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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Washington Huskies vs Michigan State Spartans Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Washington Huskies

4-4

Quarterback Demond Williams Jr.

Michigan State Spartans

3-6

Quarterback Alessio Milivojevic

Saturday, November 14 · 4:15 PM ET

WASHOffense2026 regular season to dateMSU

107th−0.034

EPA/play

−0.031104th

92nd44.8%

Success %

45.7%81st

82nd23.6

PPG

19.3118th

WASHDefenseMSU

11th−0.110

EPA/play allowed

+0.06769th

27th43.5%

Success % allowed

45.0%44th

41st22.6

Opp PPG

23.648th

WASHRecent formMSU

L@ USC 21-25Lvs Iowa 24-41W@ Purdue 38-26W@ Nebraska 17-10Lvs Penn State 25-28

Resultsoldest to newest

L@ Wisconsin 3-31Lvs Illinois 37-38Lvs Northwestern 21-24L@ UCLA 10-28W@ Michigan 15-6

5-4

Record

3-6

ATS

5-3-1

5-4

Over–under

2-7

WASHHome and roadseason to dateMSU

3-3

Home record

2-3

2-1

Road record

1-3

0-6

Home ATS

3-1-1

3-0

Road ATS

2-2

4-2

Home O/U

2-3

1-2

Road O/U

0-4

WASHLast 10 gamesMSU

Game by game

5-4

Last 9

3-6

+40

Net points

-38

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

WASHRest & travelMSU

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

1,853 mi2,983 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

+3 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Spartan Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Washington (4-4) visits Michigan State (3-6) on Saturday, November 14 at 4:15 PM ET.

Washington has the 107th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 11th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Michigan State has the 104th-ranked offense and the 69th-ranked defense. When Washington has the ball, a 107th-ranked offense (−0.034 EPA per play) meets a 69th-ranked defense (+0.067 allowed); when Michigan State has it, a 104th-ranked offense (−0.031) meets a 11th-ranked defense (−0.110 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Washington offense is at 44.8% (92nd) and the Michigan State offense at 45.7% (81st). Washington scores 23.6 points per game (82nd) and allows 22.6 (41st); Michigan State scores 19.3 (118th) and allows 23.6 (48th).

Washington is 5-4 and 3-6 against the spread; its last game was a 28-25 loss to Penn State. Michigan State is 3-6 and 5-3-1 against the spread; its last game was a 15-6 win over Michigan.

Washington is a 3.5-point road favorite, with Michigan State getting the points at home. The spread opened at Washington -4.5. The total is 43.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Washington -167, Michigan State +135) prices Washington at 60% and Michigan State at 40%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenMichigan State +4.5 (-109)
Washington -4.5 (-111)

NowMichigan State +3.5 (-114)
Washington -3.5 (-105)

Totalno move

Open43.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now43.5 (o -108 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenWashington -198 64%
Michigan State +165 36%

NowWashington -167 60%
Michigan State +135 40%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Washington -3.5+106Novig
Michigan State +3.5-108Bally Bet
Over 43.5-103Bally Bet
Under 43.5-106Novig
Washington-150FanDuel
Michigan State+150ProphetX

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Washington

QB · Demond Williams Jr.

Attempts220
Completion %64.5%85th
Passing yards1,667136th
Yards per attempt7.699th
TD–INT11–4

Leading rusher (RB) · Brian Bonner Jr.

Rushing yards318238th
Season line72 carries, 318 yds, 1 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Chris Lawson

Receiving yards72725th
Season line49 catches, 727 yds, 3 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Alex McLaughlin

Tackles63120th

Michigan State

QB · Alessio Milivojevic

Attempts217
Completion %65.4%66th
Passing yards1,451166th
Yards per attempt6.7187th
TD–INT7–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Jaziun Patterson

Rushing yards327228th
Season line76 carries, 327 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Chrishon McCray

Receiving yards381205th
Season line35 catches, 381 yds, 1 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Devin Vaught

Tackles53232nd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Washington	Michigan State
Early-down success rateWashington offense vs Michigan State defense	43.9%57th	38.1%11th
Early-down success rateMichigan State offense vs Washington defense	41.3%38th	40.8%100th
3rd-down conversion rateWashington offense vs Michigan State defense	31.6%126th	42.2%81st
3rd-down conversion rateMichigan State offense vs Washington defense	36.0%32nd	40.4%67th
Explosive play rateWashington offense vs Michigan State defense	6.7%75th	5.9%36th
Explosive play rateMichigan State offense vs Washington defense	7.1%80th	4.0%135th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	60.1%6th-highest	49.6%78th-highest

On 3rd down Washington converts 31.6% (126th) against a Michigan State defense allowing 42.2% (81st).

On 3rd down Michigan State converts 40.4% (67th) against a Washington defense allowing 36.0% (32nd).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Washington	Michigan State
Head coach	Jedd Fisch	Pat Fitzgerald
Tenureat this school	3rd season	1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	20–15	3–6
Career recordas an FBS head coach	37–37	113–107
Offensive coordinator	Jedd Fisch	Nick Sheridan
Defensive coordinator	Ryan Walters	Max Bullough / Joe Rossi

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Washington won 2 and Michigan State 0.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Sep 16, 2023	Washington 41, Michigan State 7 Washington won
Sep 17, 2022	Michigan State 28, Washington 39 Washington won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams