Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
TEXOffense2026 regular season to dateLSU
TEXDefenseLSUTEXRecent formLSUTEXHome and roadseason to dateLSUTEXLast 10 gamesLSURest & travelrest and travel
TEXRest & travelLSUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Texas (7-2) visits LSU (5-3) on Saturday, November 14 at 7:30 PM ET.
Texas has the 87th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 8th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, LSU has the 61st-ranked offense and the 4th-ranked defense. When Texas has the ball, a 87th-ranked offense (+0.014 EPA per play) meets a 4th-ranked defense (−0.162 allowed); when LSU has it, a 61st-ranked offense (+0.079) meets a 8th-ranked defense (−0.124 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Texas offense is at 45.6% (82nd) and the LSU offense at 50.1% (28th). Texas scores 31.1 points per game (32nd) and allows 17.4 (16th); LSU scores 33.9 (22nd) and allows 18.1 (19th).
Texas is 7-2 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 34-20 win over Missouri. LSU is 6-3; its last game was a 31-13 loss to Alabama.
LSU is a 4-point favorite at home against Texas. The spread opened at LSU -4.5. The total is 46.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Texas +150, LSU -182) prices Texas at 38% and LSU at 62%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Texas +4.5 (-112)
Texas +4 (-110)
LSU -178 61%
LSU -182 62%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Texas +4-108BetMGM
- LSU -4-109Caesars
- Over 46.5+102Novig
- Under 46.5-110Hard Rock
- Texas+167Novig
- LSU-172FanDuel
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts255
- Completion %66.3%54th
- Passing yards2,02770th
- Yards per attempt8.074th
- TD–INT18–7
- Rushing yards53783rd
- Season line109 carries, 537 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards52386th
- Season line42 catches, 523 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles6788th
- Attempts303
- Completion %71.0%9th
- Passing yards2,55119th
- Yards per attempt8.445th
- TD–INT17–9
- Rushing yards71335th
- Season line166 carries, 713 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards80018th
- Season line47 catches, 800 yds, 7 TD
- Tackles6874th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Texas | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTexas offense vs LSU defense | 42.2%80th | 38.9%17th |
| Early-down success rateLSU offense vs Texas defense | 36.3%7th | 46.1%27th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTexas offense vs LSU defense | 38.9%83rd | 33.3%17th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateLSU offense vs Texas defense | 30.4%7th | 50.6%11th |
| Explosive play rateTexas offense vs LSU defense | 6.2%91st | 5.7%30th |
| Explosive play rateLSU offense vs Texas defense | 3.6%1st | 6.1%97th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 49.8%77th-highest | 53.3%39th-highest |
On 3rd down Texas converts 38.9% (83rd) against a LSU defense allowing 33.3% (17th).
On 3rd down LSU converts 50.6% (11th) against a Texas defense allowing 30.4% (7th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Texas | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Steve Sarkisian | Lane Kiffin |
| Tenureat this school | 6th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 53–22 | 6–3 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 99–57 | 122–55 |
| Offensive coordinator | Kyle Flood | Charlie Weis Jr. |
| Defensive coordinator | Will Muschamp / Johnny Nansen | Blake Baker |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Texas Longhorns
- Texas Longhorns team stats
- Texas Longhorns 34, Missouri Tigers 20 (Nov 7)
- Mississippi State Bulldogs 3, Texas Longhorns 31 (Oct 31)
- Ole Miss Rebels 27, Texas Longhorns 34 (Oct 24)
LSU Tigers
More NCAAF games on November 14, 2026
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- Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio State Buckeyes (Nov 14)
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs (Nov 14)
- James Madison Dukes at UConn Huskies (Nov 14)
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Clemson Tigers (Nov 14)
- Nebraska Cornhuskers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Nov 14)
- Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores (Nov 14)
- East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers (Nov 14)
- Arkansas State Red Wolves at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Nov 14)
- UAB Blazers at Temple Owls (Nov 14)
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