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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Alabama Crimson Tide

7-2

Quarterback Keelon Russell

Vanderbilt Commodores

3-5

Quarterback Jared Curtis

Saturday, November 14 · 12:45 PM ET

ALAOffense2026 regular season to dateVAN

6th+0.279

EPA/play

−0.027102nd

15th52.0%

Success %

43.8%103rd

10th37.4

PPG

22.492nd

ALADefenseVAN

32nd−0.044

EPA/play allowed

+0.134101st

42nd44.6%

Success % allowed

47.1%70th

27th20.3

Opp PPG

32.0111th

ALARecent formVAN

W@ Mississippi State 56-23Lvs Georgia 17-20L@ Tennessee 10-26Wvs Texas A&M 31-20W@ LSU 31-13

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ Georgia 14-38Lvs Ole Miss 17-52Lvs Arkansas 21-31L@ Kentucky 17-34W@ Mississippi State 25-23

7-2

Record

4-5

5-4

ATS

4-5

6-3

Over–under

5-4

ALAHome and roadseason to dateVAN

4-1

Home record

3-2

3-1

Road record

1-3

2-3

Home ATS

1-4

3-1

Road ATS

3-1

4-1

Home O/U

4-1

2-2

Road O/U

1-3

ALALast 10 gamesVAN

Game by game

7-2

Last 9

4-5

+154

Net points

-58

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

ALARest & travelVAN

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

207 mi333 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

FirstBank Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Alabama (7-2) visits Vanderbilt (3-5) on Saturday, November 14 at 12:45 PM ET.

Alabama has the 6th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 32nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Vanderbilt has the 102nd-ranked offense and the 101st-ranked defense. When Alabama has the ball, a 6th-ranked offense (+0.279 EPA per play) meets a 101st-ranked defense (+0.134 allowed); when Vanderbilt has it, a 102nd-ranked offense (−0.027) meets a 32nd-ranked defense (−0.044 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Alabama offense is at 52.0% (15th) and the Vanderbilt offense at 43.8% (103rd). Alabama scores 37.4 points per game (10th) and allows 20.3 (27th); Vanderbilt scores 22.4 (92nd) and allows 32.0 (111th).

Alabama is 7-2 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 31-13 win over LSU. Vanderbilt is 4-5 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 25-23 win over Mississippi State.

Alabama is a 17.5-point road favorite, with Vanderbilt getting the points at home. The spread opened at Alabama -19.5. The total is 50.5, down from 54.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Alabama -910, Vanderbilt +600) prices Alabama at 86% and Vanderbilt at 14%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2

OpenVanderbilt +19.5 (-110)
Alabama -19.5 (-110)

NowVanderbilt +17.5 (-110)
Alabama -17.5 (-110)

Totaldown 4

Open54.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now50.5 (o -109 / u -111)

Moneyline

OpenAlabama -1298 89%
Vanderbilt +780 11%

NowAlabama -910 86%
Vanderbilt +600 14%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Alabama -17.5-102DraftKings
Vanderbilt +17.5-103ProphetX
Over 50.5+100ProphetX
Under 50.5-102Novig
Alabama-852Novig
Vanderbilt+770Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Alabama

QB · Keelon Russell

Attempts245
Completion %67.3%39th
Passing yards2,26340th
Yards per attempt9.219th
TD–INT18–5

Leading rusher (RB) · Trae'shawn Brown

Rushing yards359199th
Season line75 carries, 359 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Rico Scott

Receiving yards501101st
Season line31 catches, 501 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Caleb Woodson

Tackles7060th

Vanderbilt

QB · Jared Curtis

Attempts224
Completion %64.7%81st
Passing yards1,657139th
Yards per attempt7.4117th
TD–INT8–8

Leading rusher (RB) · Sedrick Alexander

Rushing yards333220th
Season line85 carries, 333 yds, 6 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Junior Sherrill

Receiving yards74724th
Season line56 catches, 747 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (S) · CJ Heard

Tackles63120th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Alabama	Vanderbilt
Early-down success rateAlabama offense vs Vanderbilt defense	46.8%22nd	41.7%47th
Early-down success rateVanderbilt offense vs Alabama defense	40.8%34th	40.0%108th
3rd-down conversion rateAlabama offense vs Vanderbilt defense	38.9%81st	45.2%113th
3rd-down conversion rateVanderbilt offense vs Alabama defense	38.1%50th	39.0%80th
Explosive play rateAlabama offense vs Vanderbilt defense	9.6%5th	6.6%63rd
Explosive play rateVanderbilt offense vs Alabama defense	7.6%96th	5.6%111th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	52.1%56th-highest	53.0%43rd-highest

On 3rd down Alabama converts 38.9% (81st) against a Vanderbilt defense allowing 45.2% (113th).

On 3rd down Vanderbilt converts 39.0% (80th) against a Alabama defense allowing 38.1% (50th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Alabama	Vanderbilt
Head coach	Kalen DeBoer	Clark Lea
Tenureat this school	3rd season	6th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	27–10	30–40
Career recordas an FBS head coach	64–19	30–40
Offensive coordinator	Ryan Grubb	Tim Beck
Defensive coordinator	Maurice Linguist / Kane Wommack	Steve Gregory

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Alabama won 2 and Vanderbilt 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 4, 2025	Vanderbilt 14, Alabama 30 Alabama won
Oct 5, 2024	Alabama 35, Vanderbilt 40 Vanderbilt won
Sep 24, 2022	Vanderbilt 3, Alabama 55 Alabama won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams