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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Arizona State Sun Devils

4-4

Quarterback Jake Fette

UCF Knights

4-4

Quarterback Keyone Jenkins

Saturday, November 14 · 3:30 PM ET

ASUOffense2026 regular season to dateUCF

108th−0.036

EPA/play

−0.061116th

112th43.1%

Success %

43.3%108th

86th23.2

PPG

24.875th

ASUDefenseUCF

15th−0.087

EPA/play allowed

+0.09184th

16th42.1%

Success % allowed

49.3%108th

96th29.9

Opp PPG

28.588th

ASURecent formUCF

Wvs Hawai'i 30-12L@ Texas Tech 25-53Wvs Kansas State 28-17L@ BYU 20-27Wvs Colorado 20-10

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ Houston 17-27L@ Oklahoma State 28-42Wvs BYU 39-31Lvs Baylor 9-41W@ Kansas 33-32

4-4

Record

5-4

4-4

ATS

6-3

4-4

Over–under

6-3

ASUHome and roadseason to dateUCF

4-1

Home record

4-1

0-3

Road record

1-3

3-2

Home ATS

3-2

1-2

Road ATS

3-1

2-3

Home O/U

4-1

2-1

Road O/U

2-2

ASULast 10 gamesUCF

Game by game

5-4

Last 9

5-4

+10

Net points

+37

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

ASURest & travelUCF

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

1,843 mi2,967 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

+2 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

FBC Mortgage Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Arizona State (4-4) visits UCF (4-4) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET.

Arizona State has the 108th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 15th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, UCF has the 116th-ranked offense and the 84th-ranked defense. When Arizona State has the ball, a 108th-ranked offense (−0.036 EPA per play) meets a 84th-ranked defense (+0.091 allowed); when UCF has it, a 116th-ranked offense (−0.061) meets a 15th-ranked defense (−0.087 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Arizona State offense is at 43.1% (112th) and the UCF offense at 43.3% (108th). Arizona State scores 23.2 points per game (86th) and allows 29.9 (96th); UCF scores 24.8 (75th) and allows 28.5 (88th).

Arizona State is 4-4 and 4-4 against the spread; its last game was a 20-10 win over Colorado. UCF is 5-4 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 33-32 win over Kansas.

UCF is a 3-point favorite at home against Arizona State. The spread opened at UCF -2.5. The total is 48.5, down from 52.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Arizona State +135, UCF -162) prices Arizona State at 41% and UCF at 59%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5

OpenUCF -2.5 (-114)
Arizona State +2.5 (-105)

NowUCF -3 (-114)
Arizona State +3 (-105)

Totaldown 4

Open52.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now48.5 (o -111 / u -108)

Moneyline

OpenArizona State +117 44%
UCF -139 56%

NowArizona State +135 41%
UCF -162 59%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Arizona State +3-104Bally Bet
UCF -3-110Fanatics
Over 48.5-104Novig
Under 48.5-104Novig
Arizona State+141Novig
UCF-150FanDuel

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Arizona State

QB · Jake Fette

Attempts61
Completion %55.7%
Passing yards367
Yards per attempt6.0
TD–INT3–0

Leading rusher (RB) · Cardae Mack

Rushing yards60364th
Season line102 carries, 603 yds, 6 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Reed Harris

Receiving yards9079th
Season line52 catches, 907 yds, 9 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Owen Long

Tackles899th

UCF

QB · Keyone Jenkins

Attempts180
Completion %67.8%32nd
Passing yards1,181206th
Yards per attempt6.6199th
TD–INT11–4

Leading rusher (RB) · Duke Watson

Rushing yards59665th
Season line94 carries, 596 yds, 3 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Josh Derry

Receiving yards57166th
Season line45 catches, 571 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Tackett Curtis

Tackles59156th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Arizona State	UCF
Early-down success rateArizona State offense vs UCF defense	42.7%72nd	44.3%96th
Early-down success rateUCF offense vs Arizona State defense	40.4%29th	39.9%111th
3rd-down conversion rateArizona State offense vs UCF defense	29.4%132nd	44.9%110th
3rd-down conversion rateUCF offense vs Arizona State defense	35.8%31st	37.8%95th
Explosive play rateArizona State offense vs UCF defense	6.2%89th	7.3%87th
Explosive play rateUCF offense vs Arizona State defense	6.4%60th	5.8%107th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	50.8%68th-highest	53.6%37th-highest

On 3rd down Arizona State converts 29.4% (132nd) against a UCF defense allowing 44.9% (110th).

On 3rd down UCF converts 37.8% (95th) against a Arizona State defense allowing 35.8% (31st).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Arizona State	UCF
Head coach	Kenny Dillingham	Scott Frost
Tenureat this school	4th season	2nd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	27–20	28–18
Career recordas an FBS head coach	27–20	44–49
Offensive coordinator	Marcus Arroyo	Steve Cooper
Defensive coordinator	Brian Ward	Alex Grinch

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Arizona State won 1 and UCF 0.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 9, 2024	UCF 31, Arizona State 35 Arizona State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams