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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Oregon State Beavers vs Boise State Broncos Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Oregon State Beavers

4-4

Quarterback Maalik Murphy

Boise State Broncos

7-1

Quarterback Maddux Madsen

Saturday, November 14 · 6:00 PM ET

ORSTOffense2026 regular season to dateBOIS

18th+0.197

EPA/play

+0.3383rd

21st51.0%

Success %

53.7%4th

13th36.2

PPG

39.15th

ORSTDefenseBOIS

103rd+0.142

EPA/play allowed

+0.228125th

114th49.9%

Success % allowed

44.3%35th

83rd28.1

Opp PPG

25.465th

ORSTRecent formBOIS

W@ Colorado State 56-26Wvs San Diego State 66-14Wvs Washington State 48-30L@ Fresno State 22-38Lvs Texas State 21-42

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs Utah State 37-18W@ Fresno State 38-31W@ Washington State 31-10Wvs Texas State 46-45W@ Colorado State 64-38

5-4

Record

8-1

6-3

ATS

5-4

7-2

Over–under

7-2

ORSTHome and roadseason to dateBOIS

3-2

Home record

4-0

2-2

Road record

4-1

3-2

Home ATS

1-3

3-1

Road ATS

4-1

Home O/U

4-0

3-1

Road O/U

3-2

ORSTLast 10 gamesBOIS

Game by game

5-4

Last 9

8-1

+100

Net points

+124

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

ORSTRest & travelBOIS

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

358 mi576 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

+1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Albertsons Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Oregon State (4-4) visits Boise State (7-1) on Saturday, November 14 at 6:00 PM ET.

Oregon State has the 18th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 103rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Boise State has the 3rd-ranked offense and the 125th-ranked defense. When Oregon State has the ball, a 18th-ranked offense (+0.197 EPA per play) meets a 125th-ranked defense (+0.228 allowed); when Boise State has it, a 3rd-ranked offense (+0.338) meets a 103rd-ranked defense (+0.142 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Oregon State offense is at 51.0% (21st) and the Boise State offense at 53.7% (4th). Oregon State scores 36.2 points per game (13th) and allows 28.1 (83rd); Boise State scores 39.1 (5th) and allows 25.4 (65th).

Oregon State is 5-4 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 42-21 loss to Texas State. Boise State is 8-1 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 64-38 win over Colorado State.

Boise State is a 14.5-point favorite at home against Oregon State. The spread opened at Boise State -10. The total is 65.5, up from 63.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Oregon State +460, Boise State -650) prices Oregon State at 17% and Boise State at 83%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 4.5

OpenBoise State -10 (-110)
Oregon State +10 (-110)

NowBoise State -14.5 (-110)
Oregon State +14.5 (-110)

Totalup 2

Open63.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now65.5 (o -105 / u -115)

Moneyline

OpenOregon State +275 26%
Boise State -345 74%

NowOregon State +460 17%
Boise State -650 83%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Oregon State +14.5+100FanDuel
Boise State -14.5-106Novig
Over 65.5+104ProphetX
Under 65.5-114Bally Bet
Oregon State+545Novig
Boise State-570ProphetX

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Oregon State

QB · Maalik Murphy

Attempts14
Completion %85.7%
Passing yards111
Yards per attempt7.9
TD–INT1–1

Leading rusher (RB) · AJ Newberry

Rushing yards506107th
Season line81 carries, 506 yds, 4 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Jesse Legree

Receiving yards1,2091st
Season line61 catches, 1209 yds, 14 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Aiden Sullivan

Tackles6968th

Boise State

QB · Maddux Madsen

Attempts222
Completion %66.7%46th
Passing yards1,681129th
Yards per attempt7.6101st
TD–INT15–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Dylan Riley

Rushing yards1,2411st
Season line184 carries, 1241 yds, 11 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Rasean Jones

Receiving yards67040th
Season line44 catches, 670 yds, 5 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Boen Phelps

Tackles52246th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Oregon State	Boise State
Early-down success rateOregon State offense vs Boise State defense	48.8%6th	42.3%54th
Early-down success rateBoise State offense vs Oregon State defense	42.9%70th	47.6%14th
3rd-down conversion rateOregon State offense vs Boise State defense	40.9%62nd	33.3%17th
3rd-down conversion rateBoise State offense vs Oregon State defense	45.7%115th	50.0%13th
Explosive play rateOregon State offense vs Boise State defense	8.7%18th	8.5%120th
Explosive play rateBoise State offense vs Oregon State defense	7.6%95th	7.7%36th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	66.1%1st-highest	42.7%124th-highest

On 3rd down Oregon State converts 40.9% (62nd) against a Boise State defense allowing 33.3% (17th).

On 3rd down Boise State converts 50.0% (13th) against a Oregon State defense allowing 45.7% (115th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Oregon State	Boise State
Head coach	JaMarcus Shephard	Spencer Danielson
Tenureat this school	1st season	4th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	5–4	32–9
Career recordas an FBS head coach	5–4	32–9
Offensive coordinator	Mitch Dahlen	Nate Potter
Defensive coordinator	Mike MacIntyre	Erik Chinander

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Oregon State won 1 and Boise State 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 29, 2024	Oregon State 18, Boise State 34 Boise State won
Sep 3, 2022	Boise State 17, Oregon State 34 Oregon State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams