East Carolina defense | 6.3%57th | 5.6%113th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 46.6%103rd-highest | 53.5%38th-highest |
On 3rd down East Carolina converts 34.0% (116th) against a Charlotte defense allowing 47.0% (122nd).
On 3rd down Charlotte converts 31.0% (127th) against a East Carolina defense allowing 29.3% (1st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | East Carolina | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Blake Harrell | Tim Albin |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 2nd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 19–9 | 2–19 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 19–9 | 35–38 |
| Offensive coordinator | Jordan Davis | Todd Fitch |
| Defensive coordinator | Jordan Hankins | Nate Faanes |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: East Carolina won 1 and Charlotte 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Charlotte 22, East Carolina 48 East Carolina won | ||
| Oct 5, 2024 | East Carolina 24, Charlotte 55 Charlotte won | ||
| Oct 21, 2023 | Charlotte 10, East Carolina 7 Charlotte won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
East Carolina Pirates
- East Carolina Pirates team stats
- South Florida Bulls 17, East Carolina Pirates 20 (Nov 6)
- Temple Owls 9, East Carolina Pirates 17 (Oct 31)
- East Carolina Pirates 34, Memphis Tigers 41 (Oct 22)
Charlotte 49ers
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