North Dakota State Bison vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
NDSUOffense2026 regular season to dateHAW
NDSUDefenseHAWNDSULast 10 gamesHAWRest & travelrest and travel
NDSURest & travelHAWAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
North Dakota State (6-2) visits Hawai'i (3-6) on Saturday, November 14 at 11:00 PM ET.
North Dakota State has the 94th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 16th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Hawai'i has the 98th-ranked offense and the 102nd-ranked defense. When North Dakota State has the ball, a 94th-ranked offense (0.000 EPA per play) meets a 102nd-ranked defense (+0.137 allowed); when Hawai'i has it, a 98th-ranked offense (−0.012) meets a 16th-ranked defense (−0.086 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the North Dakota State offense is at 46.7% (71st) and the Hawai'i offense at 43.5% (107th). North Dakota State scores 26.9 points per game (62nd) and allows 13.4 (3rd); Hawai'i scores 20.3 (112th) and allows 23.3 (45th).
North Dakota State is 7-2; its last game was a 31-7 win over UTEP.
North Dakota State is a 6.5-point road favorite, with Hawai'i getting the points at home. The spread opened at North Dakota State -8.5. The total is 38.5, down from 43.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (North Dakota State -245, Hawai'i +200) prices North Dakota State at 68% and Hawai'i at 32%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
North Dakota State -8.5 (-110)
North Dakota State -6.5 (-114)
Hawai'i +252 27%
Hawai'i +200 32%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- North Dakota State -6.5-106Novig
- Hawai'i +6.5+102Novig
- Over 38.5-105DraftKings
- Under 38.5+100Novig
- North Dakota State-225Hard Rock
- Hawai'i+223Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts228
- Completion %63.6%101st
- Passing yards1,710126th
- Yards per attempt7.5105th
- TD–INT13–8
- Rushing yards403159th
- Season line94 carries, 403 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards61455th
- Season line42 catches, 614 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles6695th
- Attempts377
- Completion %60.5%148th
- Passing yards2,48924th
- Yards per attempt6.6196th
- TD–INT10–7
- Rushing yards444134th
- Season line92 carries, 444 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards421162nd
- Season line38 catches, 421 yds
- Tackles64113th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | North Dakota State | Hawai'i |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateNorth Dakota State offense vs Hawai'i defense | 43.4%60th | 44.4%98th |
| Early-down success rateHawai'i offense vs North Dakota State defense | 39.5%19th | 39.3%118th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNorth Dakota State offense vs Hawai'i defense | 43.0%47th | 37.1%45th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateHawai'i offense vs North Dakota State defense | 36.7%41st | 40.8%64th |
| Explosive play rateNorth Dakota State offense vs Hawai'i defense | 7.3%51st | 7.2%84th |
| Explosive play rateHawai'i offense vs North Dakota State defense | 4.5%7th | 6.2%90th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 42.7%123rd-highest | 65.2%2nd-highest |
On 3rd down North Dakota State converts 43.0% (47th) against a Hawai'i defense allowing 37.1% (45th).
On 3rd down Hawai'i converts 40.8% (64th) against a North Dakota State defense allowing 36.7% (41st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | North Dakota State | Hawai'i |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Tim Polasek | Timmy Chang |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 33–5 | 25–35 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 7–2 | 25–35 |
| Offensive coordinator | Dan Larson | Anthony Arceneaux |
| Defensive coordinator | Grant Olson | Dennis Thurman |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
North Dakota State Bison
- North Dakota State Bison team stats
- UTEP Miners 7, North Dakota State Bison 31 (Oct 31)
- North Dakota State Bison 16, New Mexico Lobos 21 (Oct 24)
- Nevada Wolf Pack 17, North Dakota State Bison 31 (Oct 17)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
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