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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas A&M Aggies Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Tennessee Volunteers

6-2

Quarterback George MacIntyre

Texas A&M Aggies

3-5

Quarterback Marcel Reed

Saturday, November 14 · 3:00 PM ET

TENNOffense2026 regular season to dateTA&M

44th+0.122

EPA/play

−0.126131st

52nd47.7%

Success %

43.1%113th

43rd29.5

PPG

24.280th

TENNDefenseTA&M

23rd−0.070

EPA/play allowed

−0.05229th

48th45.1%

Success % allowed

44.5%38th

11th15.9

Opp PPG

21.032nd

TENNRecent formTA&M

Wvs Auburn 24-14W@ Arkansas 24-17Wvs Alabama 26-10L@ South Carolina 24-27Wvs Kentucky 34-6

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs Arkansas 34-7L@ Missouri 6-27Wvs The Citadel 41-0L@ Alabama 20-31L@ South Carolina 9-17

7-2

Record

4-5

5-4

ATS

4-5

2-7

Over–under

3-6

TENNHome and roadseason to dateTA&M

5-1

Home record

4-1

2-1

Road record

0-4

4-2

Home ATS

3-2

1-2

Road ATS

1-3

0-6

Home O/U

2-3

2-1

Road O/U

1-3

TENNLast 10 gamesTA&M

Game by game

7-2

Last 9

4-5

+156

Net points

+67

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

TENNRest & travelTA&M

7 days

Days of rest

—

806 mi1,297 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

−1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Kyle Field

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Tennessee (6-2) visits Texas A&M (3-5) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:00 PM ET.

Tennessee has the 44th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 23rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Texas A&M has the 131st-ranked offense and the 29th-ranked defense. When Tennessee has the ball, a 44th-ranked offense (+0.122 EPA per play) meets a 29th-ranked defense (−0.052 allowed); when Texas A&M has it, a 131st-ranked offense (−0.126) meets a 23rd-ranked defense (−0.070 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Tennessee offense is at 47.7% (52nd) and the Texas A&M offense at 43.1% (113th). Tennessee scores 29.5 points per game (43rd) and allows 15.9 (11th); Texas A&M scores 24.2 (80th) and allows 21.0 (32nd).

Tennessee is 7-2 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 34-6 win over Kentucky. Texas A&M is 4-5 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 17-9 loss to South Carolina.

Tennessee is a 2.5-point road favorite, with Texas A&M getting the points at home. The spread opened at Tennessee -3.5. The total is 43.5, down from 45.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Tennessee -135, Texas A&M +115) prices Tennessee at 55% and Texas A&M at 45%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenTexas A&M +3.5 (-115)
Tennessee -3.5 (-105)

NowTexas A&M +2.5 (-105)
Tennessee -2.5 (-115)

Totaldown 2

Open45.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now43.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenTennessee -157 59%
Texas A&M +132 41%

NowTennessee -135 55%
Texas A&M +115 45%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Tennessee -2.5-106Novig
Texas A&M +2.5-102Novig
Over 43.5-105theScore Bet
Under 43.5+100Novig
Tennessee-125Hard Rock
Texas A&M+122Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Tennessee

QB · George MacIntyre

Attempts117
Completion %66.7%46th
Passing yards853238th
Yards per attempt7.3132nd
TD–INT2–3

Leading rusher (RB) · DeSean Bishop

Rushing yards1,06610th
Season line196 carries, 1066 yds, 13 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Mike Matthews

Receiving yards56668th
Season line37 catches, 566 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Arion Carter

Tackles59156th

Texas A&M

QB · Marcel Reed

Attempts265
Completion %57.0%198th
Passing yards1,639141st
Yards per attempt6.2222nd
TD–INT8–8

Leading rusher (RB) · Rueben Owens II

Rushing yards469122nd
Season line97 carries, 469 yds, 1 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Isaiah Horton

Receiving yards392196th
Season line28 catches, 392 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Ray Coney

Tackles45363rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Tennessee	Texas A&M
Early-down success rateTennessee offense vs Texas A&M defense	42.2%79th	42.5%59th
Early-down success rateTexas A&M offense vs Tennessee defense	42.1%53rd	40.1%107th
3rd-down conversion rateTennessee offense vs Texas A&M defense	39.0%79th	35.0%26th
3rd-down conversion rateTexas A&M offense vs Tennessee defense	34.0%21st	41.1%61st
Explosive play rateTennessee offense vs Texas A&M defense	5.6%112th	9.0%128th
Explosive play rateTexas A&M offense vs Tennessee defense	5.1%18th	4.4%134th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	40.3%126th-highest	51.3%66th-highest

On 3rd down Tennessee converts 39.0% (79th) against a Texas A&M defense allowing 35.0% (26th).

On 3rd down Texas A&M converts 41.1% (61st) against a Tennessee defense allowing 34.0% (21st).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Tennessee	Texas A&M
Head coach	Josh Heupel	Mike Elko
Tenureat this school	6th season	3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	52–22	23–12
Career recordas an FBS head coach	80–30	39–21
Offensive coordinator	Joey Halzle	Holmon Wiggins
Defensive coordinator	Jim Knowles	Lyle Hemphill / Elijah Robinson

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Tennessee won 1 and Texas A&M 0.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 14, 2023	Texas A&M 13, Tennessee 20 Tennessee won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams