Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Jacksonville State (6-2) visits Western Kentucky (2-6) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET.
Jacksonville State has the 29th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 65th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Western Kentucky has the 114th-ranked offense and the 109th-ranked defense. When Jacksonville State has the ball, a 29th-ranked offense (+0.168 EPA per play) meets a 109th-ranked defense (+0.155 allowed); when Western Kentucky has it, a 114th-ranked offense (−0.053) meets a 65th-ranked defense (+0.052 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Jacksonville State offense is at 51.7% (17th) and the Western Kentucky offense at 45.3% (86th). Jacksonville State scores 26.6 points per game (65th) and allows 20.8 (29th); Western Kentucky scores 20.0 (113th) and allows 36.6 (129th).
Jacksonville State is 7-2; its last game was a 47-14 win over Sam Houston. Western Kentucky is 3-6 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 51-42 loss to Middle Tennessee.
Jacksonville State is a 7.5-point road favorite, with Western Kentucky getting the points at home. The spread opened at Jacksonville State -6.5. The total is 54.5, up from 52.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Jacksonville State -290, Western Kentucky +230) prices Jacksonville State at 71% and Western Kentucky at 29%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Jacksonville State -6.5 (-110)
Jacksonville State -7.5 (-105)
Western Kentucky +165 36%
Western Kentucky +230 29%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Jacksonville State -7.5+106Novig
- Western Kentucky +7.5-110ProphetX
- Over 54.5+100Novig
- Under 54.5-104Novig
- Jacksonville State-270Novig
- Western Kentucky+251Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts237
- Completion %66.7%46th
- Passing yards1,99280th
- Yards per attempt8.447th
- TD–INT15–8
- Rushing yards80021st
- Season line139 carries, 800 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards52090th
- Season line26 catches, 520 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles56192nd
- Attempts188
- Completion %55.9%209th
- Passing yards1,039216th
- Yards per attempt5.5252nd
- TD–INT7–4
- Rushing yards53585th
- Season line109 carries, 535 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards52386th
- Season line54 catches, 523 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles6695th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Jacksonville State | Western Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateJacksonville State offense vs Western Kentucky defense | 46.2%26th | 48.1%129th |
| Early-down success rateWestern Kentucky offense vs Jacksonville State defense | 40.3%27th | 42.5%74th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateJacksonville State offense vs Western Kentucky defense | 39.3%74th | 39.5%57th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateWestern Kentucky offense vs Jacksonville State defense | 47.2%123rd | 40.7%65th |
| Explosive play rateJacksonville State offense vs Western Kentucky defense | 6.9%65th | 9.0%127th |
| Explosive play rateWestern Kentucky offense vs Jacksonville State defense | 4.3%5th | 7.6%38th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 45.6%109th-highest | 54.2%32nd-highest |
On 3rd down Jacksonville State converts 39.3% (74th) against a Western Kentucky defense allowing 39.5% (57th).
On 3rd down Western Kentucky converts 40.7% (65th) against a Jacksonville State defense allowing 47.2% (123rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Jacksonville State | Western Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Charles Kelly | Tyson Helton |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 8th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 16–7 | 61–41 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 16–7 | 61–41 |
| Offensive coordinator | Taylor Housewright | Joe Bernardi / Bodie Reeder |
| Defensive coordinator | Brian Williams | Davis Merritt |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Jacksonville State won 3 and Western Kentucky 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Western Kentucky 34, Jacksonville State 37 Jacksonville State won | ||
| Dec 6, 2024 | Western Kentucky 12, Jacksonville State 52 Jacksonville State won | ||
| Nov 30, 2024 | Jacksonville State 17, Western Kentucky 19 Western Kentucky won | ||
| Oct 17, 2023 | Western Kentucky 17, Jacksonville State 20 Jacksonville State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks team stats
- Sam Houston State Bearkats 14, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 47 (Nov 7)
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks 24, New Mexico State Aggies 0 (Oct 28)
- Florida International Panthers 24, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27 (Oct 13)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
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